581
FXUS64 KSHV 160557
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1157 PM CST SUN FEB 15 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 240 PM CST SUN FEB 15 2026
- DRY AND WARMER THAN AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THE MIDDLE OF THIS WORKWEEK.
- THE NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE BY THIS FRIDAY AS
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY APPROACHES THE AREA.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 240 PM CST SUN FEB 15 2026
THE MAIN POST-FRONTAL SYNOPTICS THAT WILL DRIVE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE ARK-LA-TEX THIS WEEK ARE FROM BROAD RIDGING THAT
EVOLVES INTO UNEVENTFUL SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT BY WEDNESDAY. AS
IT DOES SO, TEMPERATURES WILL BE MODIFIED WELL ABOVE NORMAL, WITH
TEMPERATURES REACHING WELL INTO THE 70S FOR MOST DAYS. QPF VALUES
WILL LIKELY REMAIN BELOW AN INCH WITH INITIALLY MODEST
PRECIPITATION ACTIVITY OVER THE WEEKEND. LONG-RANGE GUIDANCE
SUGGESTS A RETURN TO NEAR-NORMAL TEMPERATURES WITH MULTIPLE DAYS
OF SOUTHERLY SURFACE WIND FLOW (MOISTURE ADVECTION) UNTIL THEN.
/16/
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1154 PM CST SUN FEB 15 2026
FOR THE 16/06Z TAF PERIOD...WE WILL SEE SOME CLEARING OVER THE
NEXT SEVERAL HOURS AT ALL LOCATIONS, EXCEPT KLFK. HOWEVER, FG/BR
HAS DEVELOPED IN SOME LOCATIONS AND IS EXPECTED TO EXPAND
OVERNIGHT WITH SOME RETURN OF LOW CIGS. THE FOG SHOULD LIFT BY
MID-MORNING MONDAY, BUT SHORT-TERM PROGS ARE KEEPING THE LOW CIGS
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE TAF PERIOD. WINDS WILL BECOME
LIGHT/VARIABLE TONIGHT, AND THEN SOUTHERLY NEAR 5 MPH ON MONDAY.
/20/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1201 AM CST SUN FEB 15 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THIS UPCOMING WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 44 71 52 74 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 46 68 49 73 / 0 0 0 0
DEQ 39 68 45 71 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 43 71 51 74 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 39 66 46 72 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 44 71 52 75 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 44 71 51 75 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 49 72 51 76 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CST MONDAY FOR ARZ050-051-059>061-
070>073.
LA...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CST MONDAY FOR LAZ001>006-010>014.
OK...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CST MONDAY FOR OKZ077.
TX...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CST MONDAY FOR TXZ096-097-108>112-
124>126-136>138-150-151.
DISCUSSION...16
AVIATION...20
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