896
FXUS64 KSHV 041929
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
129 PM CST WED FEB 4 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1237 PM CST WED FEB 4 2026
- QUIET AND COOLER CONDITIONS WILL SETTLE OVER THE REGION, WITH A
WARMING TREND THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK.
- A WEAK COOL FRONT WILL COOL FRONT WILL BRING SOME SLIGHTLY
COOLER TEMPERATURES OVER THE WEEKEND, BUT DRY CONDITIONS WILL
CONTINUE.
- SLIGHT RAIN CHANCES WILL RETURN TO PORTIONS OF THE REGION EARLY
NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1237 PM CST WED FEB 4 2026
NORTHWEST WINDS IN WAKE OF LAST NIGHT'S COLD FRONT CONTINUE TO
PUSH IN A COOLER AND DRIER AIR MASS INTO THE REGION. AFTERNOON
HIGHS TODAY WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 50S TO AROUND 60 DEGREES UNDER
SUNNY SKIES. EXPECT LITTLE CLOUD COVER AND LIGHT WINDS TONIGHT AS
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION. THIS SHOULD ALLOW
FOR DECENT RADIATIONAL COOLING OVERNIGHT, ALLOWING FOR MOST OF THE
FORECAST AREA TO FALL TO NEAR OR JUST BELOW FREEZING BY TOMORROW
MORNING, AS TEMPERATURES BOTTOM OUT BETWEEN THE UPPER 20S AND
LOWER 30S. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK, WITH A GRADUAL WARMING
TREND, AS AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL EVENTUALLY CLIMB INTO THE LOW TO
MID 70S BY FRIDAY.
A WEAK COOL FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION ON SATURDAY,
BRINGING US SOME SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES, BUT DRY CONDITIONS
WILL REMAIN. UPPER RIDGING WILL QUICKLY BUILD INTO THE REGION IN
WAKE OF THE FRONT, KEEPING DRY WEATHER IN PLACE THROUGH THE FIRST
PORTIONS OF NEXT WEEK. MODELS ALSO SUGGEST WARMER CONDITIONS WILL
RETURN DURING THIS PERIOD, AND POSSIBLY INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK, WITH DAILY AFTERNOON HIGHS CLIMBING BACK INTO THE LOW TO MID
70S. BEYOND MONDAY, LONG-TERM PROGS SUGGEST OUR UPPER PATTERN
WILL BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY, AS A CLOSED UPPER TROUGH WILL SLIDE
EASTWARD OUT OF BAJA AND NORTHERN MEXICO INTO SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS.
THIS WOULD RESULT IN RAIN CHANCES RETURNING ACROSS A LARGE PORTION
OF THE REGION TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK. THIS PRECIPITATION
WOULD BE WELCOMED, AS MODERATE TO SEVER DROUGHT CONDITIONS REMAIN
ACROSS MOST OF OUR FORECAST AREA.
/20/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1132 AM CST WED FEB 4 2026
FEW HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS PREVAIL ACROSS THE REGION AT THE BEGINNING
OF THIS PERIOD. A LOW VFR CLOUD DECK SHOULD DEVELOP FOR
NORTHEASTERN SITES LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. CEILINGS
SHOULD BEGIN TO LOWER BUT BECOME LIGHTER EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.
THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY ON CLOUD COVER FOR THE END OF THIS TAF
PERIOD THAT SHOULD STRAIGHTEN OUT IN FUTURE PACKAGES. WINDS THIS
PERIOD MAY GUST UP TO 20 KTS IN SOME AREAS THIS AFTERNOON AND CALM
DOWN TO AROUND 5 KTS OVERNIGHT TONIGHT, GENERALLY STAYING
NORTHERLY UNTIL SHIFTING NORTHWESTERLY BY THURSDAY MORNING. /57/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1237 PM CST WED FEB 4 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AT THIS
TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 58 34 61 44 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 54 30 55 40 / 0 0 0 0
DEQ 54 27 60 35 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 57 32 61 42 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 53 27 57 38 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 59 34 64 43 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 60 32 62 41 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 60 34 62 43 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...20
AVIATION...57
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