874
FXUS64 KSHV 080008
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
608 PM CST FRI NOV 7 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1124 AM CST FRI NOV 7 2025
- WARM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TOMORROW, WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES
WARMING INTO THE UPPER 70S TO MIDDLE 80S.
- A COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE THIS WEEKEND, MAKING FOR A BLUSTERY
SUNDAY AND BRINGING NEAR- OR SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ACROSS
THE ARKLATEX ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY MORNING.
- TEMPERATURES WILL QUICKLY WARM THROUGH MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK,
WHILE CONDITIONS REMAIN DRY THROUGHOUT.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1124 AM CST FRI NOV 7 2025
TODAY'S FRONTAL PASSAGE IS MAKING ITSELF KNOWN MOSTLY BY THE
PRESENCE OF STUBBORN CLOUD COVER WHICH PERSISTS THROUGH THE LATE
MORNING HOURS. SKY COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH FROM THE WEST
THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON, PROVIDING AMPLE OPPORTUNITY FOR TEMPERATURES
TO REBOUND INTO THE UPPER 70S AND LOWER 80S ONCE AGAIN. OTHERWISE,
THIS SURFACE BOUNDARY LOOKS TO BE UNEVENTFUL. THE LATEST GUIDANCE
DOES NOT FAVOR ANY APPRECIABLE PRECIPITATION DEVELOPING WITH THIS
PASSAGE, AND NEITHER WILL THIS BE THE WAVE THAT TRULY PLUNGES OUR
TEMPERATURES. TOMORROW MORNING WILL BE A TOUCH COOLER FOR OUR
NORTHERN ZONES, FALLING INTO THE UPPER 40S, BUT ELSEWHERE MIDDLE 50S
TO LOWER 60S WILL PREVAIL. SOME PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN
NEAR DAYBREAK ACROSS THE TOLEDO BEND REGION AND ADJACENT AREAS OF
DEEP EAST TEXAS AND NORTHWEST LOUISIANA.
TOMORROW LOOKS FOR THE MOST PART TO BE A SUNNIER VERSION OF TODAY,
WITH MORNING CLOUDS AND MIST GIVING WAY TO A MOSTLY CLEAR AFTERNOON
AND ONE MORE ROUND OF UPPER 70S AND LOW TO MID 80S BEFORE THE COLD
FRONT REALLY STARTS TO PACK ITS PUNCH. WINDS WILL BECOME
NORTHWESTERLY OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY, WHILE LOWS FALL INTO THE UPPER
40S AND LOWER 50S. THE COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL BECOME EVIDENT
THROUGH THE DAY SUNDAY, AS HIGHS STRUGGLE TO REACH THE MIDDLE 50S
NORTH TO MIDDLE 60S SOUTH, WHILE BLUSTERY NORTHWEST WINDS CONTINUE.
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING CONTINUES TO FEATURE AS THE MAIN
EVENT OF THE WEEK AHEAD, BEING WHEN TEMPERATURES WILL TRULY NOSEDIVE
ACROSS THE ARKLATEX. THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE REGION LOOKS TO SEE
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S, WITH LOWER 30S SOUTH. EXACTLY WHERE THE
FREEZING LINE WILL FALL REMAINS UNCERTAIN, WITH METRO AREAS ALONG
AND SOUTH OF THE I-20 CORRIDOR LIKELY STRADDLING THE FREEZING MARK
BY DAYBREAK, AND MORE EXPOSED RURAL ZONES POSSIBLY DROPPING BELOW
FREEZING BRIEFLY. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE, MAKING FOR ANOTHER
BLUSTERY AFTERNOON MONDAY, WITH HIGHS ONLY IN THE 50S AREAWIDE.
BY TUESDAY MORNING, THE TROUGH RESPONSIBLE FOR THIS CHILLY AIRMASS
WILL BE ON ITS WAY OUT, WITH RIDGING BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST.
BEFORE THE PATTERN FULLY BEGINS TO SHIFT, ANOTHER CHILLY MORNING IS
IN STORE, WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR OR JUST ABOVE FREEZING FOR MOST
SITES, AND THE BEST CHANCE FOR A SECOND ROUND OF SUB-FREEZING TEMPS
BEING ACROSS OUR EASTERNMOST ZONES. THE INCOMING RIDGING WILL MAKE
FOR A RAPID WARMING TREND, WITH HIGHS MAKING FOR THE 60S ON TUESDAY
AFTERNOON AND 70S WITH EVEN A FEW LOWER 80S POSSIBLE NEXT WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY, WHILE LOWS RETURN TO THE 40S AND 50S BY THE END OF
THIS EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD.
/26/
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 539 PM CST FRI NOV 7 2025
FOR THE ARKLATEX TERMINALS, VFR W/ A DECK 3-5KFT BISECTING OUR
CWA FROM KGGG TO KELD/KMLU, MOVG SE. SFC WINDS ARE LIGHT WITH A
WEAK FROPA WITH SOME N/NW N OF I-20 SINKING IN, BUT SPEEDS LOOK
TO BE IN THE 3-6KT VRB THROUGHOUT THIS CYCLE. HOWEVER, SOME CALM
AROUND 06Z, AND SOME BR/FG AND MAY A VERY LOW CIG AT TIMES THROUGH
DAYBREAK. DRY AIR ALOFT WILL HELP ERODE THE EARLY GRAY SKIES WITH
N WINDS VEERING AROUND TO SE-SW ON SAT. AHEAD OF OUR NEXT STRONG
FROPA SLATED FOR SUN, GUSTY NW15-25KT & VFR. /24/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1122 PM CST MON NOV 3 2025
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 60 83 53 65 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 61 83 53 64 / 10 0 10 0
DEQ 47 77 45 56 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 54 81 49 60 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 53 79 47 60 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 56 82 51 62 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 55 83 50 62 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 58 84 54 67 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...26
AVIATION...24
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