670
FXUS64 KSHV 201821
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1221 PM CST FRI FEB 20 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1230 AM CST FRI FEB 20 2026
- SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL SPREAD NORTH THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY,
CONTINUING AREAWIDE OVERNIGHT AND THROUGH SATURDAY. A FEW
RUMBLES OF THUNDER ARE POSSIBLE, WHILE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
REMAIN VERY LIMITED.
- TEMPERATURES WILL COOL DOWN SHARPLY EARLY NEXT WEEK, WITH NEAR
OR BELOW FREEZING MORNING LOWS AND HIGHS IN THE 50S, WHILE
QUIET CONDITIONS PREVAIL.
- WARMING TREND BY MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK, WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS
POSSIBLE EAST.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1220 PM CST FRI FEB 20 2026
THE COLD FRONT THAT MOVED THROUGH THE REGION LAST NIGHT IS CURRENTLY
LINGERING OVER PARTS OF DEEP EAST TEXAS AND CENTRAL LOUISIANA. THIS
STALLED FRONT IS ACTING AS A LIFTING MECHANISM FOR THE AMBIENT
SOUTHERLY SFC FLOW, WHICH WILL MEAN INCREASINGLY CLOUDY SKIES
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS TONIGHT. SOME FOG DEVELOPMENT IN OUR FAR
SOUTHERN ZONES WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR DAYBREAK SATURDAY WITH SOME
SCATTERED SHOWERS HANGING AROUND THROUGH THE DAY UNTIL A SHORTWAVE
TROUGH PUSHES THEM EASTWARD WITH THE COLD FRONT'S MOVEMENT DURING
THE DAY.
THE FROPA SATURDAY NIGHT WILL BE FOLLOWED WITH A COOLER, BUT MUCH
DRIER AIRMASS ON SUNDAY, WITH RH VALUES IN THE 20-30% RANGE
REGIONWIDE. SURFACE WINDS WILL BE SLIGHTLY BREEZY WITH THE
DEPARTING SYSTEM, COMBINING WITH THE ONGOING DROUGHT AND DRY
AIRMASS TO HEIGHTEN FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
MOST AREAS COULD SEE SUSTAINED WINDS OF 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS OF 15+ MPH, WITH HIGHER WINDS SKEWED TOWARDS THE EAST WHERE
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT IS EXPECTED TO BE THE STRONGEST. SHOULD
FORECASTED CONDITIONS STAY CONSISTENT OVER THE NEXT DAY, A FIRE
WEATHER PRODUCT COULD BE NECESSARY FOR MUCH OF THE REGION SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. WINN PARISH IS THE ONLY COUNTY/PARISH CURRENTLY UNDER A
BURN BAN BUT BE SURE TO STAY AWARE OF GUIDANCE BY YOUR LOCAL
OFFICIALS.
CONDITIONS WILL STILL BE VERY DRY ON MONDAY AS A RIDGE BEGINS TO
BUILD OVER THE WESTERN CONUS. HIGH PRESSURE AND CLEAR SKIES WILL
WORK TO START ANOTHER WARMING TREND ON TUESDAY. AFTERNOON HIGHS ARE
EXPECTED TO CLIMB INTO THE MID 70S TO LOW 80S IN PORTIONS OF EAST
TEXAS. LONG-RANGE MODELS ARE TRYING TO BRING RAIN BACK INTO THE
REGION ON THURSDAY WITH A SURFACE LOW. SO THIS SYSTEM WILL BE A
PRIME FOCUS FOR UPCOMING FORECASTS. /57/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1025 AM CST FRI FEB 20 2026
FOR THE 20/18Z TAF PERIOD, LOW VFR CEILINGS IN THE WAKE OF A
FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO PERSIST THROUGH MUCH THE AFTERNOON WITH SOME
BREAKS IN THE CEILINGS POSSIBLE NEAR 21/00Z. THE EXCEPTION IS
KLFK WHERE MVFR CEILINGS MAY PERSIST THROUGH 20/20Z BEFORE
LIFTING TO VFR. VCSH CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
MLU/ELD/LFK THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS WITH
CONDITIONS IMPROVING THEREAFTER. OTHERWISE, N/NE WINDS BETWEEN
5-10 KTS THROUGH TONIGHT, BECOMING NORTHWEST ON SATURDAY /05/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 622 AM CST FRI FEB 20 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THIS WEEKEND.
/19/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 52 68 40 60 / 10 30 0 0
MLU 52 66 38 58 / 20 30 0 0
DEQ 43 62 30 57 / 20 10 0 0
TXK 49 65 36 59 / 20 20 0 0
ELD 46 60 34 57 / 20 30 0 0
TYR 51 68 38 60 / 10 10 0 0
GGG 50 69 37 61 / 10 30 0 0
LFK 56 73 40 61 / 10 20 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...57
AVIATION...05
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page