060
FXUS64 KSHV 042354
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
554 PM CST TUE NOV 4 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1142 AM CST TUE NOV 4 2025
- CHILLY HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE WITH
WARMER TEMPERATURES ON S/SW WINDS THROUGH THE WORK/SCHOOL WEEK.
- WEAK HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS OUR WINDS BACK TO NW THIS WEEKEND.
- COLDER HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE ARRIVING DURING SUNDAY WITH GUSTY
NW WINDS, ALLOWING FOR SOME FREEZING TEMPS EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1142 AM CST TUE NOV 4 2025
THE LATEST 1030MB CHILLY HIGH PRESSURE CENTER IS NOW IN KNOXVILLE
TN, MODIFYING A BIT IN THE SUNSHINE WITH OUR LOW LEVEL WINDS FROM
THE SOUTHEAST HOLDING STEADY. MEANWHILE, THE WINDS ALOFT ARE
BACKING MORE NOW TO A W/SW FLOW. WEAKENING HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT,
EXTENDS ALONG THE GULF COAST AND WILL BE BACKING INTO MEXICO
DURING MIDWEEK AND BECOME A NON PLAYER. SO WE WILL BECOME FAIRLY
ZONAL ALOFT WITH NO LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS UPSTREAM IN THE OFFING.
A GENTLE WARMING TREND WILL PERSIST ON OUR HIGHS AND LOWS THROUGH
THE REMAINING WORK/SCHOOL WEEK. WE HAD A CHILLY NIGHT BELOW
AVERAGE LAST NIGHT, BUT ARE LOOKING QUITE AVERAGE THROUGH MIDWEEK
WITH A RANGE OF 50S AND EVENTUALLY LOWER 60S. HIGH TEMPERATURES
WILL DO EVEN BETTER WITH ABOVE AVERAGE READINGS YESTERDAY
AFTERNOON, AND CONTINUING THAT TREND THIS AFTERNOON AND THROUGH
FRIDAY AND EVEN SATURDAY FOR SOME.
A WEAK AREA OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE IS PROGGED TO EDGE DOWN INTO
THE MIDSOUTH EARLY ON SATURDAY. SO WITH THAT, A LIGHT N WIND WILL
SETTLE ACROSS I-30 DOWN TO NEAR I-20 BY DAYBREAK. NOT MUCH COLD
AIR ADVECTION JUST YET, BUT THAT IS ON THE WAY IN SHORT ORDER. WE
MAY SEE ENOUGH MOISTURE THAT WILL BE DEEPER IN THE DELTA AND BRING
A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS OR AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM TO OUR SE
PARISHES ON FRIDAY. THE WINDS WILL KEEP SE ALONG A SOUTH OF I-20
IN LA, GIVING WAY FOR ANOTHER CHANCE FOR LIGHT SHOWERS PREDAWN ON
SUNDAY AHEAD OF THE REAL DEAL COLD FRONT.
OVERALL, RAINFALL WILL BE HARD TO COME BY EVEN WHERE CONDITIONS
EVEN MERIT A MENTION. HOWEVER, THE COLD AND GUSTY NW WINDS WILL
BE ARRIVING EARLY ON SUNDAY AND SPREAD QUICKLY ACROSS OUR ENTIRE
FOUR-STATE AREA. SO ANY RAIN AREAS EARLY IN THE DAY WILL EXIT
QUICKLY, AND THE CLOUDS ALONG WITH AS TEMPERATURES TREND MUCH
COLDER DUE TO THIS NEXT LARGE CONTINENTAL 1032MB AIR MASS DROPPING
STRAIGHT OUT OF CANADA.
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL FALL FROM LOWER 80S ON SATURDAY FOR A
LOOSE AVERAGE, TO A WIND CHILLY 60 OR SO TO FINISH THE WEEKEND.
THE AIR MASS WILL MOVE FROM THE PLAINS DOWN INTO THE SE U.S. BY
TUESDAY. SO WE CAN EXPECT EVEN COLDER 50S FOR HIGHS TO START NEXT
WEEK WITH SOME FREEZING READINGS ACROSS OUR NORTHERN FRINGE TO
FARTHER SETTLE INTO MUCH OF OUR AREA FOR A LIGHT FREEZE IN MANY
LOCALES BY TUESDAY. SEEMS LIKE A GOOD PLAN TO MAKE THE MOVE FOR
TROPICAL PLANTS INSIDE BRIEFLY DURING THIS WEEKEND AHEAD OF THE
WIDESPREAD FROST. ENSURE WE ARE READY TO HEAT OUR HOMES AND MAYBE
EVEN WRAP THE PIPES AND PICK UP THE WATER HOSE ALONG AND
ESPECIALLY NORTH OF I-20. THIS IS WHERE WE WILL SEE THE LONGEST
DURATION OF THESE LIGHTLY FREEZING AIR TEMPERATURES. /24/
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 552 PM CST TUE NOV 4 2025
FOR THE 05/00Z TAF UPDATE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR ALL
TERMINALS AS SKC CONTINUES TO PREVAIL ACROSS THE REGION. WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN LIKE AND OUT OF THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST
THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. /33/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1122 PM CST MON NOV 3 2025
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 51 79 56 80 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 46 78 51 79 / 0 0 0 0
DEQ 45 77 50 76 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 50 79 54 78 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 45 76 48 76 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 54 79 57 80 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 49 79 53 80 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 49 80 55 81 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...24
AVIATION...33
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