606
FXUS64 KSHV 080542
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1142 PM CST FRI NOV 7 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1047 PM CST FRI NOV 7 2025
- A DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT ACROSS SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS
THROUGH 9 AM CST SATURDAY FOR VISIBILITY A QUARTER OF A MILE
OR LESS.
- ONE MORE WARM AFTERNOON BEFORE TEMPERATURES CRASH BEHIND A
STRONG COLD FRONT SUNDAY MORNING.
- MONDAY AND TUESDAY MORNING WILL BE SOME OF THE COLDEST
TEMPERATURES OF THE SEASON SO FAR. MULTIPLE COMMUNITIES MAY
SEE MORNING TEMPERATURES AT OR BELOW FREEZING.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1047 PM CST FRI NOV 7 2025
ANOTHER NIGHT, ANOTHER ROUND OF FOG ACROSS THE REGION AS A WEAK
FRONTAL PASSAGE IS STARTING TO STALL ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE I-20
CORRIDOR. THE INFLUENCE OF THE BOUNDARY WAS ENOUGH TO DISPLACE
CLOUDS ACROSS THE I-30 CORRIDOR ENTIRELY, THUS ALLOWING FOR DENSE
FOG TO MATERIALIZE ACROSS SW ARKANSAS. AS A RESULT, AND AFTER
COLLABORATION WITH WFO LITTLE ROCK, A DENSE FOG ADVISORY HAS BEEN
ISSUED FOR ALL OF THE SW ARKANSAS COUNTIES IN THE SHV CWA UNTIL 9
AM CST SATURDAY. THERE IS A CHANCE THAT THE ADVISORY MAY NEED TO
BE EXPANDED SOUTH TO THE I-20 CORRIDOR IN NW LOUISIANA. VISIBILITY
IMPACTS HAVE NOT REACHED THE SAME DEGREE OF HAZARD ACROSS NW
LOUISIANA WHEN COMPARED TO THE OBSERVATIONS IN SW ARKANSAS SO THE
PLAN IS TO HOLD OFF FOR NOW AND SEE HOW THIS TRENDS OVERNIGHT.
LOOKING TO SATURDAY, WE SHOULD SEE MORE SUN ACROSS THE REGION WHEN
COMPARED TO FRIDAY AS THE AFOREMENTIONED STALLED BOUNDARY
RETREATS BACK NORTH. LIGHT WINDS AND CLEARING SKIES THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON WILL ALLOW FOR TEMPERATURES TO QUICKLY CLIMB INTO THE
LOW AND MID 80'S FOR MANY AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT THAT IS
PROGGED TO SLICE ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT AND INTO EARLY SUNDAY
AM. THE INFLUENCE OF THE CAA IN THE WAKE OF THE BOUNDARY WILL BE
ENOUGH TO SUPPRESS ANY SIGNIFICANT WARMING EFFORTS SUNDAY
AFTERNOON AS HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50'S AND LOW TO MID 60'S WILL HANG
AROUND. THE REAL IMPACT OF THE STRONG AIRMASS COMES IN THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS OF SUNDAY INTO MONDAY AS LOWS WILL FALL TO NEAR OR
JUST BELOW FREEZING FOR MANY. AS REFERENCED IN PREVIOUS
DISCUSSIONS, THESE WILL BE THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES OF THE SEASON
TO THIS POINT. GIVEN THE FORECAST, A FREEZE WATCH WILL BE ISSUED
TOMORROW AFTERNOON FOR THE OVERNIGHT HOURS OF SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.
TEMPERATURES MONDAY AFTERNOON WILL ONLY CLIMB INTO THE UPPER 40'S
AND LOW TO MID 50'S BEFORE PLUNGING BACK INTO UPPER 20'S AND LOW
AND MID 30'S INTO TUESDAY MORNING. THIS COLD SNAP WILL BE SHORT
LIVED AS THE TROUGH WORK OUT OF THE AREA, AND RIDGING SLOWLY
BUILDS EAST THROUGH MIDDLE TO END OF NEXT WEEK. AS A RESULT,
TEMPERATURES WILL QUICKLY REBOUND WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE 70'S
AND 80'S AS EARLY AS WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
ONE FEATURE THAT WILL NEED TO BE CLOSELY MONITORED MONDAY AND
TUESDAY WILL BE THE LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY PERCENTAGES. THE GOOD
NEWS IS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BEHIND THE BOUNDARY BEGINS TO LOOSEN
INTO MONDAY AND TUESDAY, BUT THAT BEING SAID, WE COULD STILL SEE
WIND GUST THAT WOULD SUPPORT AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER THREAT IF A
SPARK IS GENERATED IN SUCH A DRY ENVIRONMENT. IT IS ADVISED TO
FOLLOW ALL BURN BANS ISSUED.
53
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1141 PM CST FRI NOV 7 2025
FOR THE ARKLATEX TERMINALS, A DECK 5-7KFT IS BISECTING OUR CWA FROM
NEAR KLFK TO KMLU, MOVG ESE. SFC WINDS ARE LIGHT WITH A WEAK FROPA
ALONG I-20 WITH LOTS OF CALM OVERNIGHT & LIGHT AND VARIABLE MOST OF
THIS CYCLE IN 3-6KT RANGE. IN THE WAKE OF THE CLOUD DECK, SKC HAS
DEVELOPED AN AREA OF VLIFR/LIFR WITH BR/FG WITH OCCASIONAL VERY LOW
CIG OVER S AR & N LA LINGERING THROUGH DAYBREAK. DRY AIR ALOFT WILL
HELP ERODE THE EARLY GRAY SKIES WITH LIGHT N WINDS VEERING AROUND TO
SE-SW 15-18Z. STRONG FROPA IS SLATED FOR 09/06-12Z NW10-20G30KT. /24/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1122 PM CST MON NOV 3 2025
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 81 59 83 53 / 0 10 0 0
MLU 79 61 82 51 / 0 10 10 0
DEQ 74 46 78 44 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 75 53 81 48 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 73 53 79 47 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 80 54 82 50 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 81 54 82 49 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 82 59 84 53 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CST SATURDAY FOR ARZ050-051-
059>061-070>073.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...53
AVIATION...24
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