216
FXUS64 KSHV 271749
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1249 PM CDT MON OCT 27 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1100 PM CDT SUN OCT 26 2025
- LOWERING VISIBILITY FROM FOG LOOKS LIKELY AGAIN TONIGHT AND
INTO MONDAY MORNING.
- RAIN RETURNS TO THE AREA ON TUESDAY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT WITH
GUSTY WINDS AND COOLER TEMPERATURES BEHIND IT.
- DRY AND COOL CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1116 PM CDT SUN OCT 26 2025
NEAR CALM WINDS RESULTING FROM HIGH PRESSURE FIRMLY ESTABLISHED
ACROSS THE REGION ALONG WITH INCREASED LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE FROM
RECENT RAINFALL WILL ALLOW FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR OVERNIGHT FOG
ACROSS MUCH OF THE ARKLATEX. EXPECT MILD OVERNIGHT LOWS AVERAGING
IN THE MID 50S.
NORTHWEST FLOW TO PERSIST ALOFT THROUGH MONDAY ALLOWING FOR DRY
CONDITIONS AREAWIDE. A COMBINATION OF DISSIPATING FOG AND LOW
CLOUDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE MORNING WITH SKIES IMPROVING
THEREAFTER. HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO RANGE FROM THE MID
60S ACROSS SOUTH ARKANSAS, WHERE CEILINGS MAY BE SLOWER TO BREAK
AND THE AIRMASS IS SLIGHTLY COOLER, TO THE LOWER 80S ACROSS DEEP
EAST TEXAS.
UPPER-FLOW TO BECOME ZONAL ON MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY AS AN UPPER-
LOW DIVES SOUTHEAST INTO THE PLAINS. A SURFACE FRONT TRANSLATING
EAST ACROSS THE ARKLATEX AHEAD OF THE UPPER-LOW WILL ALLOW FOR
INCREASED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION ON
TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT.
BIG CHANGES EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE REBUILDS BEHIND
THE DEPARTING FRONT BRINGING ELEVATED WINDS AREAWIDE FOLLOWED BY
MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES. WINDS TO GRADUALLY DIMINISH THROUGH
THURSDAY WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES AVERAGING IN THE 60S WITH
OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO NEAR 40.
A GRADUAL WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS THE
SURFACE HIGH SHIFTS EAST AND SOUTHERLY FLOW RETURNS. /05/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1241 PM CDT MON OCT 27 2025
LOW LEVEL STRATUS ISN'T QUICK TO CLEAR FOR OUR NORTHEASTERN ZONES
THIS TAF PERIOD. SEVERAL SITES REMAIN BORDERLINE MVFR/IFR WITH
LOW CEILINGS THAT SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLEAR OUT OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL HOURS. SCATTERED CLOUD COVER WILL REMAIN OVER MUCH OF THE
AREA OVERNIGHT. THE MAIN STORY WILL BE THE NEXT ROUND OF RAIN
FROM THE NORTHWEST BEGINNING TO IMPACT KTXK BY 28/09Z. THIS RAIN
WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST AND COVER THE REST OF THE REGION BY THE END OF
THE PERIOD. WINDS WILL ALSO PICK UP WITH THESE SHOWERS, WITH
WESTERN SITES STARTING TO SEE 15+ KT GUSTS BEHIND THE COLD FRONT
BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. /57/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1104 PM CDT SUN OCT 26 2025
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 62 80 51 64 / 10 70 20 10
MLU 57 78 50 62 / 0 70 60 20
DEQ 54 65 44 57 / 60 90 20 20
TXK 59 71 48 60 / 30 90 20 10
ELD 53 71 45 58 / 10 90 40 30
TYR 63 78 49 62 / 10 40 10 0
GGG 60 79 48 63 / 10 60 10 0
LFK 61 84 50 65 / 0 60 20 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...05
AVIATION...57
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