289
FXUS64 KSHV 101135
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
535 AM CST SAT JAN 10 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1120 PM CST FRI JAN 9 2026
-TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 4 AM FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH
LOUISIANA.
-MORE SEASONABLE AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL SETTLE INTO THE REGION
STARTING THIS WEEKEND AND CONTINUING WELL INTO NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1112 PM CST FRI JAN 9 2026
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS MAINLY NORTH LOUISIANA INTO SOUTHEAST
TEXAS REMAINS THE SOURCE FOR CONVECTION ACROSS THE ARKLATEX THIS
EVENING. LOCATIONS IN THE WARM SECTOR EAST OF THE BOUNDARY ACROSS
NORTH LOUISIANA REMAIN IN A TORNADO WATCH THROUGH 4 AM. THE
COMBINATION OF THE CONVERGENCE OF WARM GULF MOISTURE ALONG THE
BOUNDARY AND AN APPROACHING UPPER-TROUGH FROM THE WEST COULD LEAD
TO STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT, CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING
WINDS, LARGE HAIL, AND POSSIBLE TORNADOES.
INCREASED MOISTURE COULD ALSO LEAD TO PATCHY FOG CONDITIONS ACROSS
PORTIONS OF EAST TEXAS AND NORTH LOUISIANA OVERNIGHT. HOWEVER,
CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO IMPROVE THROUGH DAYBREAK AS COOL AND
DRY HIGH PRESSURE BUILD ACROSS THE REGION. NORTHERLY WINDS ON
SATURDAY COULD APPROACH 15 MPH ACROSS PORTIONS OF EAST AND
NORTHEAST TEXAS. WINDS TO DROP OFF TO 5 MPH OR LESS ON SATURDAY
NIGHT WITH DRY AND STABLE CONDITIONS PREVAILING THEREAFTER THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.
COLD CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON HIGHS FORECAST TO CLIMB INTO THE 50S TO LOWER 60S AND
LOWS ON SATURDAY NIGHT IN THE 30S. THE COLDEST DAY OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD WILL BE ON SUNDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE 50S AND LOWS ON SUNDAY
NIGHT IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S. AS THE SURFACE HIGH SHIFTS
EAST, A GRADUAL WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH
ANOTHER REINFORCEMENT OF COLD AIR EXPECTED THEREAFTER. HIGHS IN
THE 50S AND LOWS NEAR FREEZING ARE EXPECTED ON THURSDAY MORNING.
/05/
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 531 AM CST SAT JAN 10 2026
COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO MAKE STEADY PROGRESS THROUGH OUR AIRSPACE
ATTM. STILL DEALING WITH SOME SHOWERS ACROSS OUR FAR SOUTHEAST
AIRSPACE BUT IT APPEARS OUR TERMINALS ARE DONE WITH ANY KIND OF
PRECIPITATION FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY. WHAT WE ARE DEALING
WITH HOWEVER IS MVFR AND OCCASIONAL IFR/LIFR CEILINGS IN THE WAKE
OF THE PRECIPITATION ACROSS N LA, NE TX AS WELL AS SC AR. IN
ADDITION, SATELLITE IS SHOWING AN AREA OF GROWING MVFR CEILINGS
JUST WEST OF OUR AIRSPACE ACROSS N TX INTO S OK THAT IS FILLING IN
BEHIND THE HIGH CLOUD COVER CLEARING LINE NORTH AND WEST OF THE
I-30 CORRIDOR. CANNOT RULE OUT THIS CLOUD COVER MOVING INTO OUR
AIRSPACE AFTER SUNRISE WHICH MAY DELAY WHAT SHOULD BECOME VFR
CONDITIONS BY LATE MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS ACROSS OUR ENTIRE AIRSPACE. LOOK FOR POST FRONTAL
NORTHWEST WINDS SUSTAINED NEAR 10-15KTS WITH GUSTS APPROACHING
30KTS IN SOME LOCATIONS BEFORE WINDS DROP OFF CLOSER TO SUNSET
THIS EVENING.
13
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1130 AM CST FRI JAN 9 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED OVERNIGHT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 61 39 58 35 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 63 39 54 31 / 20 0 0 0
DEQ 54 32 54 27 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 57 36 56 32 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 58 34 53 28 / 10 0 0 0
TYR 56 36 59 35 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 58 35 58 33 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 61 37 59 35 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...05
AVIATION...13
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