394
FXUS64 KSHV 022040
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
240 PM CST SUN NOV 2 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 106 PM CST SUN NOV 2 2025
- FROST DEVELOPMENT RETURNS OVERNIGHT FOR PARTS OF SOUTHWEST
ARKANSAS AND NORTHERN LOUISIANA.
- DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE AFTER TODAY WITH A GRADUAL WARMUP
ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH MOST OF THIS WEEK (SOME TEMPERATURE
MAXIMUMS BACK IN THE 80S).
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 106 PM CST SUN NOV 2 2025
PERIPHERAL FLOW AROUND TROUGHING CONTINUES WITH MERIDIONAL FLOW
TRANSITIONING TO QUASI-ZONAL FLOW OVER THE NEXT 48-72 HOURS AS THE
TROUGH SHIFTS EASTWARD. AS SURFACE RIDGING OVERHEAD SHIFTS SLOWLY
EAST OVERNIGHT, REINFORCED RADIATIONAL COOLING WILL BOOST FROST
DEVELOPMENT NEAR THE OUACHITA RIVER VALLEY, PROMPTING ANOTHER
FROST ADVISORY INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS ON MONDAY. WITH ZONAL
FLOW CONTINUING ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE REST OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD, MOST LONGWAVE TROUGHS WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE FOUR STATE
REGION, DIVERTING ACTIVE WEATHER TO OUR NORTH AND KEEPING THE AREA
DRY. IN THE PROCESS, THE DURATION OF THIS FLOW WILL ALLOW
PROLONGED SOUTHERLY SURFACE FLOW AND MOISTURE BUILDUP (THE 60-DEGREE
ISODROSOTHERM RETURNS AFTER THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK). LONG-RANGE
GUIDANCE SUGGESTS TEMPERATURE MAXIMUMS ABOVE 80 DEGREES LATE NEXT
WEEK BEFORE A FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO DELIVER A RETURN TO
NEAR-NORMAL CONDITIONS. /16/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1120 AM CST SUN NOV 2 2025
FOR THE 02/18Z TAFS, VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE
FORECAST PERIOD, WITH UNINTERRUPTED SKC FOR ALL AREA TERMINALS.
NORTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AT MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 5 TO 8 KTS, BECOMING LIGHT TO NEARLY CALM THIS
EVENING AND THROUGH THE NIGHT, AND REMAINING LIGHT AND VARIABLE
INTO TOMORROW MORNING.
/26/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1223 AM CDT SUN NOV 2 2025
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 43 73 47 76 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 38 69 42 73 / 0 0 0 0
DEQ 37 70 42 73 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 41 72 47 75 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 36 69 41 72 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 44 74 49 75 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 41 74 45 75 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 42 75 43 76 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...FROST ADVISORY FROM 2 AM TO 9 AM CST MONDAY FOR ARZ051-060-061-
072-073.
LA...FROST ADVISORY FROM 2 AM TO 9 AM CST MONDAY FOR LAZ004>006-013-
014-021.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...16
AVIATION...26
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