532
FXUS64 KSHV 090606
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
106 AM CDT THU OCT 9 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1153 PM CDT WED OCT 8 2025
- POST-FRONTAL AIR MASS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY FILTER SOUTH
OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH DEW POINTS DROPPING INTO THE 50S.
- TEMPERATURES WILL ONLY SEE A MODEST DIP BEHIND THE FRONT WITH
MOST LOCATIONS TOPPING OUT SOMEWHERE IN THE 80S THROUGH FRIDAY.
- UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE WILL EXPAND BACK OVER THE REGION THIS WEEKEND
WITH WARMER TEMPERATURES AND SOUTHERLY WINDS RETURNING.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1153 PM CDT WED OCT 8 2025
THE PUSH OF NOTICEABLY DRIER AIR BEHIND THE RECENT COLD FRONT HAS
BEEN SLIGHTLY DELAYED, BUT THE LATEST SFC OBS INDICATE DEW POINTS
IN THE 50S JUST NORTH OF OUR REGION. THESE LOWER DEW POINTS WILL
GRADUALLY SPREAD FARTHER SOUTH OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH A MORE
PLEASANT FEEL TO THE AIR BY THIS TIME TOMORROW NIGHT. TEMPERATURES
WILL RESPOND ACCORDINGLY AS WELL AS WE SHOULD MANAGE TO SHAVE OFF
A FEW DEGREES THURSDAY AFTERNOON AS COMPARED TO THE PAST SEVERAL
DAYS AS HIGHS WILL LARGELY RANGE THROUGH THE 80S. OVERNIGHT LOWS
WILL BE EVEN MORE PLEASANT AS THIS DRY AIR TENDS TO COOL RAPIDLY
AFTER SUNSET WITH 50S EXPECTED VIRTUALLY AREAWIDE BY DAYBREAK ON
FRIDAY MORNING.
NW FLOW ALOFT WILL MAINTAIN SLIGHTLY MILDER CONDITIONS THROUGH
FRIDAY, BUT THE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE WILL REALLY BEGIN TO EXPAND BACK
EASTWARD INTO OUR REGION THROUGHOUT THIS WEEKEND. THAT WILL RESULT
IN RISING TEMPERATURES ONCE AGAIN, ESPECIALLY THROUGH THE EARLY TO
MIDDLE PART OF NEXT WEEK. LOOK FOR TEMPERATURES TO NUDGE BACK INTO
THE MID AND UPPER 80S WITH SOME LOWER 90S ALSO CREEPING BACK INTO
THE FORECAST FOR NEXT WEEK. UNFORTUNATELY, THIS PATTERN WILL ONLY
CONTINUE TO SUPPORT THE STATUS QUO IN THE RAIN DEPARTMENT AND THAT
DOES NOT BODE WELL FOR OUR EXPANDING DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS THE
REGION.
/19/
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 102 AM CDT THU OCT 9 2025
VFR CONDITIONS CURRENTLY PREVAILING ACROSS OUR AIRSPACE AS MUCH
DRIER AIR IS BACKDOORING ITS WAY INTO OUR REGION FROM THE
NORTHEAST ATTM. THIN CIRRUS IS WORKING ITS WAY ACROSS OUR REGION
HOWEVER AND THAT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST THE MORNING HOURS.
WILL NEED TO WATCH FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME LOW MVFR/IFR
CEILINGS MAINLY ACROSS THE TYR/LFK TERMINALS CLOSER TO SUNRISE
WHICH COULD CONTINUE THROUGH MID-MORNING BUT THE BACKDOORING DRIER
LOW LEVEL AIRMASS SHOULD EVENTUALLY WIN OUT ACROSS OUR FAR WEST
AND SOUTHWEST TERMINAL LOCATIONS. LOOK FOR NORTHEAST WINDS NEAR
10KTS WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS AS WE GO THROUGH THE DAY.
13
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1153 PM CDT WED OCT 8 2025
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 88 59 86 60 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 85 56 84 57 / 0 0 0 0
DEQ 81 53 81 55 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 85 56 85 58 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 81 51 81 54 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 87 59 86 59 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 86 57 85 57 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 90 60 88 59 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...19
AVIATION...13
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page