238
FXUS64 KSHV 020724
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
124 AM CST MON FEB 2 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1159 PM CST SUN FEB 1 2026
- WARMER TEMPERATURES START THIS FIRST WEEK OF FEBRUARY AS WE
CONTINUE TO THAW OUT FROM LAST WEEK'S WINTER STORM.
- OUR NEXT COLD FRONT AND UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL BEGIN SPREADING
SHOWERS ACROSS OUR NE TX ZONES IN THE PREDAWN HOURS ON TUESDAY
WITH INCREASING COVERAGE AND INTENSITY, ENDING OVERNIGHT.
- BELOW AVERAGE 50S FOR HIGHS AND 30S FOR LOWS RETURN IN THE
WAKE OF THE FRONT FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. THEN REBOOT
WARMER TEMPERATURES FOR FRIDAY AND UPCOMING BUSY WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1159 PM CST SUN FEB 1 2026
CLEAR SKIES FOR CLAUDE THE CRAWFISH TO SEE HIS SHADOW FOR US WITH
6 MORE WEEKS OF WINTER TECHNICALLY EITHER WAY, BUT OUR ACTUAL
WEEKS WILL RUN ABOVE AVERAGE THROUGH MID MONTH, IN LOOKING AT THE
CPC 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK. AVERAGE IS 60 DEGREES THIS TIME OF YEAR,
AND WE WILL REMAIN ABOVE THAT FOR A COUPLE OF DAYS, THEN BACK TO
JUST BELOW FOR A COUPLE OF DAYS. HOWEVER WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL
BE RETURNING FOR VALENTINE'S DAY AND OUR MARDI GRAS FESTIVITIES
OVER THE WEEKEND.
SO WHEN WILL THE CLOUDS RETURN? NO SHADOW PERHAPS BEFORE SUNDOWN
TODAY AS OUR LOW BEGINS TO APPROACH SLIDING DOWN THE RED RIVER
VALLEY. WE'LL SEE SHOWERS PRE DAWN ON TUESDAY THAT WILL INCREASE
IN COVERAGE AND TO SOME DEGREE INTENSITY, BUT KEEPING BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS WITH CONSIDERATION OF THE SPC DAY 2 OUTLOOK AND ENDING
OVERNIGHT. THE WPC IS LOOKING FOR A TENTH TO QUARTER INCH OR SO
ALONG I-30 AND THEN BUILDING HIGHER TOTALS DOWN I-49 TO NEAR AN
INCH IN A FEW LOCALES. OUR WINDS WILL BE SW TODAY AND S ON
TUESDAY, BUT SHIFTING TO NW LATE ON TUESDAY, ENDING THE RAIN AND
SPREADING BACK DOWN SLIGHTLY BELOW AVERAGE TEMPS FOR HIGHS AND
LOWS DURING MIDWEEK. THEN ANOTHER WEAK DRY FRONTAL PASSAGE
PRECEDES THE BUSY WEEKEND. /24/
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1053 PM CST SUN FEB 1 2026
FOR THE 02/06Z TAFS, VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS AREA
AIRSPACE THROUGHOUT THE COURSE OF THIS FORECAST PERIOD. NEAR SKC
CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE NIGHT, FOLLOWED BY A POSSIBLE
BRIEF DROP TO MVFR CIGS AT KLFK. A MORE WIDESPREAD HIGH CLOUD DECK
LOOKS TO PUSH IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD.
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT, AT MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 5 TO 10 KTS WITH GUSTS OF UP TO 20 KTS
POSSIBLE.
/26/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1159 PM CST SUN FEB 1 2026
FORECAST THUNDERSTORMS ON TUESDAY AND THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT ALONG
AND SOUTH OF I-20 FROM TEXAS INTO LOUISIANA, ARE NOT EXPECTED TO
BECOME SEVERE. SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
/24/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 50 33 66 51 / 0 0 0 20
MLU 45 28 61 44 / 0 0 0 0
DEQ 45 23 60 41 / 0 0 0 30
TXK 48 31 64 49 / 0 0 0 30
ELD 47 27 63 45 / 0 0 0 10
TYR 50 35 65 53 / 0 0 0 30
GGG 51 32 65 50 / 0 0 0 30
LFK 52 32 65 52 / 0 0 0 10
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...24
AVIATION...26
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