431
FXUS64 KSHV 300009
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
709 PM CDT WED OCT 29 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 353 PM CDT WED OCT 29 2025
- THE COLDEST WEATHER OF THE FALL SEASON SO FAR HAS ARRIVED
ACROSS THE FOUR STATE REGION WITH SOME FROST POTENTIAL NORTH OF
I-30.
- THE NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN AND ACTIVE WEATHER WILL ARRIVE BY THE
WEEKEND, AMOUNTING TO LESS THAN 0.5 INCH OF RAINFALL AT THE
MOST.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 353 PM CDT WED OCT 29 2025
ROBUST MID-LEVEL TROUGHING ALOFT WILL CONTINUE APACE, SHIFTING
EASTWARD AND EJECTING ACROSS THE EASTERN SEABOARD. DRY
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL REPLACE AND RELAX THE TIGHT GRADIENT
WIND FLOW FOR THE AREA BY FRIDAY WITH SURFACE WINDS SLACKENING IN
RESPONSE. AT THE SAME TIME, THE NEXT CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION WILL
ALREADY BE ON THE WAY ACROSS THE GREAT PLAINS INTO THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. WITH A RELATIVELY DRY ANTECEDENT ATMOSPHERE,
THERE WON'T BE TOO MUCH TO RECOVER OR WRING OUT MOISTURE-WISE FOR
STORMS SOUTH OF I-20 BY LATE SATURDAY (PWATS OF ONLY 1-1.5 INCH,
NEAR- NORMAL). ALL OF THIS ACTIVITY WILL RESULT IN TEMPERATURES
JUST BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK (MAXIMUMS IN
THE LOWER 70S, MINIMUMS IN THE UPPER 40S). LONG-RANGE GUIDANCE
SUGGESTS A GRADUAL WARMUP BACK TO ABOVE NORMAL BY THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK. /16/
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 642 PM CDT WED OCT 29 2025
FOR THE ARKLATEX TERMINALS, HIGH PRESSURE CORE IS ON APPROACH WITH
A SLOW DRIFT OVER W TX TO E. THE DEEP UPPER LOW IS SPINNING OVER
KMEM AND LIFTING NEWARD OVERNIGHT. SO OUR GUSTS WILL DROP OFF THIS
EVENING AND KEEP SUSTAINED NW WIND AROUND 10KT TOWARD DAYBREAK
WITH A LITTLE LESS CONTINUING THROUGH THE DAY AHEAD. HIGH
PRESSURE OVERHEAD WITH CHILLY NEAR CALM EARLY FRIDAY. THEN
SHIFTING BACK TO SE AHEAD OF A FROPA ON SATURDAY WITH SCATTERED
CONVECTION AND N/NE WINDS AGAIN LATE IN THE DAY. /24/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1223 AM CDT WED OCT 29 2025
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 47 66 45 70 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 47 65 42 68 / 0 0 0 0
DEQ 40 62 36 66 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 44 64 41 68 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 42 63 38 66 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 44 64 42 69 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 43 65 41 69 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 45 68 41 72 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR ARZ050-051-059>061-
070>073.
LA...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR LAZ001>006-010>014-
017>022.
OK...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR OKZ077.
TX...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR TXZ096-097-108>112-
124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167.
DISCUSSION...16
AVIATION...24
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