859
FXUS64 KSHV 291844
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1244 PM CST THU JAN 29 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1201 AM CST THU JAN 29 2026
- TODAY WILL BE OUR WARMEST DAY UNTIL NEXT WEEK AS ANOTHER SURGE
OF VERY COLD ARCTIC AIR PUSHES INTO OUR FOUR-STATE AREA
TONIGHT. MELTING OF LINGERING ICE AND SNOW WILL CONTINUE.
- BITTERLY COLD TEMPERATURES WILL IMPACT OUR ENTIRE AREA AGAIN
FRIDAY NIGHT WITH A WIND CHILLY SATURDAY AND COLDER OVERNIGHT.
PEOPLE, PIPES, PETS, AND PLANTS NEED TO BE PROTECTED FROM THE
HAZARDOUS COLD.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1054 AM CST THU JAN 29 2026
TEMPERATURES ARE THANKFULLY CLIMBING WELL ABOVE FREEZING AGAIN
TODAY WITH DEPARTING CLOUDS ALLOWING FOR MORE ICE-MELTING SUNSHINE
THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS SHOULD MAINLY BE IN THE 50S TODAY AND JUST A
BIT SHY OF CLIMATOLOGICAL AVERAGES FOR THE DATE. UNFORTUNATELY,
TEMPERATURES WILL BE TRENDING BACK DOWN AFTER TODAY AS ANOTHER
COLD FRONT SLIDES THROUGH THE REGION FROM WEST TO EAST TONIGHT.
THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF CLOUDS IN TONIGHT AND
THIS SHOULD HELP HOLD THE TEMPERATURES UP SOME COMPARED TO THE
LAST FEW NIGHTS. MANY LOCATIONS ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHERN ZONES
MAY ACTUALLY NOT QUITE GET DOWN TO FREEZING TONIGHT, WHICH IS A
(TEMPORARY) MINOR ACHIEVEMENT! THERE IS ENOUGH MOISTURE AND LIFT
WITH THE SYSTEM TONIGHT TO PERHAPS GET A FEW REGULAR RAIN SHOWERS
IN OUR FAR NORTH, BUT THE POTENTIAL FOR ANY IMPACTFUL WINTRY
PRECIPITATION IS VERY LOW.
THIS INITIAL FRONT WILL NOT CARRY EXTREMELY COLD AIR BACK INTO THE
REGION FOR THE DAYTIME FRIDAY, ALTHOUGH A GOOD DEAL OF CLOUDS
SHOULD LIKELY HOLD HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 40S FOR MOST AREAS
TOMORROW. BUT THIS INITIAL FRONT SETS THE STAGE FOR ANOTHER
ARCTIC BLAST STARTING TO MOVE INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTH
TOMORROW NIGHT. GUSTY NORTH WINDS BEHIND THIS SECONDARY FRONT WILL
BE DROPPING TEMPERATURES AND WIND CHILLS QUICKLY FRIDAY NIGHT
WITH A WIND CHILL RANGE OF NEAR ZERO IN THE FAR NORTH TO AROUND 15
DEGREES F IN THE FAR SOUTH COME DAYBREAK SATURDAY. ACTUAL AIR
TEMPERATURES BY THAT TIME WILL RANGE FROM NEAR 10 DEGREES F IN THE
FAR NORTH TO THE LOWER 20S IN THE FAR SOUTH. THIS LEVEL OF COLD
FITS WITH COLD WEATHER ADVISORY CRITERIA ACROSS OUR WHOLE AREA AND
THIS ADVISORY WILL GO FROM MIDNIGHT TOMORROW NIGHT THROUGH NOON
SATURDAY. HIGHS SATURDAY WILL MAINLY RANGE FROM THE LOW TO MID 30S
UNDER FULL SUNSHINE, BUT AT LEAST SLACKENING WINDS BY LATER
SATURDAY WILL PRODUCE LESS OF A WIND CHILL. LOWS SATURDAY NIGHT
WILL BE MOSTLY IN THE 15 TO 20 DEGREE RANGE. ONE OTHER THING TO
MENTION WITH THE ARRIVAL OF THE SECONDARY ARCTIC COLD FRONT - SOME
LIGHT AND NON IMPACTFUL SNOW FLURRIES WILL BE POSSIBLE, MAINLY
ACROSS THE ARKLAMISS REGION LATER FRIDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING.
A GRADUAL WARMING TREND WILL COMMENCE SUNDAY WITH HIGHS SUNDAY IN
THE 40S, MAINLY IN THE 50S MONDAY, AND POTENTIALLY EVEN SEEING THE
60 DEGREE MARK REACH IN SOME SOUTHERN AREAS ON TUESDAY. LOWS BY
TUESDAY MORNING SHOULD MAINLY BE ABOVE FREEZING IN MOST AREAS,
ASIDE FROM FAR NORTHERN AND EASTERN ZONES. CLOUDS SHOULD BE ON THE
QUICK INCREASE ON TUESDAY AS ANOTHER SYSTEM AND RELATED COLD FRONT
MOVES IN. RIGHT NOW, CHANCES ARE RELATIVELY HIGH THAT THIS ROUND
OF PRECIPITATION SHOULD BE ALL RAIN FROM LATER TUESDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH SEASONABLY CHILLY AIR LIKELY COMING BACK IN
IN THE WAKE OF THIS SYSTEM. THERE IS STILL A BIT OF UNCERTAINTY
REGARDING PRECIPITATION TYPE WITH THIS SYSTEM IN OUR FAR NORTH AND
WE WILL BE MONITORING THE POTENTIAL FOR ANY BRIEF WINDOW OF WINTRY
PRECIP TYPES CLOSELY WITH THIS SYSTEM AS WE GO THROUGH THE REST OF
THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND. /50/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1240 PM CST THU JAN 29 2026
FOR THE 29/18Z TAF PERIOD...VFR CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE
REGION FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS WITH SOME PASSING HIGH CLOUDS.
EVENTUALLY, A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION AFTER SUNSET
THIS EVENING. THIS COULD BRING US SOME LOW CLOUDS AND REDUCED
FLIGHT CATEGORIES, WITH SOME SLIGHT RAIN CHANCES AT THE ALL THE
TAF SITES, EXCEPT THE ONES ACROSS EAST TEXAS. THE LOW CLOUDS WILL
HANG AROUND THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE TAF PERIOD, WITH NNW
WINDS GUSTING AS HIGH AS 20 MPH. /20/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1201 AM CST THU JAN 29 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH THIS WEEKEND. /24/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 58 35 47 21 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 54 35 44 19 / 0 0 0 0
DEQ 52 26 44 11 / 0 10 0 0
TXK 55 34 45 17 / 0 10 0 0
ELD 55 31 42 15 / 0 10 0 10
TYR 57 30 47 19 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 58 31 47 19 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 61 34 50 24 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT TO NOON CST
SATURDAY FOR ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073.
LA...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT TO NOON CST
SATURDAY FOR LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022.
OK...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT TO NOON CST
SATURDAY FOR OKZ077.
TX...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT TO NOON CST
SATURDAY FOR TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-
165>167.
DISCUSSION...50
AVIATION...20
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