189
FXUS64 KSHV 021636
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1136 AM CDT TUE SEP 2 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1243 AM CDT TUE SEP 2 2025
- A WEAK COOL FRONT WILL GIVE US A CHANCE TO SEE A FEW SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON.
- DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED FROM MID TO LATE WEEK.
- THE WARMEST DAYS THIS WEEK WILL COME AT THE END OF THE WEEK
WITH A HIGHS IN THE MID 90S, WITH MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES LATE
IN THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1114 AM CDT TUE SEP 2 2025
WEAK DISTURBANCES WITHIN MID-LEVEL FLOW ALOFT COMBINED WITH AN
APPROACHING FRONTAL BOUNDARY FROM THE NORTHWEST WILL ALLOW FOR A
FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. HIGH
TEMPERATURES TO RANGE FROM THE MID 80S TO THE AROUND 90 DEGREES
THIS AFTERNOON. ANY LINGERING CONVECTION THIS EVENING SHOULD
DISSIPATE BY MIDNIGHT WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS FORECAST TO FALL INTO
THE UPPER 60S TO AROUND 70 DEGREES.
A FEW DIURNALLY DRIVEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE ALONG
THE DIFFUSE FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTH LOUISIANA
AND SOUTH ARKANSAS ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE, HIGH
PRESSURE TO REBUILD ACROSS THE REGION FROM THE WEST ALLOWING FOR
SLIGHTLY COOLER AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. THE DRIER
AIRMASS WILL ALSO ALLOW FOR MUCH COOLER OVERNIGHT LOW
TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM THE LOWER 60S ACROSS THE OUACHITAS TO
THE MID TO UPPER 60S ACROSS NORTH LOUISIANA AND DEEP EAST TEXAS BY
THURSDAY MORNING.
OTHERWISE, DRY CONDITIONS TO PERSIST THROUGH THE EARLY PART OF THE
WEEKEND. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE FROM
SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY, MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING,
AHEAD OF ANOTHER COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION AND
LINGER ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. MUCH COOLER HIGH PRESSURE
BEHIND THE FRONT WILL REPLACE HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S ON SATURDAY
WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 80S ON SUNDAY. SOME LOCATIONS ACROSS
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA MAY HOVER IN THE UPPER 70S. OTHERWISE, EXPECT LATE
WEEKEND LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. /05/
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 626 AM CDT TUE SEP 2 2025
QUIET OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE AIRSPACE AS A VFR MIX OF SCT/BKN
BETWEEN 8-10KFT HAS BEEN THE THEME. BRIEF INSTANCES OF SHRA HAVE
EXISTED NORTH OF SHV AND EAST OF MLU, BUT TERMINAL IMPACTS HAVE
YET TO BE SEEN. BY THE AFTERNOON, A SCT CU FIELD BETWEEN 5-7KFT
SHOULD PREVAIL ACROSS THE AIRSPACE. ADDITIONAL SPOTTY INSTANCES OF
SHRA/TSRA MAY EXIST ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AIRSPACE AFTER 18Z. FOR
NOW CONFIDENCE WAS ONLY HIGH ENOUGH TO INCLUDE VICINITY VERBIAGE
AT MLU AS HI-RES CONCENTRATION LOOKS TO BE PRIMARILY ACROSS THE
EASTERN ZONES OF THE AIRSPACE. TERMINAL WINDS THROUGH THE PERIOD
WILL HOLD AN N/NE STATUS AROUND 5KT.
KNAPP
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1114 AM CDT TUE SEP 2 2025
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 91 72 91 70 / 20 10 10 0
MLU 90 69 89 68 / 50 20 40 0
DEQ 86 66 88 64 / 20 10 10 0
TXK 89 70 90 68 / 20 10 10 0
ELD 89 66 88 65 / 40 20 20 0
TYR 87 70 88 68 / 10 0 0 0
GGG 88 69 89 67 / 10 0 0 0
LFK 92 71 92 68 / 10 0 10 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...05
AVIATION...53
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