716
FXUS64 KSHV 160218
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
818 PM CST SUN FEB 15 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 240 PM CST SUN FEB 15 2026
- DRY AND WARMER THAN AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THE MIDDLE OF THIS WORKWEEK.
- THE NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE BY THIS FRIDAY AS
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY APPROACHES THE AREA.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 240 PM CST SUN FEB 15 2026
THE MAIN POST-FRONTAL SYNOPTICS THAT WILL DRIVE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE ARK-LA-TEX THIS WEEK ARE FROM BROAD RIDGING THAT
EVOLVES INTO UNEVENTFUL SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT BY WEDNESDAY. AS
IT DOES SO, TEMPERATURES WILL BE MODIFIED WELL ABOVE NORMAL, WITH
TEMPERATURES REACHING WELL INTO THE 70S FOR MOST DAYS. QPF VALUES
WILL LIKELY REMAIN BELOW AN INCH WITH INITIALLY MODEST
PRECIPITATION ACTIVITY OVER THE WEEKEND. LONG-RANGE GUIDANCE
SUGGESTS A RETURN TO NEAR-NORMAL TEMPERATURES WITH MULTIPLE DAYS
OF SOUTHERLY SURFACE WIND FLOW (MOISTURE ADVECTION) UNTIL THEN.
/16/
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 816 PM CST SUN FEB 15 2026
FOR THE 16/00Z TAF PERIOD...WE WILL SEE SOME CLEARING OVER THE
NEXT SEVERAL HOURS AT ALL LOCATIONS, EXCEPT KLFK. HOWEVER, FG/BR
IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVERNIGHT, FOLLOWED BY A RETURN OF LOW
CIGS. THE FOG SHOULD LIFT BY MID MORNING MONDAY, BUT SHORT-TERM
PROGS ARE KEEPING THE LOW CIGS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE TAF
PERIOD. WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT/VARIABLE TONIGHT, AND THEN
SOUTHERLY NEAR 5 MPH ON MONDAY. /20/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1201 AM CST SUN FEB 15 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THIS UPCOMING WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 47 71 52 74 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 47 69 49 73 / 0 0 0 0
DEQ 39 69 45 71 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 44 71 52 74 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 41 69 47 72 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 46 73 53 74 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 44 73 50 75 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 49 73 51 75 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...16
AVIATION...20
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