556
FXUS64 KSHV 072328
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
628 PM CDT THU AUG 7 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1212 PM CDT THU AUG 7 2025
- TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN IN THE MID TO UPPER 90S THROUGHOUT THE
WEEKEND AND CONTINUE INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK
- A HEAT ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MUCH OF EAST TEXAS,
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA, SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS
FOR FRIDAY
- DRY CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE FOR THE MAJORITY OF THE
REGION THROUGH NEXT WEEK, WITH MINIMAL 7-DAY QPF TOTALS
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1212 PM CDT THU AUG 7 2025
UPPER-AIR ANALYSIS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON CONTINUES TO SHOW A RIDGE
CENTERED OVER NEW MEXICO, WITH OUR REGION ON THE EASTERN
PERIPHERAL OF THE RIDGE. THIS PATTERN WILL REMAIN FAIRLY STAGNANT
THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND AND AS A RESULT, TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN ELEVATED WITH DRY CONDITIONS PREVAILING THROUGHOUT. WHILE
WE HAVE BEEN FLIRTING WITH HEAT ADVISORY CRITERIA FOR THE PAST DAY
OR TWO, INCLUDING TODAY, I THINK WE WILL SEE MORE WIDESPREAD 105S
TOMORROW SO I HAVE ELECTED TO ISSUE A HEAT ADVISORY FOR ALL OF OUR
EAST TEXAS COUNTIES, PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST LOUISIANA, SOUTHWEST
ARKANSAS AND THEN MCCURTAIN COUNTY FROM 11AM FRIDAY THROUGH 7PM
FRIDAY. THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL THIS COULD GET EXTENDED INTO
PORTIONS OF THE AREA ON SATURDAY, BUT WE WILL ADDRESS THIS WITH A
LATER FORECAST PACKAGE.
FROM SATURDAY ONWARD, IT LOOKS LIKE THINGS ARE GOING TO REMAIN
HOT, WITH TEMPERATURES REMAINING IN THE MID TO UPPER 90S THROUGH
AT LEAST NEXT WEDNESDAY. THERE ARE SOME LOW END CHANCES FOR
PRECIPITATION LATE IN THE WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK, BUT OVERALL
QPF AMOUNTS WILL BE LOW. WPC IS ONLY ADVERTISING UP TO A TENTH OF
AN INCH OF TOTAL RAINFALL OVER THE NEXT 7 DAYS FOR PORTIONS OF THE
AREA, WITH MOST OF THE AREA AT NO RAINFALL. NATURALLY, THIS WILL
FORCE US TO BE EXTRA VIGILANT ABOUT FLASH DROUGHT AND SOME FIRE
WEATHER CONCERNS IN THE FUTURE. /33/
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 621 PM CDT THU AUG 7 2025
THE PATTERN CONTINUES ACROSS THE AIRSPACE AS THE AFTERNOON CU
FIELD IS QUICKLY DISSIPATING, WITH SKC PREVAILING THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT PERIOD. TERMINAL WINDS WILL DECREASE THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT, WITH MORE OF A VRB THEME AROUND 3KTS FOR MANY. BY
SUNRISE, SKC IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON
AHEAD OF THE RETURN OF ANOTHER CU FIELD AROUND 18Z, HANGING AROUND
5KFT. ONCE AGAIN, S/SE WINDS ARE EXPECTED AT THE TERMINALS,
AVERAGING AROUND 5KTS.
KNAPP
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1135 PM CDT WED AUG 6 2025
SPOTTER ACTIVATION SHOULD NOT BE NEEDED FOR DAYS TO COME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 78 98 77 96 / 0 0 0 10
MLU 74 95 73 93 / 0 10 0 20
DEQ 72 96 73 95 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 76 99 78 97 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 72 96 73 93 / 0 0 0 10
TYR 76 96 77 95 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 75 97 75 95 / 0 0 0 10
LFK 75 95 74 93 / 0 10 0 20
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...HEAT ADVISORY FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR ARZ050-051-059-
060-070-071.
LA...HEAT ADVISORY FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR LAZ001-002-010-
017.
OK...HEAT ADVISORY FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR OKZ077.
TX...HEAT ADVISORY FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR TXZ096-097-
108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167.
DISCUSSION...33
AVIATION...53
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