564
FXUS64 KSHV 021620
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1020 AM CST FRI JAN 2 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 952 PM CST THU JAN 1 2026
- SOME LIGHT SHOWERS IN OUR FAR NORTH AND EAST ZONES EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING WITH THE REST OF THE REGION STAYING DRY FOR MUCH OF THE
NEXT WEEK.
- SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES ON SATURDAY BEFORE ANOTHER WARMING
TREND GRADUALLY INCREASES TEMPERATURES THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
- THE NEXT CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD RAIN COULD BE FROM A SYSTEM
MOVING THROUGH THE CENTRAL CONUS LATE NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 952 PM CST THU JAN 1 2026
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND SOUTHERLY FLOW HAS BROUGHT BACK SOME
WARMTH AND WILL CONTINUE TO DO SO THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY. THE
UPPER-LEVEL SHORTWAVE IS STILL EXPECTED TO MOVE JUST NORTH AND
EAST OF THE REGION EARLY FRIDAY MORNING, WITH SOME RAIN SHOWERS
POSSIBLY CLIPPING OUR OUTER AREAS ON THE WAY THROUGH. THE REST OF
THE ARK-LA-TX SHOULD STAY DRY WHILE TEMPERATURES CLIMB INTO THE
UPPER 60S AND 70S. OVERNIGHT LOWS SHOULD GENERALLY BE IN THE UPPER
40S TO LOW 50S BEFORE ANOTHER DISTURBANCE MOVES THROUGH EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING.
THIS DISTURBANCE ON SATURDAY MORNING LOOKS LIKE IT WILL BE FREE
FROM RAIN BUT BRING A NW WIND SHIFT AND COOLER TEMPERATURES BEHIND
IT. HIGHS ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON WILL STILL BE A BIT WARMER THAN
AVERAGE WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S. THE REGION SHOULD REMAIN
ABOVE FREEZING FOR THE MOST PART OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL NIGHTS AND
GRADUALLY WARM AGAIN AS SURFACE WINDS SHIFT BACK TO A SOUTHERLY
ORIENTATION BY SUNDAY EVENING.
ANOTHER DRY SERIES OF DAYS WITH GRADUALLY WARMING TEMPERATURES
WILL STRETCH INTO MID NEXT WEEK UNTIL IT IS BROKEN BY A DEEPER LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM. CURRENT LONG-RANGE MODELS ARE TAKING THIS UPPER-
LEVEL LOW FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS UP INTO THE GREAT LAKES DURING
THE LATTER HALF OF NEXT WEEK. SHOULD THIS SCENARIO PLAY OUT, THE
ARK-LA-TX COULD SEE SOME WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AS SOON AS WEDNESDAY
NIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. UNTIL
THEN, STAY AWARE OF LOCAL GUIDANCE SURROUNDING OUTDOOR BURNING AND
FIREWORKS AS FIRE DANGER COULD INCREASE IN THE MEANTIME.
57
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1017 AM CST FRI JAN 2 2026
STILL DEALING WITH MVFR CEILINGS ACROSS OUR EASTERN AIRSPACE
IMPACTING THE ELD AND MLU TERMINALS BUT THOSE CEILINGS SHOULD
CONTINUE RISING AND/OR SCATTERING OUT AS WE GO THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON HOURS. THE REMAINDER OF OUR AIRSPACE LOOKS GOOD WITH
SOUTHWEST WINDS ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION IN ADVANCE OF A COLD
FRONT THAT WILL BEGIN PUSHING SOUTHWARD THROUGH OUR AIRSPACE LATER
THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS. LOOK FOR A
WIND SHIFT AROUND TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST BEHIND THIS FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WITH THE LIKELIHOOD OF IFR OR LIFR CEILINGS AND AT LEAST
SOME MVFR VSBY RESTRICTIONS BRIEFLY IN THE WAKE OF THIS BOUNDARY.
THESE VSBY LIMITATION SHOULD IMPROVE BY MID TO LATE MORNING ON
SATURDAY BUT THE IMPROVEMENTS WITH CEILINGS WILL BE VERY SLOW
THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS SATURDAY.
13
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 604 AM CST FRI JAN 2 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THE END OF THIS WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 52 65 44 63 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 52 62 41 59 / 10 0 0 0
DEQ 44 63 35 57 / 10 0 0 0
TXK 49 64 40 60 / 10 0 0 0
ELD 46 59 36 57 / 10 0 0 0
TYR 49 67 41 65 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 49 67 41 64 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 51 70 44 67 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...57
AVIATION...13
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