018
FXUS64 KSHV 011643
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1143 AM CDT MON SEP 1 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1120 AM CDT MON SEP 1 2025
- SEASONABLY COOL CONDITIONS TO PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD.
- SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TUESDAY
INTO TUESDAY NIGHT
- SIGNIFICANTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES EXPECTED LATE IN THE WEEKEND
WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 80S AND LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S BY
SUNDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1045 AM CDT MON SEP 1 2025
A PROGRESSIVE WEATHER PATTERN EXPECTED THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD
AS A SERIES OF AIRMASS EXCHANGES OCCUR ACROSS THE ARKLATEX.
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL DRIFT SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION LATE THIS
EVENING ALLOWING FOR SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AROSS
MAINLY SOUTH ARKANSAS AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA TONIGHT. CONVECTION
IS FORECAST TO SHIFT SOUTH WITH THE FRONT ACROSS THE I-20 CORRIDOR
ON TUESDAY. COOLER AIR FILTERING SOUTH BEHIND THE FRONT WILL
ALLOW FOR OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE LOW TO MID 60S ACROSS PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND SOUTH ARKANSAS WITH HIGHS ON TUESDAY IN THE
LOWER TO MID 80S ACROSS THESE SAME AREAS. SOUTH OF THE FRONT,
ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE ARKLATEX, INCREASED CLOUD COVER WILL
LIMIT HIGHS TO THE LOWER 90S.
ANOTHER WEAK FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE THE REGION ON TUESDAY NIGHT
INTO WEDNESDAY AND LINGER ACROSS THE I-20 CORRIDOR THROUGH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT BEFORE A SURGE OF DRIER AIR PUSHES THE FRONT
SOUTH OF THE REGION ON THURSDAY. ALTHOUGH THE DRIER AIR WILL NOT
REFLECT HEAVILY ON AFTERNOON HIGHS, WHICH WILL AVERAGE IN THE
UPPER 80S TO AROUND 90 DEGREES, OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES WILL
RADIATE DOWN INTO THE MID 60S BY THURSDAY MORNING.
MOISTURE TO SURGE BACK NORTH ON FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY AHEAD
OF A WEAK SURFACE LOW THAT WILL TRANSLATE EAST ACROSS THE REGION
ALLOWING FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
THE EARLY PART OF THE WEEKEND. HOWEVER, BY SUNDAY, HIGH PRESSURE
TO BUILD ACROSS MUCH OF THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN PART OF THE
COUNTRY WITH THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES OF THE WEEK ACROSS THE
ARKLATEX EXPECTED ON SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT WITH HIGHS RANGING
FROM THE LOW TO MID 80S AND LOWS IN THE LOW TO MID 60S. /05/
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 626 AM CDT MON SEP 1 2025
OUTSIDE OF LIGHT SHOWERS NORTH OF KTXK THIS MORNING, MUCH OF THE
AIRSPACE CONTINUES TO MAINTAIN VFR WHILE HANDLING A MIX OF
BKN/OVC CIGS BETWEEN 7-9KFT, WITH LITTLE IN THE WAY OF ANY VSBY
REDUCTIONS. THROUGH THE AFTERNOON, MUCH OF THE AIRSPACE SHOULD SEE
A MIX OF SCT/BKN AROUND 5-7KFT, WITH SOME LINGERING MID AND HIGH
CLOUD. HI-RES CONTINUES TO SUGGEST THE RETURN OF VCSH/VCTS CLOSER
TO AND JUST AFTER 18Z. GIVEN THE ISOLATED CONVECTIVE REGIME,
DIRECT TERMINAL IMPACTS SHOULD BE MINIMAL. WHAT DOES MATERIALIZE
CONVECTIVELY SHOULD DISSIPATE AFTER 00Z, WITH CLOUDS CONTINUING
OVERNIGHT. TERMINAL WINDS THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL HOLD AN E/SE
APPEARANCE, GENERALLY AROUND 5KT.
KNAPP
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 120 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2025
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THROUGHOUT OUR
LONG HOLIDAY WEEKEND.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 92 72 91 72 / 20 20 20 10
MLU 92 69 91 69 / 10 20 40 10
DEQ 84 65 85 64 / 40 30 40 10
TXK 88 68 89 67 / 20 20 30 10
ELD 89 66 89 66 / 20 30 30 10
TYR 87 70 88 69 / 40 20 20 0
GGG 89 69 89 68 / 30 20 20 10
LFK 91 70 91 70 / 30 20 20 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...05
AVIATION...53
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