436
FXUS64 KSHV 022356
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
556 PM CST FRI JAN 2 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1141 AM CST FRI JAN 2 2026
- ANOTHER WARM AFTERNOON IS UNFOLDING WITH SUNSHINE AND SW WINDS
AND WE HAVE UPDATED ZONES WITH ADJUSTING UP HIGH TEMPERATURES.
- A COLD FRONT WILL SHIFT THE WINDS EARLY THIS EVENING FOR A
COOLER TREND THIS WEEKEND AS SOME CLOUDS MOVE BACK IN OVERHEAD.
- WARMER CONDITIONS RETURN FOR NEXT SCHOOL/WORK WEEK WITH A GOOD
CHANCE FOR SOME NEEDED RAINFALL LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1141 AM CST FRI JAN 2 2026
NOON READINGS ARE ALL IN THE 70S EXCEPT SOME MID TO UPPER 60S
NORTH OF I-30 NEAR THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THE CLEARING SKIES AND
THE GUSTY SW WINDS AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY WILL USHER IN SOME 80S
BY MID AFTERNOON. ANOTHER HANDFUL OF RECORD HIGHS MAY FALL TODAY
WITH A LITTLE COMPRESSIONAL HEATING AHEAD OF THIS COLD FRONT. THE
FRONT IS SHIFTING THE WIND TO NE AT SULPHUR SPRINGS TX AND EXTENDS
JUST ON THE NORTH SIDE OF OUR I-30 CORRIDOR. THE NORTHERLY WINDS
WILL FILTER ACROSS I-20 EARLY THIS EVENING AND COOL US OFF A GOOD
10-15 DEGREES FOR HIGHS WITH LOW TO MID 60S EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND.
LOWS WILL BE COOLER WITH A RANGE OF MID 40S TO MID 50S TONIGHT
DUE TO THE LOW CLOUDS RETURNING AND THE MIXING OF THE NIGHT AIR
BEHIND THE FRONT. SUNDAY WILL SEE FAIR SKIES OVERNIGHT AND LOWS
MUCH COOLER IN THE MID 30S NORTH TO LOW 40S EVERYWHERE ELSE, MUCH
CLOSER TO THE EARLY JANUARY AVERAGE.
THIS 1025MB AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN FAR TO OUR NORTH,
BUT KEEP LIGHT NE WINDS FOR US INTO SUNDAY, THEN SHIFTING TO E/SE
BY LATE SUNDAY. SO WE WILL SEE ANOTHER CHILLY START ON MONDAY
WITH UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. HOWEVER, THE SE WINDS WILL KICK IN GEAR
EARLY MONDAY WITH MOSTLY 50S FOR LOWS ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
HIGHS WILL CLIMB FROM LOWER 70S ON MONDAY TO UPPER 70S BY MIDWEEK.
SKIES WILL REMAIN PARTLY CLOUDY FROM SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY, BUT
INCREASE DURING WEDNESDAY WITH A RETURN OF SHOWERS DURING THAT
AFTERNOON. OUR WINDS ALOFT WILL BECOME ZONAL WESTERLIES FOR THE
NEW WORK WEEK, BUT BUCKLE TO SW FLOW BY LATE WEDNESDAY AS THE
PARENT LOW AND DEEP UPPER TROUGH NOW OFFSHORE OF CALIFORNIA,
BEGINS TO SPREAD PACIFIC MOISTURE ACROSS THE DESERT SW OF AZ/NM
AND MUCH OF MEXICO.
THIS DEEP AND PERSISTENT SW FLOW WILL BRING THE RAIN CLOUDS BACK
OUR WAY. THIS BASE OF THE TROUGH WILL BE EXPANSIVE UNTIL A SECOND
CORE LOW FALLS INTO THE PATTERN BY FRIDAY. SO THIS MEANS AN
EXTENDED PERIOD OF IN AND OUT WET WEATHER WILL LINGER AREAWIDE FOR
US FROM THURSDAY UNTIL PERHAPS EARLY NEXT SUNDAY MORNING. FOR
NOW, THE WPC DAYS 4-7 QPF HAVE BETTER THAN ONE INCH TOTALS ALONG
I-30. THIS IS GOOD NEWS FOR OUR LATEST D2 DROUGHT AREAS THAT WILL
LIKELY SEE EXPANSION EARLY THIS WEEK AHEAD OF THE RAINFALL. THE
BIGGEST DIFFERENCE RIGHT NOW IS THE TIMING ON THE LONGWAVE
TROUGHING ACROSS THE MS RIVER VALLEY. THE GFS IS MUCH SLOWER
DURING SUNDAY, WHILE THE STILL NOT SEEN ECMWF IS DURING SATURDAY
NEXT WEEKEND. /24/
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 534 PM CST FRI JAN 2 2026
CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES PREVAILING THIS EVENING AND TOWARDS
MIDNIGHT BEFORE CEILINGS LOWER FROM NE TO SW TO IFR (60 TO 80%
CHANCE) AND POTENTIALLY LIFR (30 TO 40%). A 40-60% CHANCE OF MVFR
VSBYS REMAINS HIGH ENOUGH TO MAINTAIN MENTION IN 00Z TAF PACKAGE
THROUGH MUCH OF THE OVERNIGHT/EARLY MORNING SAT PERIOD. VSBYS WILL
IMPROVE BY MID-MORNING, WITH CEILINGS SET TO SLOWLY IMPROVE BACK
TO BKN MVFR BY LATE MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON. SKY CONDITIONS TO
BECOME SCT AND EVENTUALLY CLEAR NEAR THE END OR JUST AFTER THIS
PERIOD, 04/00Z. WINDS EASING THIS EVENING OUT OF THE W/NW,
SHIFTING TO THE NE AROUND MIDNIGHT AROUND 5KTS AND INCREASING TO
AROUND 10KTS SATURDAY MORNING.
CK
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 604 AM CST FRI JAN 2 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THE END OF THIS WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 53 64 44 63 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 53 60 41 59 / 10 10 0 0
DEQ 46 62 35 58 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 50 64 41 60 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 47 58 37 57 / 10 0 0 0
TYR 50 66 42 65 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 49 66 42 64 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 52 68 44 67 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...24
AVIATION...23
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page