626
FXUS64 KSHV 051135
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
535 AM CST THU FEB 5 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1223 AM CST THU FEB 5 2026
- A WARMING TREND BEGINS TODAY, WITH TEMPERATURES RETURNING TO
THE 70S BY FRIDAY.
- NO RAIN IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND, WITH OUR NEXT CHANCES
NOT COMING TILL MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1223 AM CST THU FEB 5 2026
BUNDLE THOSE KIDS UP BEFORE SCHOOL THIS MORNING AS TEMPERATURES
WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 20S TO MID 30S ACROSS THE REGION. DESPITE
THE COOL START TO THE DAY, TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND NICELY AS
AFTERNOON HIGHS REACH INTO THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S. THE WARMER
TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE FELT ACROSS OUR WESTERN ZONES, WHERE
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD IN. BY FRIDAY, HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BE IN FULL CONTROL OF OUR REGION, HELPING TEMPERATURES CLIMB
BACK INTO THE MID TO UPPER 70S ACROSS THE REGION. WE WILL SEE A
WEAK COOL FRONT FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY, THAT WILL RETURN THE
REGION BACK INTO THE 60S FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON, BUT NEVER FEAR,
THE LOWER TO MID 70S RETURN TO THE ENTIRE REGION FOR SUNDAY AND
WILL CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY.
A LARGE UPPER-LEVEL CLOSED LOW WILL BE MOVING THROUGH BAJA
CALIFORNIA ON MONDAY BEFORE RAPIDLY EJECTING TO THE NORTHEAST INTO
TUESDAY. AS THIS FEATURE WEAKENS AND MOVES THROUGH TEXAS, WE WILL
SEE PRECIPITATION CHANCES INCREASE ON TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. THIS
WILL BE OUR ONLY PRECIPITATION CHANCES THROUGH THE MAJORITY OF
THIS FORECAST PERIOD, AND THE MODELS STILL HAVE SOME DISAGREEMENT
ON TIMING AND LOCATION OF THE RAINFALL, THINGS THAT WILL COME MORE
INTO VIEW AS WE GET CLOSER. THE NEXT MAJOR SYSTEM FALLS OUTSIDE OF
THIS FORECAST PERIOD, BUT SOMETHING WORTH WATCHING TOWARDS NEXT
WEEKEND. /33/
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 529 AM CST THU FEB 5 2026
SKC AND VFR ACROSS THE AIRSPACE THIS MORNING, A THEME THAT WILL
CARRY THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD. ONLY EXCEPTION TO TOTAL SKC
THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE A BRIEF PERIOD OF FEW/SCT HIGH CLOUD
PASSING OVERHEAD. SURFACE WINDS AT THE TERMINALS WILL START LIGHT
THROUGH THE MORNING, AND GRADUALLY INCREASE TO BETWEEN 5-10KT
THIS AFTERNOON. AT THE SAME TIME, WIND DIRECTION WILL SHIFT FROM
THE NW TO THE WEST JUST AFTER 05/18Z. LITTLE TO NO CHANGE THROUGH
THE OVERNIGHT AS WESTERLIES WILL PREVAIL UNDER SKC/VFR.
KNAPP
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1223 AM CST THU FEB 5 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 62 45 77 45 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 56 42 74 41 / 0 0 0 0
DEQ 61 36 75 36 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 62 43 76 42 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 57 39 75 39 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 65 42 77 46 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 64 42 77 44 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 63 42 76 46 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...33
AVIATION...53
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