838
FXUS64 KSHV 152041
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
241 PM CST SUN FEB 15 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 240 PM CST SUN FEB 15 2026
- DRY AND WARMER THAN AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THE MIDDLE OF THIS WORKWEEK.
- THE NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE BY THIS FRIDAY AS
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY APPROACHES THE AREA.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 240 PM CST SUN FEB 15 2026
THE MAIN POST-FRONTAL SYNOPTICS THAT WILL DRIVE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE ARK-LA-TEX THIS WEEK ARE FROM BROAD RIDGING THAT
EVOLVES INTO UNEVENTFUL SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT BY WEDNESDAY. AS
IT DOES SO, TEMPERATURES WILL BE MODIFIED WELL ABOVE NORMAL, WITH
TEMPERATURES REACHING WELL INTO THE 70S FOR MOST DAYS. QPF VALUES
WILL LIKELY REMAIN BELOW AN INCH WITH INITIALLY MODEST
PRECIPITATION ACTIVITY OVER THE WEEKEND. LONG-RANGE GUIDANCE
SUGGESTS A RETURN TO NEAR-NORMAL TEMPERATURES WITH MULTIPLE DAYS
OF SOUTHERLY SURFACE WIND FLOW (MOISTURE ADVECTION) UNTIL THEN.
/16/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1145 AM CST SUN FEB 15 2026
MVFR CIGS PREVAIL FOR MUCH OF THE REGION LATE THIS MORNING. SKIES
SHOULD GRADUALLY CLEAR A BIT AS THE WRAP AROUND MOISTURE FROM THE
DEPARTING LOW MOVED FURTHER EAST. WINDS WILL DECREASE OVERNIGHT,
BECOMING CALM FOR MANY AREAS ALONG AND WEST OF I-49. THIS DOES
INCREASE THE CONCERN FOR FOG DEVELOPMENT FOR EARLY MONDAY MORNING,
BUT EXTENT AND DENSITY OF THIS FOG IS STILL UNCERTAIN. ANY FOG
THAT IS ABLE TO DEVELOP MAY BE SLOWER TO MIX OUT TOMORROW MORNING
IF SURFACE WINDS STAY AS CALM AS THEY ARE EXPECTED TO BE. /57/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1201 AM CST SUN FEB 15 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THIS UPCOMING WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 47 71 52 74 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 47 69 49 73 / 0 0 0 0
DEQ 39 69 45 71 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 44 71 52 74 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 41 69 47 72 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 46 73 53 74 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 44 73 50 75 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 49 73 51 75 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...16
AVIATION...57
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