143
FXUS64 KSHV 270138
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
738 PM CST MON JAN 26 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1213 PM CST MON JAN 26 2026
- DANGEROUSLY COLD TEMPERATURES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS
ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT.
- HIGHS WILL CLIMB BACK ABOVE FREEZING TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR
MOST, BUT FALL BELOW FREEZING OVERNIGHT ALLOWING FOR SOME
REFREEZE.
- LOW END PRECIPITATION CHANCES RETURN LATE THURSDAY AND INTO
FRIDAY AS A WEAK SHORTWAVE MOVES ACROSS THE REGION.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1213 PM CST MON JAN 26 2026
A MOSTLY CLOUD FREE PRESENTATION ON GOES VISIBLE SHOWCASES THE
WIDESPREAD IMPACTS OF THE WEEKEND WINTER STORM AS SNOW AND ICE IS
PRESENT FROM CENTRAL NEW MEXICO ALL THE WAY TO THE MID-ATLANTIC
AND NORTHEAST STATES. BACK AT HOME, A COLD AFTERNOON IS UNDERWAY
WITH HIGHS BARELY REACHING FREEZING THROUGH THE DAYTIME HOURS.
HIGH PRESSURE IS QUICKLY FILLING IN OVERHEAD, ALLOWING FOR AMPLE
SUNSHINE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THAT BEING SAID, THIS SAME HIGH
PRESSURE WILL ALLOW FOR WINDS TO GO MOSTLY CALM OVERNIGHT, WITH
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES OVERHEAD. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR TEMPERATURES TO
GO COLDER TONIGHT WHEN COMPARED TO THIS MORNING AS THE LAST NIGHT
OF OUR EXTREME COLD WARNING FINISHES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND
TEENS. COMBINE THIS AIRMASS WITH THE PRESENT ICE PACK ON THE
GROUND AND THIS WILL ONLY EXACERBATE THE DANGEROUSLY COLD TEMPS
OVERNIGHT. THE GOOD NEWS HOWEVER IS THAT A QUICK LOOK OUTSIDE THIS
AFTERNOON SHOWS THAT SOME MELTING IS OCCURRING, BUT GIVEN THAT
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW FREEZING, ANY SIGNIFICANT MELTING
WON'T OCCUR UNTIL TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS TEMPERATURES
CLIMB INTO THE 40'S TO NEAR 50 DEG F. WE CLIMB EVEN FURTHER INTO
THE 50'S BY THURSDAY, WHICH WILL HELP TO EAT AWAY AT THE PRESENT
ICE PACK.
BY THURSDAY NIGHT, LOW END POPS DO RETURN TO THE FORECAST AS A
WEAK SHORTWAVE DIVES SOUTH ACROSS THE FOUR STATE REGION. GIVEN A
WEAK MOISTURE SIGNATURE AHEAD OF THE SHORTWAVE FORCING, THINKING
WAS THAT THE BASE NBM PROBS FOR PRECIP WERE A BIT OVERDONE. AS A
RESULT, THESE HAVE BEEN CUT DOWN TO ACCOUNT FOR SOME UNCERTAINTY
AND LIMITED CONFIDENCE. GIVEN THE SENSITIVITY FROM RECENT EVENTS
OVER THE WEEKEND, CONFIDENCE IN FURTHER WINTER WEATHER IMPACTS
REMAIN LOW AT THIS TIME. THIS SHORTWAVE WILL KICK OUT OF THE
REGION BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON, AS ANOTHER COLD ARCTIC AIRMASS SPILLS
SOUTHWARD AND INTO THE REGION FOR THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. AS OF
RIGHT NOW, THE INFLUENCE OF THE AIRMASS IS FORECAST TO SUPPORT
OVERNIGHT LOWS SATURDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT IN THE TEENS AND LOW 20'S
ONCE AGAIN. HIGH TEMPERATURES LOOK TO MODERATE BY EARLY NEXT WEEK.
RK
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 719 PM CST MON JAN 26 2026
FOR THE 27/00Z, SOME PATCHY MVFR CIGS CONTINUE TO IMPACT A FEW OF
OUR TERMINALS THIS EVENING, MAINLY IN SOUTH AR AND AREAS SOUTH OF
I-20. EXPECT THESE CIGS TO CONTINUE SHIFTING E/SE AND GRADUALLY
DIMINISH OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS WITH VFR CONDITIONS RETURNING TO
ALL SITES BY OR SHORTLY AFTER 03Z. LOOK FOR INCREASING CIRRUS AS
WE GO THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY, SPREADING FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS
OUR AIRSPACE. WINDS WILL TREND LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT AS SFC
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION, BECOMING SWLY ON TUESDAY
WITH SPEEDS GENERALLY RANGING BETWEEN 5-10 KTS.
/19/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 536 AM CST MON JAN 26 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGHOUT THIS WEEK.
/15/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 13 42 21 48 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 15 44 24 48 / 0 0 0 0
DEQ 5 39 14 44 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 11 39 19 45 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 11 42 16 46 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 15 40 20 45 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 13 40 19 47 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 14 43 20 51 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...EXTREME COLD WARNING UNTIL NOON CST TUESDAY FOR ARZ050-051-
059>061-070>073.
LA...EXTREME COLD WARNING UNTIL NOON CST TUESDAY FOR LAZ001>006-
010>014-017>022.
OK...EXTREME COLD WARNING UNTIL NOON CST TUESDAY FOR OKZ077.
TX...EXTREME COLD WARNING UNTIL NOON CST TUESDAY FOR TXZ096-097-
108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167.
DISCUSSION...53
AVIATION...19
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page