809
FXUS64 KSHV 112200
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
500 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2025
..NEW UPDATE
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 451 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2025
SOME FORECAST GRIDS HAVE BEEN UPDATED TO ACCOUNT FOR THE
INCREASED CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN EASTERN ZONES.
OTHERWISE, ADDITIONAL FORECAST GRID ADJUSTMENTS WERE NOT NECESSARY
AT THIS TIME. /16/
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 130 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2025
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL PERSIST FOR THE FORESEEABLE
FUTURE WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE DOMINATING OUR REGION.
- RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN NIL THROUGH THIS SAME PERIOD GIVEN THE
STRENGTH OF THE RIDGE AND THE LACK OF ANY FORCING.
- DROUGHT AND FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS MAY BEGIN TO INCREASE WITH A
MORE PROLONGED PERIOD OF HEAT AND DRY CONDITIONS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 130 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2025
PERSISTENCE, STATUS QUO, WE'RE RUNNING OUT OF WAYS TO DESCRIBE
THIS MONOTONOUS FORECAST. OK, THAT'S ONE MORE WAY. IN SHORT, THE
LATE SUMMER DOLDRUMS CONTINUE ONWARD WITH LITTLE HOPE FOR ANY RAIN
THROUGH THE NEXT 7 DAYS. DOMINANT RIDGING AT THE SFC AND ALOFT
WILL MAINTAIN AN UPWARD TRAJECTORY OF TEMPERATURES WITH AFTERNOON
HIGHS GENERALLY RANGING FROM THE MID TO UPPER 90S ON FRIDAY. LOWS
TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S WITH SOME PATCHY
FOG POSSIBLE ONCE AGAIN IN THE MORE OUTLYING AND HEAVILY SHELTERED
LOCATIONS.
WITH THE PERSISTENT HEAT COMBINED WITH THE LACK OF RAINFALL, SOIL
MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO BE DEPLETED THROUGHOUT THIS PERIOD OF
DRYNESS. ALTHOUGH FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS AREN'T PARTICULARLY
CONCERNING JUST YET, THIS COULD BECOME MORE PROBLEMATIC IF HEAT
RELIEF DOESN'T MANIFEST BY LATER ON THIS MONTH. FORTUNATELY, WE
ARE APPROACHING THE END OF ASTRONOMICAL SUMMER AND THE DAYLIGHT
HOURS ARE GETTING SHORTER SO EVENTUALLY A PATTERN SHIFT WILL BE
INEVITABLE. UNTIL THEN, KEEP THE SPRINKLERS GOING AND REMEMBER TO
MAINTAIN HEAT SAFETY AWARENESS IF YOU ARE SPENDING TIME OUTDOORS.
LASTLY, WE REMEMBER ALL OF OUR FELLOW AMERICANS WHO WE TRAGICALLY
LOST ON THIS SOLEMN DAY 24 YEARS AGO.
/19/
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 421 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2025
SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS CURRENTLY IN CLOSE PROXIMITY TO THE
MLU TERMINAL BUT BY TAF TIME THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD HAVE ALMOST
DISSIPATED. OTHERWISE EXPECT A DISSIPATING CU FIELD LATER THIS
EVENING WITH VFR CONDITIONS PREVAILING. CANNOT RULE OUT PATCHY
MVFR VSBYS AT THE MLU/ELD TERMINALS CLOSER TO SUNRISE BUT
OTHERWISE, SHOULD SEE A GROWING CU FIELD ACROSS OUR AIRSPACE BY
LATE MORNING AND THROUGH THE AFTERNOON ON FRIDAY WITH HEIGHTS NEAR
4-6KFT. LOOK FOR MOSTLY LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS TONIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY.
13
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 130 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2025
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
/19/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 74 98 74 96 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 71 96 71 96 / 20 0 0 0
DEQ 67 94 68 93 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 71 97 72 96 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 67 96 68 95 / 10 0 0 0
TYR 71 93 72 92 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 70 95 71 94 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 70 96 71 94 / 0 0 0 10
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...16
AVIATION...13
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