595
FXUS64 KSHV 081845
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
145 PM CDT FRI AUG 8 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1223 PM CDT FRI AUG 8 2025
- A HEAT ADVISORY REMAIN IN PLACE FOR TODAY FOR PORTIONS OF THE
AREA TODAY AND WILL CONTINUE FOR PORTIONS ON SATURDAY
- MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO PREVAIL ACROSS THE
REGION THROUGH NEXT WEEK, WITH MINIMAL QPF TOTALS
- HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL REMAIN ELEVATED THROUGH THE ENTIRE
PERIOD, BUT HEAT HEADLINES MAY NOT BE NEEDED EVERY DAY
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1223 PM CDT FRI AUG 8 2025
UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE CONTINUES TO REMAIN CENTERED OVER THE DESERT
SOUTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON. THIS RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN SOME,
WHICH WILL ALLOW FOR SOME DANGEROUS HEAT RELIEF TO THE AREA IN
TERMS OF MAX HEAT INDICES AS WE HEAD DEEPER INTO THE WEEKEND.
THIS WILL FIRST BE EVIDENT IN THE HEAT ADVISORY ISSUED FOR
TOMORROW. WE HAVE ONE IN PLACE TODAY FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA AND
FOR SATURDAY, IT WILL CONTINUE FOR MOST OF EAST TEXAS, BUT WILL BE
PULLED FROM OUR NORTHWEST LOUISIANA PARISHES. THINKING THAT A
SIMILAR PATTERN WILL CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY, WITH WHAT LOOKS LIKE
RIGHT NOW SHOULDN'T REQUIRE ANY HEAT HEADLINES (SUBJECT TO
CHANGE). AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN IN THE 90S
THROUGHOUT THIS FORECAST PERIOD AND WELL INTO NEXT WEEK WITH HEAT
HEADLINES POSSIBLE RETURNING TOWARDS THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
AS FOR PRECIPITATION, IT IS LOOKING MINIMAL FOR THE REGION THROUGH
NEXT WEEK. WPC IS ONLY HINTING AT ANYWHERE FROM A TENTH TO A
QUARTER OF AN INCH OVER THE NEXT 7 DAYS. AND WHILE THIS IS UP A
LITTLE FROM PREVIOUS MODEL RUNS, IT IS STILL NOT ENOUGH TO KEEP US
AT OUR AVERAGE AUGUST PRECIP, WHICH FOR REFERENCE IS AROUND 2-3
INCHES. OUR BEST CHANCE FOR SOME WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION WILL
COME ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY AS A WEAK TROUGH SETTLES INTO THE
CENTRAL CONUS. /33/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 107 PM CDT FRI AUG 8 2025
FOR THE 08/18Z TAF UPDATE, VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE
PERIOD WITH SOUTHERLY WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. CUMULUS FIELDS WILL
DIMINISH ONCE AGAIN AFTER 09/01Z, WHILE FEW250 AND SOME HZ BY THE
END OF THE PERIOD. /16/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1055 PM CDT THU AUG 7 2025
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 78 96 76 95 / 0 10 0 10
MLU 74 93 73 92 / 0 10 0 30
DEQ 73 95 73 94 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 78 97 76 96 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 73 93 71 93 / 0 10 0 10
TYR 77 95 75 94 / 0 0 0 10
GGG 76 95 74 94 / 0 0 0 10
LFK 75 93 73 93 / 0 20 0 30
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR ARZ050-051-059-060-
070-071.
HEAT ADVISORY FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM CDT SATURDAY FOR ARZ050-051-059-
060-070.
LA...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR LAZ001-002-010-017.
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR OKZ077.
HEAT ADVISORY FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM CDT SATURDAY FOR OKZ077.
TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR TXZ096-097-108>112-
124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167.
HEAT ADVISORY FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM CDT SATURDAY FOR TXZ096-097-
108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165-166.
DISCUSSION...33
AVIATION...16
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