447
FXUS64 KSHV 050537
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1137 PM CST WED FEB 4 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1237 PM CST WED FEB 4 2026
- QUIET AND COOLER CONDITIONS WILL SETTLE OVER THE REGION, WITH A
WARMING TREND THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK.
- A WEAK COOL FRONT WILL COOL FRONT WILL BRING SOME SLIGHTLY
COOLER TEMPERATURES OVER THE WEEKEND, BUT DRY CONDITIONS WILL
CONTINUE.
- SLIGHT RAIN CHANCES WILL RETURN TO PORTIONS OF THE REGION EARLY
NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1237 PM CST WED FEB 4 2026
NORTHWEST WINDS IN WAKE OF LAST NIGHT'S COLD FRONT CONTINUE TO
PUSH IN A COOLER AND DRIER AIR MASS INTO THE REGION. AFTERNOON
HIGHS TODAY WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 50S TO AROUND 60 DEGREES UNDER
SUNNY SKIES. EXPECT LITTLE CLOUD COVER AND LIGHT WINDS TONIGHT AS
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION. THIS SHOULD ALLOW
FOR DECENT RADIATIONAL COOLING OVERNIGHT, ALLOWING FOR MOST OF THE
FORECAST AREA TO FALL TO NEAR OR JUST BELOW FREEZING BY TOMORROW
MORNING, AS TEMPERATURES BOTTOM OUT BETWEEN THE UPPER 20S AND
LOWER 30S. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK, WITH A GRADUAL WARMING
TREND, AS AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL EVENTUALLY CLIMB INTO THE LOW TO
MID 70S BY FRIDAY.
A WEAK COOL FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION ON SATURDAY,
BRINGING US SOME SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES, BUT DRY CONDITIONS
WILL REMAIN. UPPER RIDGING WILL QUICKLY BUILD INTO THE REGION IN
WAKE OF THE FRONT, KEEPING DRY WEATHER IN PLACE THROUGH THE FIRST
PORTIONS OF NEXT WEEK. MODELS ALSO SUGGEST WARMER CONDITIONS WILL
RETURN DURING THIS PERIOD, AND POSSIBLY INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK, WITH DAILY AFTERNOON HIGHS CLIMBING BACK INTO THE LOW TO MID
70S. BEYOND MONDAY, LONG-TERM PROGS SUGGEST OUR UPPER PATTERN
WILL BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY, AS A CLOSED UPPER TROUGH WILL SLIDE
EASTWARD OUT OF BAJA AND NORTHERN MEXICO INTO SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS.
THIS WOULD RESULT IN RAIN CHANCES RETURNING ACROSS A LARGE PORTION
OF THE REGION TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK. THIS PRECIPITATION
WOULD BE WELCOMED, AS MODERATE TO SEVER DROUGHT CONDITIONS REMAIN
ACROSS MOST OF OUR FORECAST AREA.
/20/
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1125 PM CST WED FEB 4 2026
FOR THE 05/06Z TAFS, SCATTERED LOWER VFR LEVEL DECKS CONTINUE TO
PUSH SOUTHWARD ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF ARKLATEX AIRSPACE. THIS
EVENING'S ROUND IS ALREADY DEPARTING TO THE SOUTH, WITH FRESH CLOUD
DECKS PUSHING IN FROM THE NORTH. THESE CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO
INTERMITTENTLY IMPACT ALL BUT OUR SOUTHWESTERNMOST TERMINALS
THROUGH THE NIGHT. CIGS LOOK TO BRIEFLY DROP TO MVFR BY DAYBREAK,
REBOUNDING QUICKLY TO SKC BY MIDDAY. NORTH WINDS WILL BECOME
LIGHT AND VARIABLE BEFORE BECOMING WESTERLY LATE IN THIS FORECAST
PERIOD, AT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 5 TO 10 KTS WITH GUSTS OF
UP TO 20 KTS POSSIBLE.
/26/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1237 PM CST WED FEB 4 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AT THIS
TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 34 61 44 75 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 30 55 40 70 / 0 0 0 0
DEQ 27 60 35 73 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 32 61 42 74 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 27 57 38 72 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 34 64 43 76 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 32 62 41 76 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 34 62 43 74 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...20
AVIATION...26
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