468
FXUS64 KSHV 311254
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
654 AM CST SAT JAN 31 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1242 AM CST SAT JAN 31 2026
- A VERY COLD START TO THE WEEKEND WITH ARCTIC FRIGID WIND CHILLS
THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS UNTIL THE AIR MASS CENTER ARRIVES
WITH THE COLD WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EVERYWHERE.
- WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHTER SATURDAY NIGHT WITH OUR COLDEST LOW
TEMPERATURES RANGING IN THE MIDDLE TEENS TO LOWER AND MID 20S.
- WARM TREND ENSUES WITH SOUTHERLY WINDS BY SUNDAY AND INTO NEXT
WEEK WITH OUR NEXT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM
TUESDAY AND THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT WITH A WEAKER ARCTIC AIR MASS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1242 AM CST SAT JAN 31 2026
SOME PASSING LOW CLOUDS DIVING SOUTHWARD OVERNIGHT AS THE NW
WINDS BECAME GUSTY UNDER A SPOKE OR LOBE OF THE PARENT LOW MOVING
OVER MEMPHIS. WE ARE LOCKED IN NOW FOR A COUPLE OF DAYS OF ARCTIC
CHILL AS THE HUGE CANADIAN SURFACE AIR MASS SETTLES IN THE THE
LOWER MS RIVER VALLEY. THEN AS THE CENTER OF THE AIR MASS ARRIVES,
OUR WINDS WILL RELAX MUCH LIGHTER OR EVEN CALM WIND CENTER OF THE
HIGH SLIDES RIGHT DOWN I-49. THIS WILL THEN SHIFT OUR WINDS BACK
TO S/SW FOR A WARMER TREND INTO NEXT WEEK WITH A GOOD CHANCE FOR
SOME MORE NEEDED RAINFALL ON TUESDAY.
LITTLE CHANGE TO ADVERTISE DURING NEXT WEEK ASIDE FROM PERHAPS A
SLIGHTLY QUICKLY PACE WITH RAINFALL DEPARTING OVERNIGHT TUESDAY.
THE WPC DAY 4 QPF PAINTS ACROSS OUR REGION WITH TENTH TO QUARTER
INCH AMOUNTS FOR I-30 AND HALF TO ONE INCH AMOUNTS DOWN I-49
ACROSS OUR PARISHES. WE MAY SEE A FEW SITES BEST AN INCH IN CENLA.
THEN OUR NEXT AND SLIGHTLY WEAKER 1035MB ARCTIC HIGH WILL BRING
BRISK NW WINDS BACK TO OUR FOUR- STATE AREA FOR MIDWEEK AND LATE.
A THIRD AIR MASS AT 1038MB WILL ARRIVE WITH SE EYE MORE FOR THE
OH RIVER VALLEY, GLANCING BRIEFLY BY OUR AREA WITH A BIT MORE
RAINFALL IN STORE TOWARD MID MONTH. /24/
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 643 AM CST SAT JAN 31 2026
VFR ACROSS THE AIRSPACE AS CLOUD COVERAGE HAS QUICKLY DISSIPATED
THROUGH THE MORNING. TEMPERATURES REMAIN COLD, AVERAGING IN THE
MID AND UPPER 20'S. SKC SHOULD HOLD STEADY THROUGH MUCH OF THE
PERIOD AHEAD OF A RETURN OF SCT/BKN COVERAGE AROUND 5KFT, WITH A
BKN/OVC DECK AROUND 10KFT NEAR OR JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT. BREEZY
NORTHERLY WINDS AROUND 10KT, WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 15-20KT WILL BE
THE PRIMARY CONCERN EARLY IN THE PERIOD. WINDS WILL TAPER OFF
TOWARDS THE END OF THE PERIOD, WITH MOST TERMINALS GOING A LIGHT
VRB OR CALM OVERNIGHT.
RK
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1056 AM CST FRI JAN 30 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE NEXT 7 DAYS.
13
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 36 24 49 33 / 0 10 0 0
MLU 33 19 44 27 / 0 10 0 0
DEQ 33 16 44 23 / 0 10 0 0
TXK 33 22 48 30 / 0 10 0 0
ELD 33 18 46 26 / 0 10 0 0
TYR 36 24 50 34 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 36 21 50 31 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 39 22 52 32 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR ARZ050-051-
059>061-070>073.
LA...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR LAZ001>006-
010>014-017>022.
OK...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR OKZ077.
TX...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR TXZ096-097-
108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167.
DISCUSSION...24
AVIATION...53
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