801
FXUS64 KSHV 302222 AAA
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
522 PM CDT THU OCT 30 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 231 PM CDT THU OCT 30 2025
- THE COLDEST WEATHER OF THE FALL SEASON SO FAR CONTINUES ACROSS
THE FOUR STATE REGION WITH SOME FROST POTENTIAL NORTH OF I-30
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.
- THE NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN AND ACTIVE WEATHER WILL ARRIVE ON
SATURDAY EVENING, AMOUNTING TO LESS THAN 0.5 INCH OF RAINFALL
AT THE MOST.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 231 PM CDT THU OCT 30 2025
RELATIVELY DRY NORTHWESTERLY FLOW IS NOW IN PLACE ACROSS MOST OF
THE AREA WITH TROUGHING FURTHER EAST OVER THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY.
EMBEDDED IN THIS FLOW IS THE NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN ALREADY ON THE
WAY ACROSS THE GREAT PLAINS INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY BY
FRIDAY. OUTDOOR CONDITIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT ACTIVITIES WILL REMAIN
DRY AND COOLER THAN NORMAL (A QUICK COOL DOWN INTO THE 50S AFTER
SUNSET, JACKET MAY BE NEEDED). THAT SAID, THE WEEKEND IS STILL
LOOKING FAIRLY DRY WITH RAINFALL TOTALS BELOW 0.25 INCHES MOSTLY
SOUTH OF I-20. WITH A RELATIVELY DRY ANTECEDENT ATMOSPHERE, THERE
WON'T BE TOO MUCH TO RECOVER OR WRING OUT MOISTURE-WISE (PWATS OF
ONLY 1-1.5 INCH, NEAR-NORMAL). ALL OF THIS ACTIVITY WILL RESULT IN
TEMPERATURES JUST BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK
(MAXIMUMS IN THE LOWER 70S, MINIMUMS IN THE UPPER 40S). LONG-RANGE
GUIDANCE SUGGESTS A GRADUAL WARMUP BACK TO ABOVE NORMAL (UPPER
70S) BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. /16/
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 522 PM CDT THU OCT 30 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE 31/00Z TAF PERIOD, AS SKC
WILL PREVAIL. SOME INCREASE IN CIRRUS IS EXPECTED THOUGH FROM THE
NW BY MID AND LATE AFTERNOON FRIDAY, WITH CIGS LIKELY LATER FRIDAY
NIGHT ACROSS ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION. LT/VRB WINDS ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. /15/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1211 AM CDT THU OCT 30 2025
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 45 70 49 67 / 0 0 0 20
MLU 42 69 44 67 / 0 0 0 10
DEQ 37 67 45 61 / 0 0 0 20
TXK 42 69 48 64 / 0 0 0 20
ELD 39 67 43 63 / 0 0 0 10
TYR 44 69 49 67 / 0 0 0 20
GGG 41 70 47 67 / 0 0 0 20
LFK 42 73 45 71 / 0 0 0 20
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...FROST ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM CDT FRIDAY FOR ARZ050.
LA...NONE.
OK...FROST ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM CDT FRIDAY FOR OKZ077.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...16
AVIATION...15
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