586
FXUS64 KSHV 120312
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1012 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 130 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2025
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL PERSIST FOR THE FORESEEABLE
FUTURE WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE DOMINATING OUR REGION.
- RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN NIL THROUGH THIS SAME PERIOD GIVEN THE
STRENGTH OF THE RIDGE AND THE LACK OF ANY FORCING.
- DROUGHT AND FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS MAY BEGIN TO INCREASE WITH A
MORE PROLONGED PERIOD OF HEAT AND DRY CONDITIONS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 130 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2025
PERSISTENCE, STATUS QUO, WE'RE RUNNING OUT OF WAYS TO DESCRIBE
THIS MONOTONOUS FORECAST. OK, THAT'S ONE MORE WAY. IN SHORT, THE
LATE SUMMER DOLDRUMS CONTINUE ONWARD WITH LITTLE HOPE FOR ANY RAIN
THROUGH THE NEXT 7 DAYS. DOMINANT RIDGING AT THE SFC AND ALOFT
WILL MAINTAIN AN UPWARD TRAJECTORY OF TEMPERATURES WITH AFTERNOON
HIGHS GENERALLY RANGING FROM THE MID TO UPPER 90S ON FRIDAY. LOWS
TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S WITH SOME PATCHY
FOG POSSIBLE ONCE AGAIN IN THE MORE OUTLYING AND HEAVILY SHELTERED
LOCATIONS.
WITH THE PERSISTENT HEAT COMBINED WITH THE LACK OF RAINFALL, SOIL
MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO BE DEPLETED THROUGHOUT THIS PERIOD OF
DRYNESS. ALTHOUGH FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS AREN'T PARTICULARLY
CONCERNING JUST YET, THIS COULD BECOME MORE PROBLEMATIC IF HEAT
RELIEF DOESN'T MANIFEST BY LATER ON THIS MONTH. FORTUNATELY, WE
ARE APPROACHING THE END OF ASTRONOMICAL SUMMER AND THE DAYLIGHT
HOURS ARE GETTING SHORTER SO EVENTUALLY A PATTERN SHIFT WILL BE
INEVITABLE. UNTIL THEN, KEEP THE SPRINKLERS GOING AND REMEMBER TO
MAINTAIN HEAT SAFETY AWARENESS IF YOU ARE SPENDING TIME OUTDOORS.
LASTLY, WE REMEMBER ALL OF OUR FELLOW AMERICANS WHO WE TRAGICALLY
LOST ON THIS SOLEMN DAY 24 YEARS AGO.
/19/
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1009 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2025
CU FIELD HAS PRETTY MUCH DISSIPATED FOR THE NIGHT EXCEPT SOUTH OF
THE I-20 CORRIDOR. MORE WILL RETURN BEGINNING IN THE 15Z-16Z HOUR
IN THE MORNING WITH THAT CU FIELD GROWING THROUGHOUT THE DAY.
BEFORE WE GET THERE, LEFT THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME VSBY
RESTRICTIONS AT BOTH THE MLU AND ELD TERMINALS JUST PRIOR TO
SUNRISE IN THE MORNING. OTHERWISE, VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL
THROUGH THIS 24HR TAF PERIOD. LOOK FOR MOSTLY LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS NEAR OR UNDER 6KTS THROUGH THE PERIOD.
13
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 130 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2025
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
/19/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 74 98 74 96 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 71 96 71 96 / 20 0 0 0
DEQ 67 94 68 93 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 71 97 72 96 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 67 96 68 95 / 10 0 0 0
TYR 71 93 72 92 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 70 95 71 94 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 70 96 71 94 / 0 0 0 10
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...16
AVIATION...13
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