043
FXUS64 KSHV 121746
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1246 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1245 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2025
- HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP RAIN CHANCES LOW AND TEMPERATURES HIGH
THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK ACROSS THE FOUR STATE
REGION.
- OUTDOOR HUMIDITY WILL REMAIN LOW ENOUGH TO LIMIT MORE DANGEROUS
HEAT, BUT GRADUALLY ENHANCE WILDFIRE AND DROUGHT DEVELOPMENT
RISKS FURTHER INTO SEPTEMBER.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1245 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2025
PERSISTENT RIDGING ALOFT WILL CONTROL WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS
THE FOUR STATE REGION THROUGH THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS. THIS WILL KEEP
THE ATMOSPHERE SUPPRESSED ENOUGH FOR ALMOST NO RAINFALL THROUGH
THE SAME PERIOD WITH VARIABLY LIGHT WINDS AND ABOVE-NORMAL
TEMPERATURE MAXIMUMS FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR (UPPER 90S). THE
ONLY REPRIEVE FROM MORE DANGEROUS HEAT WILL COME FROM DEW POINTS
REMAINING IN THE UPPER 60S/LOWER 70S WITH LONG-RANGE GUIDANCE
SUGGESTING LOWER 60S INTO NEXT WEEK. THAT SAID, THIS GRADUALLY
DRIER AIR WILL BECOME MORE OF A CONCERN FOR ENHANCED FIRE WEATHER
AND DROUGHT DEVELOPMENT BY THE END OF THE MONTH. /16/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1236 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2025
FOR THE 12/18Z TAFS...A SCATTERED CU FIELD IS DEVELOPING ACROSS
THE REGION AND WILL CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON. SHORT-RANGE
GUIDANCE HAS CLOUD COVER DECREASING THROUGH THE DAY, WITH A FEW
HIGHER LEVEL CLOUDS BEING THE ONLY COVERAGE FOR MUCH OF THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE SAME GUIDANCE HAS CLOUD COVER INCREASING
TOWARDS THE END OF THE PERIOD WITH SOME MOISTURE ADVECTION. BUT
I'VE KEPT THE FORECAST TO THE TYPICAL CU FIELD DEVELOPMENT FOR
NOW DUE TO UNCERTAINTY. WINDS WILL GENERALLY STAY LIGHT/VARIABLE
THROUGH THE PERIOD. /57/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1245 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2025
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 75 96 73 96 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 71 96 68 95 / 0 0 0 0
DEQ 68 93 69 93 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 71 96 72 95 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 68 95 67 94 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 72 92 72 91 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 72 94 71 94 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 70 95 70 94 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...16
AVIATION...57
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