401
FXUS64 KSHV 292054 RRA
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...DELAYED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
354 PM CDT WED OCT 29 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 353 PM CDT WED OCT 29 2025
- THE COLDEST WEATHER OF THE FALL SEASON SO FAR HAS ARRIVED
ACROSS THE FOUR STATE REGION WITH SOME FROST POTENTIAL NORTH OF
I-30.
- THE NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN AND ACTIVE WEATHER WILL ARRIVE BY THE
WEEKEND, AMOUNTING TO LESS THAN 0.5 INCH OF RAINFALL AT THE
MOST.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 353 PM CDT WED OCT 29 2025
ROBUST MID-LEVEL TROUGHING ALOFT WILL CONTINUE APACE, SHIFTING
EASTWARD AND EJECTING ACROSS THE EASTERN SEABOARD. DRY
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL REPLACE AND RELAX THE TIGHT GRADIENT
WIND FLOW FOR THE AREA BY FRIDAY WITH SURFACE WINDS SLACKENING IN
RESPONSE. AT THE SAME TIME, THE NEXT CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION WILL
ALREADY BE ON THE WAY ACROSS THE GREAT PLAINS INTO THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. WITH A RELATIVELY DRY ANTECEDENT ATMOSPHERE,
THERE WON'T BE TOO MUCH TO RECOVER OR WRING OUT MOISTURE-WISE FOR
STORMS SOUTH OF I-20 BY LATE SATURDAY (PWATS OF ONLY 1-1.5 INCH,
NEAR- NORMAL). ALL OF THIS ACTIVITY WILL RESULT IN TEMPERATURES
JUST BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK (MAXIMUMS IN
THE LOWER 70S, MINIMUMS IN THE UPPER 40S). LONG-RANGE GUIDANCE
SUGGESTS A GRADUAL WARMUP BACK TO ABOVE NORMAL BY THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK. /16/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1232 PM CDT WED OCT 29 2025
FOR THE 29/18Z TAFS...WINDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH
OF THE REST OF THE DAY. WINDS WILL STAY OUT OF THE NORTHWEST AND
COME DOWN IN SPEED SLIGHTLY OVERNIGHT. WE ALSO ARE SEEING SOME
WRAP AROUND CLOUD COVER FROM THE EXITING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
MOVING INTO PARTS OF THE REGION. EAST TEXAS SITES SHOULD LARGELY
BE UNAFFECTED BY THESE CLOUDS, BUT CEILINGS AT OTHER SITES ARE
LIKELY TO DEVELOP IF THEY HAVEN'T ALREADY. CEILINGS SHOULD STAY IN
THE LOW VFR RANGE, BUT MAY LOWER AS THEY SCATTER OUT EARLY
TOMORROW MORNING. WINDS TOMORROW WILL STAY NORTHWESTERLY AT AROUND
5-10 KT. /57/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1223 AM CDT WED OCT 29 2025
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 47 66 45 70 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 47 65 42 68 / 0 0 0 0
DEQ 40 62 36 66 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 44 64 41 68 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 42 63 38 66 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 44 64 42 69 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 43 65 41 69 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 45 68 41 72 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR ARZ050-051-059>061-
070>073.
LA...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR LAZ001>006-010>014-
017>022.
OK...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR OKZ077.
TX...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR TXZ096-097-108>112-
124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167.
DISCUSSION...16
AVIATION...57
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