986
FXUS64 KSHV 261656
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1156 AM CDT SUN OCT 26 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1100 AM CDT SUN OCT 26 2025
- LOWERING VISIBILITY FROM FOG LOOKS LIKELY AGAIN TONIGHT AND
INTO MONDAY MORNING.
- RAIN RETURNS TO THE AREA ON TUESDAY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT WITH
GUSTY WINDS AND COOLER TEMPERATURES BEHIND IT.
- DRY AND COOL CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1100 AM CDT SUN OCT 26 2025
THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM THAT BROUGHT ALL THE RECENT RAIN IS
BEGINNING TO MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST AND OUT OF THE OZARKS. ANY
LINGERING SHOWERS IN OUR NORTHERN ZONES WILL QUICKLY DISSIPATE
AFTER SUNSET TODAY, LEAVING CALM WINDS. THIS, IN COMBINATION WITH
THE RENEWED ENVIRONMENTAL MOISTURE, WILL ALLOW FOR FOG
DEVELOPMENT OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. FOG COULD DEVELOP AS EARLY AS
MIDNIGHT IN ISOLATED AREAS AND COULD STICK AROUND FOR A FEW HOURS
AFTER SUNRISE IF IT BECOMES DENSE ENOUGH. ONCE THE FOG CLEARS OUT,
THE DEPARTURE OF THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW WILL BE CLOSELY FOLLOWED BY A
DEEPENING TROUGH FROM THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST LATE TUESDAY. MODELS
HAVE THIS TROUGH MOVING EASTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS BEFORE
DEEPENING AND FORMING A CUTOFF LOW OVER THE OZARKS. THE ASSOCIATED
COLD FRONT COULD BE PRECEDED BY MORE SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS FOR
MUCH OF THE ARK-LA-TX ON TUESDAY. THIS COLD FRONT SHOULD PASS
THROUGH THE REGION OVERNIGHT TUESDAY NIGHT, BUT THE POSITIONING OF
THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW RELATIVE TO BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE WILL
CREATE A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT. AS SUCH, EXPECT GUSTY WINDS
TO ACCOMPANY THE HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO MID 60S ON WEDNESDAY.
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN THROUGH THE LATTER
HALF OF THE WEEK AS THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW MOVES NORTHEAST.
TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY BOUNCE BACK FROM WEDNESDAY TO BE MORE
OF THE SEASONAL 60S AND 70S WITH THINGS STAYING DRY. ONE THING OF
NOTE ARE THE LOW TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO COME EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING. PORTIONS OF SE OKLAHOMA AND SW ARKANSAS COULD DIP INTO
THE UPPER 30S WITH OTHER PARTS OF THE ARK- LA-TX REACHING THE LOW
40S, WHICH WOULD EASILY BE THE LOWEST TEMPERATURES OF THE SEASON
SO FAR IF THEY VERIFY.
/57/
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 632 AM CDT SUN OCT 26 2025
SEEING AREAS OF FOG NOW ACROSS MUCH OF NE TX, SW AR AND PORTIONS
OF N LA...SOME OF WHICH HAS BECOME DENSE. FOG MAY CONTINUE TO FILL
IN ACROSS AREAS WITH GREATER VSBY BEFORE VSBYS IMPROVE BY MID TO
LATE MORNING. LOW CLOUD COVER SHOULD IMPROVE ALONG WITH VSBYS BUT
IT MAY BE A LITTLE SLOWER. CANNOT RULE OUT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
MAYBE A THUNDERSTORM OR TWO...MAINLY IMPACTING THE TXK/ELD
TERMINALS BUT DID NOT INCLUDE IN THE 12Z TAF PACKAGE AS EXPECTED
COVERAGE DOES NOT WARRANT A MENTION ATTM.
WILL LIKELY SEE A RETURN TO VSBY RESTRICTIONS ONCE AGAIN OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT ALONG WITH VERY LOW CEILINGS AND HAVE THEREFORE TRENDED
THESE CONDITIONS AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TOWARDS THE TAIL END OF
THE TAF PERIOD FOR MONDAY MORNING.
13
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1144 PM CDT SAT OCT 25 2025
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THROUGH DAYBREAK ACROSS PORTIONS
OF NORTH LOUISIANA AND SOUTH ARKANSAS. EVEN IF ACTIVATION IS NOT
LOCALLY REQUESTED, ANY REPORTS OF HAZARDOUS WEATHER TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ARE APPRECIATED.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 59 76 59 73 / 10 0 10 40
MLU 59 73 56 73 / 10 10 0 30
DEQ 52 71 53 68 / 20 0 20 40
TXK 55 73 56 70 / 10 0 10 40
ELD 54 70 52 70 / 20 10 0 40
TYR 57 77 59 73 / 10 0 10 40
GGG 55 76 57 73 / 0 0 10 40
LFK 56 81 59 79 / 0 0 0 40
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...57
AVIATION...13
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page