076
FXUS64 KSHV 251819
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1219 PM CST SUN JAN 25 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1203 PM CST SUN JAN 25 2026
- TRAVEL WILL CONTINUE TO BE TREACHEROUS THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY.
- DANGEROUSLY COLD TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT TONIGHT
AND INTO MONDAY MORNING AND AGAIN MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY
MORNING.
- SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS TO DAILY LIFE, INCLUDING DANGEROUS AND NEAR
IMPOSSIBLE DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE BEGINNING
OF THE WORK WEEK AS DANGEROUSLY COLD TEMPERATURES OVERNIGHT AND
HIGH TEMPERATURES SLOWLY RETURNING ABOVE FREEZING WILL LIMIT
THAWING OPPORTUNITIES UNTIL MIDWEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1228 AM CST SUN JAN 25 2026
ROUND 2 OF OUR WINTER STORM IS UNDERWAY AS THE UPPER TROUGH
RESPONSIBLE FOR MAXIMIZING ASCENT AND ROBUST OVERRUNNING OF GULF AND
PACIFIC MOISTURE ACROSS A BITTERLY COLD ARCTIC AIRMASS WORKS INTO
WEST TEXAS. WINTER PRECIPITATION COVERAGE CONTINUES TO INCREASE AS
THE BASE OF THE TROUGH MOVES CLOSER TO THE FOUR STATE REGION. AS A
RESULT, SLEET/SNOW SHOWERS AND PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN WILL
CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AND INTO DAYBREAK, WITH PERIODS OF HEAVIER
PRECIPITATION LINGERING INTO THE AFTERNOON. GIVEN THE ROBUST NATURE
OF THE CONVECTION OVERNIGHT AND THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING, INSTANCES
OF THUNDER CAN NOT BE RULED OUT, ESPECIALLY SINCE REPORTS OF THUNDER
HAVE ALREADY COME WITH EARLY BANDS OF HEAVY SLEET THIS EVENING.
CONFIDENCE IS HIGH THAT WINTER PRECIP WILL EXIT THE FA AROUND NOON,
THOUGH WHAT REMAINS ON THE GROUND IN THE FORM OF ICE AND SLEET WON'T
BE GOING AWAY ANYTIME SOON AS TEMPERATURES QUICKLY FALL INTO THE
SINGLE DIGITS AND LOW TEENS JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
THIS WINTER WEATHER EVENT IS REALLY BROKEN INTO TWO PARTS WITH ACT
ONE BEING THE ICE AND SLEET WE HAVE SEEN SINCE LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.
ACT TWO IS THE ARRIVAL OF A DANGEROUSLY COLD AIRMASS TO THE REGION
WHERE OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES FALL INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS AND LOW
TEENS FOR BOTH MONDAY AND TUESDAY AM, WHILE WIND CHILL VALUES FALL
BOTH NEAR AND SUB-ZERO. TO MAKE MATTERS WORSE, HIGH TEMPERATURES
MONDAY WILL STRUGGLE TO CLIMB ABOVE FREEZING, KEEPING ICE COVERED
ROADS DANGEROUS TO TRAVEL ON, EVEN THOUGH CREWS HAVE BEEN WORKING
TIRELESSLY TO TRY AND STAY AHEAD OF THE IMPACTS. BY TUESDAY
AFTERNOON, TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO RECOVER AS HIGHS CLIMB INTO
THE 40'S. THIS, COMBINED WITH ONGOING TREATMENT, SHOULD ALLOW FOR
THE THAW PROCESS TO BEGIN. THAT BEING SAID, WITH OVERNIGHT
TEMPERATURES BELOW FREEZING THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK, PERIODS
OF AFTERNOON THAW AND OVERNIGHT REFREEZE IS LIKELY, ESPECIALLY IN
AREAS UNTREATED REGULARLY IN THE DAYS TO COME.
EVEN WITH THE WINTER PRECIP IN THE REAR-VIEW MIRROR, BELOW AVERAGE
TEMPERATURES WILL HANG AROUND THROUGH THE END OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD, WITH A MOSTLY QUIET WEEK WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD. THE
MAIN CONCERN WILL OF COURSE BE THE TEMPERATURES, AND THOUGH THEY MAY
NOT BE AS COLD AS MONDAY AND TUESDAY, IT IS STILL IMPORTANT TO CHECK
IN ON THOSE MOST VULNERABLE IN THESE SITUATIONS. THIS IS ESPECIALLY
TRUE AS MANY BATTLE POWER OUTAGES IN THE DAYS AHEAD.
RK
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1203 PM CST SUN JAN 25 2026
FOR THE 25/18Z TAFS, WINTRY PRECIPITATION HAS EXITED TO THE EAST
OF ALL TAF SITES. REGIONAL RADAR LOOPS INDICATE SOME ADDITIONAL
SNOW IS ONGOING ACROSS WESTERN NORTH TEXAS, WHICH COULD AFFECT
LOCATIONS ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20 THIS EVENING AND
TONIGHT. HOWEVER, OVERALL PRECIP CHANCES ARE VERY LOW, SO A
MENTION OF PRECIP WAS NOT INCLUDED IN THE TAFS. ADDITIONAL
ACCUMULATIONS ARE ONLY EXPECTED TO BE TRACE AMOUNTS. OTHERWISE,
MVFR AND IFR CEILINGS WILL PERSIST AREAWIDE THROUGH AT LEAST
26/06Z IN MOST LOCATIONS. CEILINGS SHOULD START TO GRADUALLY
IMPROVE FROM WEST TO EAST WITH ALL TAF SITES BECOMING VFR DURING
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
NUTTALL
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 614 AM CST SUN JAN 25 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.
/15/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 31 15 35 15 / 50 0 0 0
MLU 31 13 31 10 / 100 0 0 0
DEQ 25 3 32 3 / 40 10 0 0
TXK 28 8 31 12 / 50 10 0 0
ELD 29 9 32 10 / 80 10 0 0
TYR 25 12 32 16 / 30 0 0 0
GGG 28 12 34 12 / 30 0 0 0
LFK 32 16 37 14 / 30 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...EXTREME COLD WARNING FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON CST TUESDAY
FOR ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073.
LA...EXTREME COLD WARNING FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON CST TUESDAY
FOR LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022.
OK...EXTREME COLD WARNING FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON CST TUESDAY
FOR OKZ077.
TX...EXTREME COLD WARNING FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON CST TUESDAY
FOR TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167.
DISCUSSION...53
AVIATION...09
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page