284
FXUS64 KSHV 091823
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
123 PM CDT SAT AUG 9 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1217 PM CDT SAT AUG 9 2025
- A HEAT ADVISORY REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA
THROUGH THIS EVENING
- WHILE IT WILL REMAIN HOT, HEAT ADVISORIES ARE NOT EXPECTED AT
THIS TIME THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK
- RAIN CHANCES RETURN TO THE AREA STARTING TODAY, AND PERHAPS
BECOMING MORE WIDESPREAD ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1217 PM CDT SAT AUG 9 2025
TODAY MIGHT BE THE LAST DAY, FOR A FEW DAYS AT LEAST, FROM THE
OPPRESSIVE HEAT. WHAT I MEAN BY THIS IS THAT WE ARE NOT
ANTICIPATING WIDESPREAD HEAT INDICES ABOVE 105 DEGREES. SO I HAVE
ELECTED TO NOT ISSUE ANY SORT OF HEAT HEADLINES FOR SUNDAY AND WE
SHOULDN'T NEED ANYTHING ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY DUE TO THE
POTENTIAL FOR MORE WIDESPREAD RAIN ACROSS THE REGION. THIS DOES
NOT MEAN IT WON'T BE HOT ANYMORE, AND IT CERTAINLY DOES NOT MEAN
YOU SHOULD NOT USE PRECAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS, BECAUSE HIGHS WILL
STILL REMAIN IN THE LOWER TO MID 90S THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK, AND HEAT INDEX VALUES IN THE LOWER 100S. THINGS ARE TRENDING
BACK TO THE WARMER SIDE AND THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME HEAT HEADLINES
AGAIN TOWARDS THE END OF NEXT WEEK, BUT THERE REMAINS SOME
UNCERTAINTY THERE.
AS FOR PRECIPITATION, WPC CONTINUES TO MAINTAIN THE IDEA THAT THE
ENTIRE AREA COULD SEE UP TO A HALF OF AN INCH OVER THE NEXT
7-DAYS, BUT ALL THINGS CONSIDERED, I AM SURE WE WOULD ALL LIKE
MORE THAN THAT. I HAVE INCREASED POPS A LITTLE TODAY ACROSS DEEP
EAST TEXAS, NORTHERN AND CENTRAL LOUISIANA, AND SOME INTO
SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS. SHORT RANGE MODELS ARE INDICATING THAT THERE
COULD BE SOME CONVECTION DEVELOP ACROSS THIS AREA THIS AFTERNOON
AND INTO THE EVENING HOURS. CONFIDENCE IS NOT SUPER HIGH, BUT
ENOUGH TO INCREASE SOME POPS. FROM HERE, LOOKS LIKE THE BEST
CHANCES FOR SUNDAY WILL BE ACROSS OUR SOUTHERN ZONES FOLLOWED BY
SOME WIDESPREAD CHANCES ACROSS THE REGION ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY.
/33/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 104 PM CDT SAT AUG 9 2025
FOR THE 09/18Z TAF UPDATE, VFR VIS/CIGS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE
PERIOD WITH SOME MVFR POSSIBLE FROM ISOLATED VCTS/-TSRA THROUGH
10/02Z, ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE EASTERN AIRSPACE. SOUTHERLY WINDS
WILL REMAIN BELOW 10KTS. /16/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1055 PM CDT FRI AUG 8 2025
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 77 95 76 93 / 10 10 10 40
MLU 73 92 75 92 / 10 20 10 50
DEQ 73 93 72 92 / 0 0 0 20
TXK 76 95 76 93 / 0 0 0 30
ELD 72 92 72 90 / 10 10 10 40
TYR 75 93 74 92 / 0 10 0 30
GGG 74 93 73 92 / 10 10 10 40
LFK 73 92 73 92 / 10 20 10 50
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR ARZ050-051-059-060-
070.
LA...NONE.
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR OKZ077.
TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR TXZ096-097-108>112-
124>126-136>138-149>153-165-166.
DISCUSSION...33
AVIATION...16
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