013
FXUS64 KSHV 041741
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1141 AM CST WED FEB 4 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CST WED FEB 4 2026
- SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SEEN THROUGH THE DAY HAVE COME TO AN
END AS A COLD FRONT HAS ALMOST CLEARED THE AREA.
- SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL HIGHS FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WITH
SOME SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.
- DRASTIC INCREASE IN TEMPERATURES AS WE MOVE INTO THE WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CST WED FEB 4 2026
THE COLD FRONT THAT HAS SLOWLY MOVED THROUGH THE REGION TODAY HAS
ALMOST CLEARED US TO THE SOUTHEAST. AS A RESULT, MOST OF THE
PRECIPITATION HAS COME TO AN END, WITH ONLY A FEW LINGERING LIGHT
SHOWERS ACROSS OUR FAR SOUTHEAST ZONES. THE COLD FRONT WILL
CONTINUE TO PUSH TO THE SOUTHEAST AND OUT OF OUR REGION TONIGHT,
AND TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO RESPOND TO THE CAA AND NORTHERLY
FLOW BEHIND THE FRONT. TEMPERATURES AS WE WAKE UP WEDNESDAY
MORNING WILL RANGE FROM NEAR 32 DEGREES ACROSS SOME OF OUR
NORTHERN ZONES TO AROUND 40 DEGREES ACROSS AREAS OF DEEP EAST
TEXAS. TEMPERATURES WILL HAVE A HARD TIME RECOVERING TODAY, WITH
HIGHS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 50S ACROSS THE REGION. THURSDAY
MORNING WILL EASILY BE OUR COOLEST DAY OF THE WEEK, WITH
TEMPERATURES STARTING OFF IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S ACROSS OUR
NORTHERN ZONES AND THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S ACROSS THE REST OF
THE REGION. WHILE TEMPERATURES WILL BE ON THE INCREASE FOR
THURSDAY, THEY WILL REMAIN SLIGHTLY BELOW SEASONABLE NORMALS.
BY THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING, RIDGING ALOFT WILL BEGIN TO
BUILD ACROSS WESTERN TEXAS AND A SURFACE HIGH WILL BEGIN TO MOVE
INTO OUR REGION. THIS WILL BRING A DRASTIC CHANGE IN TEMPERATURES
FOR FRIDAY WITH HIGHS RETURNING WELL INTO THE LOWER TO MID 70S.
SIMILAR CONDITIONS WILL FOLLOW FOR SATURDAY, SUNDAY AND WELL INTO
NEXT WEEK. NOT SURE WHY OUR AREA LIKES TO GO FROM ONE EXTREME TO
THE NEXT SO QUICKLY BUT HERE WE ARE. PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL BE
MINIMAL THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY WITH SOME MODELS PICKING UP MORE
WIDESPREAD RAIN BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. OTHERWISE, SHOULD BE A
PRETTY TRANQUIL FORECAST. /33/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1132 AM CST WED FEB 4 2026
FEW HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS PREVAIL ACROSS THE REGION AT THE BEGINNING
OF THIS PERIOD. A LOW VFR CLOUD DECK SHOULD DEVELOP FOR
NORTHEASTERN SITES LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. CEILINGS
SHOULD BEGIN TO LOWER BUT BECOME LIGHTER EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.
THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY ON CLOUD COVER FOR THE END OF THIS TAF
PERIOD THAT SHOULD STRAIGHTEN OUT IN FUTURE PACKAGES. WINDS THIS
PERIOD MAY GUST UP TO 20 KTS IN SOME AREAS THIS AFTERNOON AND CALM
DOWN TO AROUND 5 KTS OVERNIGHT TONIGHT, GENERALLY STAYING
NORTHERLY UNTIL SHIFTING NORTHWESTERLY BY THURSDAY MORNING. /57/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CST WED FEB 4 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 34 61 44 75 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 30 55 40 70 / 0 0 0 0
DEQ 27 60 35 73 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 32 61 42 74 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 27 57 38 72 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 34 64 43 76 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 32 62 41 76 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 34 62 43 74 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...33
AVIATION...57
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