753
FXUS64 KSHV 072323
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
623 PM CDT TUE OCT 7 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 114 PM CDT TUE OCT 7 2025
- TODAY'S MEAGER CHANCE OF RAIN (20%-30%) FROM ISOLATED
AFTERNOON SHOWERS WILL BE THE LAST FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK
AFTER A WEAK FRONTAL PASSAGE BY TOMORROW.
- MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 114 PM CDT TUE OCT 7 2025
RIDGING WILL REMAIN THE PRIMARY INFLUENCE ON WEATHER CONDITIONS
THROUGH THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS ACROSS THE FOUR STATE REGION. THE
EVOLUTION OF THIS RIDGING WILL BE THE SOURCE OF ANY SUBTLE
VARIATIONS IN WEATHER CONDITIONS AS A RESULT AFTER A WEAK FRONTAL
BOUNDARY PASSES THROUGH THE AREA BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. BY THE
END OF THE WEEK, RIDGING ALOFT WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT EAST, ALIGNING
A REINFORCING SHOT OF DRIER AIR. NORTHERLY WINDS WILL PICK UP IN
SPEED ON THURSDAY, USHERING IN EVEN DRIER AIR AND BRIEFLY PUSHING
THE 60-DEGREE ISODROSOTHERM INTO SOUTHERN ZONES. THIS WILL ALLOW
FOR ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURE MAXIMUMS IN THE UPPER 80S BY THE
WEEKEND. RAINFALL TOTALS OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS WILL REACH A
MAXIMUM OF 0.10IN IN A FEW AREAS WITH MOST RAIN FALLING TODAY.
LONG-RANGE GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SUGGEST RIDGING BUILDING BACK
WEST LATER NEXT WEEK, REINFORCING DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS INTO THE
MIDDLE OF THE MONTH. /16/
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 615 PM CDT TUE OCT 7 2025
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING ACROSS THE REGION WILL ALLOW FOR GENERALLY
NORTHERLY FLOW AREAWIDE. WIND SPEEDS OF AROUND 5 KNOTS TONIGHT TO
INCREASE TO NEAR 10 KNOTS ON WEDNESDAY. OTHERWISE, WITH THE
EXCEPTION OF POSSIBLE MVFR CEILINGS AROUND AND SHORTLY AFTER
DAYBREAK ACROSS MLU/ELD, VFR CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL AREAWIDE
THROUGH THE PERIOD. /05/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1232 AM CDT TUE OCT 7 2025
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 71 88 65 83 / 0 10 0 0
MLU 69 87 62 82 / 0 10 0 0
DEQ 65 82 57 80 / 10 10 0 0
TXK 68 85 59 82 / 10 10 0 0
ELD 65 82 56 79 / 10 10 0 0
TYR 68 88 63 83 / 10 10 0 0
GGG 67 88 62 83 / 0 10 0 0
LFK 69 91 66 86 / 0 10 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...16
AVIATION...05
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