709
FXUS64 KSHV 150511
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1111 PM CST SUN DEC 14 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1058 PM CST SUN DEC 14 2025
- THE COLDEST AIR OF THE WINTER SEASON FOR THE ARK-LA-TEX (SO
FAR) WILL OCCUR IN THE NEXT 12-18 HOURS.
- THE NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN OCCURS BY LATE TUESDAY INTO THURSDAY.
- A GRADUAL WARMING TREND WILL BRING MILDER CONDITIONS BACK FOR
MOST OF THE NEXT 7 DAYS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1058 PM CST SUN DEC 14 2025
BROAD RIDGING CONTINUES ACROSS THE WESTERN TWO-THIRDS OF THE U.S.
WITH TROUGHING UNDERNEATH PRODUCING THE MAIN CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION FOR THE FOUR STATE REGION THROUGH THE NEXT 7 DAYS.
THE EVOLUTION OF THIS FEATURE AS IT SHIFTS EASTWARD INTO THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN FAVORS A TRANSITION INTO ZONAL FLOW ALOFT WHILE
EMBEDDED TROUGHING ARRIVES BY LATE TUESDAY. THIS WILL PRODUCE
MEAGER PRECIPITATION TOTALS AMOUNTING TO MAYBE 0.10 INCHES (30-40%
PROBABILITY). UNTIL THEN, TEMPERATURE MINIMUMS WILL RANGE IN THE
LOWER 20S WITH SOME UPPER 10S, NOT QUITE COLD ENOUGH FOR FREEZE
WARNINGS OF THE PREVIOUS HARD FREEZE CRITERION, BUT STILL COLD
ENOUGH TO TAKE PRECAUTIONS FOR PETS, PLANTS, PIPES AND PEOPLE
OUTDOORS. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM UP PAST NORMAL (MAXIMUMS AND
MINIMUMS IN THE 60S/40S), REACHING THE LOWER 70S AND MID 50S BY
NEXT WEEKEND. LONG RANGE GUIDANCE SUGGESTS MILDER THAN NORMAL
CONDITIONS THROUGH MOST OF THE REST OF THE MONTH. /16/
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 524 PM CST SUN DEC 14 2025
WINDS ARE BEGINNING TO CALM DOWN THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. SITES SHOULD BECOME VARIABLE AT LESS THAN 5
KTS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY
TOMORROW. THERE MAY BE A FEW LIGHT CLOUDS IN PLACES TOMORROW
MORNING BUT WITH OTHERWISE STAY SKC UNTIL THE NEXT ROUND OF CLOUDS
MOVE IN JUST AFTER THIS PERIOD ENDS. /57/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1006 AM CST SUN DEC 14 2025
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 25 49 33 58 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 21 44 27 54 / 0 0 0 0
DEQ 20 45 27 54 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 22 47 32 55 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 18 44 25 52 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 26 50 37 59 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 24 49 33 58 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 25 52 32 59 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...19
AVIATION...57
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