026
FXUS64 KSHV 300724
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
124 AM CST FRI JAN 30 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1150 PM CST THU JAN 29 2026
- TODAY WILL BE OUR WARMEST DAY UNTIL NEXT WEEK AS ANOTHER SURGE
OF VERY COLD ARCTIC AIR PUSHES INTO OUR FOUR-STATE AREA
TONIGHT. MELTING OF LINGERING ICE AND SNOW WILL CONTINUE.
- BITTERLY COLD TEMPERATURES WILL IMPACT OUR ENTIRE AREA AGAIN
FRIDAY NIGHT WITH A WIND CHILLY SATURDAY AND COLDER OVERNIGHT.
PEOPLE, PIPES, PETS, AND PLANTS NEED TO BE PROTECTED FROM THE
HAZARDOUS COLD.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1150 PM CST THU JAN 29 2026
WE HAVE HAD ANOTHER ARCTIC FRONT ACROSS OUR DOORSTEPS OVERNIGHT
WITH GUSTY NW WINDS DOING THE PUSHING. THE WARM AIR LIFTED AWAY
WITH LITTLE MORE THAN A LOW CLOUD DECK AROUND 5-6KFT OVERNIGHT
EAST OF I-49. TEMPERATURES WILL BE TRENDING DOWN AGAIN THIS
WEEKEND WITH 40S TODAY AND 30S FOR HIGHS ON SATURDAY. THE WIND
CHILL ADDITION WILL BE FELT, BUT OUR RECENTLY SLEET/ICE MELT
SOAKED SOILS WILL BEGIN TO DRY IN THE LOWERING HUMIDITY AS OUR DEW
POINTS CRATER.
LOWS WILL BE ABOUT AVERAGE THIS MORNING PLUS THE CHILL AND HIGHS
TODAY WILL BE SOME 10 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGES FOR LATE JANUARY. AS
THE CENTER OF THE AIR MASS ARRIVES OUR SURFACE WINDS WILL BE
SHIFTING TO N AND NE DURING SATURDAY BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE
OVERNIGHT. THE CORE OF THE CONTINENTAL AIR WILL BRING LOWS BACK TO
20 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE RIGHT AHEAD OF THE GROUND HOG STICKING
HIS NOSE OUT EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE GOOD NEWS IS THAT SE WINDS
STIRRING EARLY ON SUNDAY WILL SHIFT TO SW FOR THE AFTERNOON AND
KEEP S/SW FOR THE BEGINNING OF THE NEW MONTH WITH CLEAR SKIES AND
A SHADOW TO BE SEEN BRINGING MORE WINTER. ;^)
HOWEVER, THIS IS STILL A LA NINA WINTER AND THE TWO WEEK
OUTLOOK ACCORDS WITH BELOW AVERAGE RAINFALL AND AROUND AVERAGE
TEMPERATURES. BURN BANS WILL LIKELY SLOWLY RETURN AS WE DRY OUT
TOO MUCH AGAIN WITH POTENTIAL WILDFIRE IMPACTS ON THE WINDIEST
DAYS AHEAD. THE DRY ARCTIC AIR WILL QUICKLY DRY OUT ANYTHING
ELEVATED AND YET NOT GREEN YET, WHILE LEAVES WILL RETAIN MORE
MOISTURE HAVING BEEN PINNED THE COLD WET SOIL LATELY. SO OUR
WINDOW FOR BURNING WILL BE OPEN FOR A WHILE, BUT CAN'T LAST LONG,
SO ENJOY THE CHILLY DAYS "WINTER CLEANING" AND WAX NOT TIRED OR
THE WIND WILL SCATTER ALL ONCE MORE.
OUR NEXT COLD FRONT WILL BE PACIFIC AND NOT SOLELY ARCTIC.
SOUTHERLY WINDS QUICKLY BRING BACK NORMS IN THE 50S LOWS IN THE
ABOVE FREEZING. THE CLOUDS AND RAIN WILL KEEP THE HEAT IN WITH A
BIT MORE NEEDED RAINFALL. THEN IS DRY FRONTS WARM COLD, WARM COLD
AND WARMER NOT SO COLD FOR OUR FOUR-STATE AREA INTO MID FEBRUARY.
BY THE WAY IT'S ABOUT 7 WEEKS RIGHT NOW UNTIL SPRING AND YOU THINK
THE GROUND HOG WOULD BE HALF RIGHT WITH THIS YES OR NO
PROPOSITION, BUT HE'S ONLY 40% RIGHT ANYWAY. ONE'S THING IS FOR
SURE OUR DROUGHT MONITOR'S BREAK IS ABOUT OVER UNTIL WE GO NEUTRAL
OR EL NINO. /24/
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1140 PM CST THU JAN 29 2026
FOR THE 30/06Z TAF PERIOD, VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL FOR NOW BUT A
COLD FRONT ADVANCING ACROSS THE REGION THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT
IS EXPECTED TO BRING SOME MVFR CIGS TO OUR EASTERN TERMINALS LATER
THIS MORNING. THESE CIGS WILL GRADUALLY LIFT THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
FOLLOWING FROPA WITH N/NW WINDS BETWEEN 10-15 KTS WITH SOME HIGHER
GUSTS POSSIBLE THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY ON FRIDAY BEFORE DECREASING
NEAR THE END OF THE PERIOD. IF MVFR CIGS DO MANAGE TO MATERIALIZE,
EXPECT THEM TO EVENTUALLY RETURN TO LOW VFR BY MID TO LATE FRIDAY
AFTERNOON WHERE THEY MAY LINGER A BIT LONGER ACROSS OUR EASTERN
TERMINALS BEFORE IMPROVING CLOSER TO 31/00Z.
/19/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1150 PM CST THU JAN 29 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH THIS CALENDAR
CHANGING WINTER WEEKEND. /24/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 57 35 47 22 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 56 34 43 20 / 0 0 0 0
DEQ 54 25 43 11 / 0 10 0 0
TXK 58 33 44 18 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 55 30 42 16 / 0 10 0 0
TYR 63 29 47 21 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 62 30 47 20 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 64 33 50 24 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT TO NOON CST
SATURDAY FOR ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073.
LA...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT TO NOON CST
SATURDAY FOR LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022.
OK...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT TO NOON CST
SATURDAY FOR OKZ077.
TX...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT TO NOON CST
SATURDAY FOR TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-
165>167.
DISCUSSION...24
AVIATION...19
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