394
FXUS64 KSHV 090519
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1219 AM CDT THU OCT 9 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1153 PM CDT WED OCT 8 2025
- POST-FRONTAL AIR MASS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY FILTER SOUTH
OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH DEW POINTS DROPPING INTO THE 50S.
- TEMPERATURES WILL ONLY SEE A MODEST DIP BEHIND THE FRONT WITH
MOST LOCATIONS TOPPING OUT SOMEWHERE IN THE 80S THROUGH FRIDAY.
- UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE WILL EXPAND BACK OVER THE REGION THIS WEEKEND
WITH WARMER TEMPERATURES AND SOUTHERLY WINDS RETURNING.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1153 PM CDT WED OCT 8 2025
THE PUSH OF NOTICEABLY DRIER AIR BEHIND THE RECENT COLD FRONT HAS
BEEN SLIGHTLY DELAYED, BUT THE LATEST SFC OBS INDICATE DEW POINTS
IN THE 50S JUST NORTH OF OUR REGION. THESE LOWER DEW POINTS WILL
GRADUALLY SPREAD FARTHER SOUTH OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH A MORE
PLEASANT FEEL TO THE AIR BY THIS TIME TOMORROW NIGHT. TEMPERATURES
WILL RESPOND ACCORDINGLY AS WELL AS WE SHOULD MANAGE TO SHAVE OFF
A FEW DEGREES THURSDAY AFTERNOON AS COMPARED TO THE PAST SEVERAL
DAYS AS HIGHS WILL LARGELY RANGE THROUGH THE 80S. OVERNIGHT LOWS
WILL BE EVEN MORE PLEASANT AS THIS DRY AIR TENDS TO COOL RAPIDLY
AFTER SUNSET WITH 50S EXPECTED VIRTUALLY AREAWIDE BY DAYBREAK ON
FRIDAY MORNING.
NW FLOW ALOFT WILL MAINTAIN SLIGHTLY MILDER CONDITIONS THROUGH
FRIDAY, BUT THE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE WILL REALLY BEGIN TO EXPAND BACK
EASTWARD INTO OUR REGION THROUGHOUT THIS WEEKEND. THAT WILL RESULT
IN RISING TEMPERATURES ONCE AGAIN, ESPECIALLY THROUGH THE EARLY TO
MIDDLE PART OF NEXT WEEK. LOOK FOR TEMPERATURES TO NUDGE BACK INTO
THE MID AND UPPER 80S WITH SOME LOWER 90S ALSO CREEPING BACK INTO
THE FORECAST FOR NEXT WEEK. UNFORTUNATELY, THIS PATTERN WILL ONLY
CONTINUE TO SUPPORT THE STATUS QUO IN THE RAIN DEPARTMENT AND THAT
DOES NOT BODE WELL FOR OUR EXPANDING DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS THE
REGION.
/19/
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 611 PM CDT WED OCT 8 2025
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES TO MAINTAIN
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 5 KNOTS AREAWIDE OVERNIGHT, INCREASING
TO NEAR 10 KNOTS ON THURSDAY. OTHERWISE, VFR CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL
THROUGH THE PERIOD ENDING 10/00Z.
/05/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1153 PM CDT WED OCT 8 2025
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 66 88 59 86 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 64 85 56 84 / 0 0 0 0
DEQ 58 81 53 81 / 10 0 0 0
TXK 61 85 56 85 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 58 81 51 81 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 64 87 59 86 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 63 86 57 85 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 67 90 60 88 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...19
AVIATION...05
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