872
FXUS64 KSHV 060531
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1131 PM CST THU FEB 5 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1129 AM CST THU FEB 5 2026
- EXPECT A WARMING TREND THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK
ALONG WITH CONTINUED QUIET WEATHER.
- DRY CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN OVER THE WEEKEND, BUT A WEAK COOL
FRONT WILL BRING SOME SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR THE
FIRST HALF OF THE WEEKEND.
- RAIN CHANCES WILL RETURN TO THE REGION NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1129 AM CST THU FEB 5 2026
QUIET CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TODAY, AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
REMAINS OVER THE REGION. WE SHOULD SEE VERY LITTLE CLOUD COVER AND
LIGHT/VARIABLE WINDS ACROSS THE AREA. THIS SHOULD YIELD SLIGHTLY
WARMER TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE REGION, WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS
RANGING FROM THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. THE SURFACE HIGH WILL SLIDE
EAST OF THE REGION THIS EVENING, BUT QUIET CONDITIONS AND LITTLE
TO NO CLOUD COVER WILL REMAIN THROUGH REST OF THE WORK WEEK.
HOWEVER, WITH THE HIGH EAST OF THE AREA, WSW WINDS WILL RETURN
ALONG WITH A CONTINUED WARMING TREND. THIS WILL KEEP OVERNIGHT
LOWS ABOVE FREEZING TONIGHT, WITH TEMPERATURES GENERALLY RANGING
BETWEEN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S. HIGH TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY
AFTERNOON WILL TOP OUT IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S, WITH POSSIBLY A
FEW 80 DEGREE READINGS. THIS COULD APPROACH RECORD HIGH TERRITORY
IN A FEW LOCATIONS.
A WEAK COOL FRONT WILL BACK DOOR INTO THE REGION LATE FRIDAY INTO
THE PRE-DAWN HOURS ON SATURDAY. THIS WILL BRING US SOME SLIGHTLY
COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEKEND, WITH
AFTERNOON HIGHS RANGING FROM THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. IN WAKE OF
THE FRONT, UPPER RIDGING IS EXPECTED TO QUICKLY BUILD INTO THE
REGION AND REMAIN THROUGH THE FIRST PORTIONS OF NEXT WEEK. DRY
WEATHER WILL PERSIST DURING THIS TIMEFRAME, INCLUDING DURING THE
PASSAGE OF THE COOL FRONT ON SATURDAY. THAT COOLER PERIOD BEHIND
THE FRONT WILL BE SHORT-LIVED, AS MODELS ARE BRINGING BACK
SOUTHERLY WINDS AND WARMER CONDITIONS BY SUNDAY AND THROUGH THE
MIDDLE PORTIONS OF NEXT WEEK. DAILY HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL TOP OUT
IN THE 70S, WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS EVENTUALLY CLIMBING BACK INTO
50S. THE GOOD NEWS IS THAT RAIN CHANCES WILL RETURN TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY NEXT WEEK, AS AN UPPER TROUGH WILL SLIDE EASTWARD OUT OF
BAJA AND NORTHERN MEXICO ACROSS TEXAS AND EVENTUALLY LOUISIANA.
THIS IS MUCH NEEDED PRECIPITATION, AS MODERATE TO SEVERE DROUGHT
CONDITIONS REMAIN ACROSS MOST OF OUR FORECAST AREA. /20/
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1129 PM CST THU FEB 5 2026
FOR THE 06/06Z TAFS, VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL FOR
THE DURATION OF THIS FORECAST PERIOD. ASIDE FROM SOME SCATTERED
VERY HIGH CLOUDS, MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WILL DOMINATE AREA AIRSPACE
THROUGHOUT. WEST WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT OVERNIGHT OVERNIGHT,
TRENDING NORTHWESTERLY INTO THE AFTERNOON, AT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SPEEDS OF 5 TO 10 KTS, WITH GUSTS OF UP TO 15 KTS POSSIBLE,
PARTICULARLY LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD.
/26/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1129 AM CST THU FEB 5 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AT THIS
TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 44 79 43 63 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 42 75 39 58 / 0 0 0 0
DEQ 36 77 36 60 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 43 79 40 61 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 39 76 37 58 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 43 79 44 67 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 42 79 43 66 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 42 77 46 68 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...20
AVIATION...26
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