122
FXUS64 KSHV 062039
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
239 PM CST FRI FEB 6 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 131 PM CST FRI FEB 6 2026
- EXPECT WARMER CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION TODAY, ALONG WITH
CONTINUED QUIET WEATHER.
- DRY CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN OVER THE WEEKEND, BUT A COOL FRONT
WILL BRING SOME SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR THE FIRST HALF
OF THE WEEKEND.
- WARMER CONDITIONS WILL RETURN BY SUNDAY AND REMAIN THROUGH MOST
OF NEXT WEEK. HOWEVER, RAIN CHANCES WILL RETURN TO THE REGION
ON TUESDAY & WEDNESDAY, AND AGAIN ON FRIDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 131 PM CST FRI FEB 6 2026
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE HAS MOVED EAST OF THE REGION, BUT A DRY
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW HAS KEPT CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE FOUR STATE
REGION TODAY. DESPITE A WEAK PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH PUSHING THROUGH
THE AREA, WHICH HAS SHIFTED WINDS TO THE NORTHWEST, MUCH WARMER
CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL
LIKELY TOP OUT IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S, WHICH COULD RESULT
IN RECORD HIGHS FOR A FEW LOCATIONS. LATE THIS EVENING INTO THE
PRE-DAWN HOURS SATURDAY, A COOL FRONT WILL BACK DOOR INTO THE
REGION. IT WON'T BRING A VERY NOTICEABLE CHANGE TO OVERNIGHT
TEMPERATURES OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF NIGHTS, BUT AFTERNOON HIGHS
ON SATURDAY WILL BE 15-20 DEGREES LOWER THAN TODAY OVER MOST OF
THE REGION. IT DOESN'T APPEAR ANY PRECIPITATION WILL ACCOMPANY
THIS FRONT. IN FACT, UPPER RIDGING IS EXPECTED TO QUICKLY SETTLE
INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE FRONT FOR SEVERAL DAYS, RESULTING IN
DRY WEATHER THROUGH THE FIRST PORTION OF NEXT WEEK. THE COOLER
CONDITIONS WILL ONLY STICK AROUND FOR A BRIEF PERIOD, AS THE COOL
FRONT WILL RETURN BACK NORTHWARD AS A WARM FRONT ON SUNDAY.
EXPECT HIGHS ON SUNDAY, AND AGAIN ON MONDAY, TO RETURN BACK INTO
THE LOW TO MID 70S.
THE WARMER CONDITIONS WILL STICK AROUND FOR MOST OF NEXT WEEK, BUT
THE UPPER PATTERN WILL START TO SHIFT. UPPER RIDGING WILL SLIDE EAST
OF THE REGION LATE MONDAY EVENING AHEAD OF A CLOSED UPPER TROUGH
SHIFTING EASTWARD OUT OF BAJA & NORTHERN MEXICO. FLOW ALOFT WILL
BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY, WHILE SOUTHEASTERLY SURFACE WINDS BRING
INCREASING LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE INTO THE REGION. THE CLOSED TROUGH
WILL WEAKEN AND OPEN UP AS IT RIDES THE FLOW INTO OUR REGION ON
TUESDAY, BUT THE DYNAMICS SHOULD BE GOOD ENOUGH FOR WIDESPREAD
RAIN TO RETURN ACROSS THE REGION. THERE ARE STILL SOME TIMING
ISSUES TO RESOLVE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WITH THIS SYSTEM, BUT
IT'S POSSIBLE THAT SOME OF THIS PRECIPITATION COULD LINGER INTO
WEDNESDAY. DRY CONDITIONS MAY RETURN BY THURSDAY, BUT ANOTHER COOL
FRONT COULD BRING ADDITIONAL WELCOMED RAINFALL BY THE END OF THE
WORK WEEK. /20/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1138 AM CST FRI FEB 6 2026
FOR THE TAF UPDATE, VFR VIS/CIGS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD
WITH SURFACE WINDS CHANGING FROM WESTERLY TO NORTHERLY (SOME
NORTHWESTERLY) BY 07/06Z AS A DRY FRONTAL BOUNDARY CROSSES THE
AIRSPACE WITH WINDS AT 5-10 KTS THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD.
/16/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 131 PM CST FRI FEB 6 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 79 44 65 43 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 76 39 59 37 / 0 0 0 0
DEQ 78 36 61 36 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 79 41 62 42 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 76 37 59 36 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 80 45 68 48 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 80 43 67 45 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 80 46 69 46 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...20
AVIATION...16
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