565
FXUS64 KSHV 231147
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
547 AM CST MON FEB 23 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1158 PM CST SUN FEB 22 2026
- FREEZING TEMPERATURES THIS MORNING WILL REBOUND ONLY INTO THE
50S THIS AFTERNOON UNDER SUNNY SKIES.
- TUESDAY WILL SEE STRONGER SOUTH WINDS AND CONTINUED DRY AIR,
CONTRIBUTING TO ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
- A WARMING TREND WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
WEEK, WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS THURSDAY AND NEXT WEEKEND, WITH
OTHERWISE QUIET CONDITIONS PREVAILING.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1158 PM CST SUN FEB 22 2026
THE ARKLATEX IS FIRMLY IN THE GRIP OF NORTHWEST FLOW, SANDWICHED
BETWEEN AN AMPLIFYING RIDGE OVER THE ROCKIES AND A DEEPENING TROUGH
DRAPED OVER THE EAST COAST, MAKING FOR AN ACTIVE START TO THE NEW
WEEK ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD. MEANWHILE, WE WILL SEE QUIET
WEATHER CONDITIONS CONTINUE, AS THE WINDS OF WINTER FUNNEL FRIGID
CONDITIONS BACK INTO OUR FOUR STATE REGION, WITH TEMPERATURES
BOTTOMING OUT IN THE MIDDLE 20S NORTH TO NEAR OR JUST BELOW THE
FREEZING MARK SOUTH, WHILE WINDS BECOME LIGHTER BUT NOT QUITE CALM.
THUS AS OF THIS WRITING, FOG AND FROST DEVELOPMENT ARE NOT EXPECTED
TO PRESENT WIDESPREAD CONCERNS.
MONDAY WILL SEE ABUNDANT SUNSHINE AND A COOL AFTERNOON, AS HIGHS
STRUGGLE TO CLIMB OUT OF THE 50S AREAWIDE. WINDS LOOK TO REMAIN
RATHER LESS STOUT THAN THOSE EXPERIENCED SUNDAY, SO CONDITIONS MAY
BE A BIT CHILLY BUT LESS BLUSTERY OVERALL. THIS DECREASE IN WIND
SPEED ALSO MAKES FOR A RESPITE FROM THE NEED FOR OFFICIAL FIRE
WEATHER PRODUCTS, THOUGH IT BEARS REITERATING THAT VEGETATION
REMAINS BONE DRY, AS DOES THE AIRMASS WE WILL STILL BE ENVELOPED IN.
BY TUESDAY, THE UPPER LEVEL FEATURES WHICH USHERED IN THE NEW WEEK
WILL LOSE SOME OF THEIR DEFINITION, AND WHILE THE OVERALL FLOW WON'T
EXACTLY FLATTEN OUT UNTIL THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK, IT WILL START GIVE
ENOUGH LEEWAY FOR THE RIDGING OVER MEXICO AND THE DESERT SOUTHWEST
TO BEGIN TO INFLUENCE OUR CONDITIONS, NAMELY BREAKING THE NORTHERLY
FLOW. WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT BEFORE PIVOTING
AROUND TO SOUTHERLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. UNFORTUNATELY, CURRENT
GUIDANCE HAS THESE WINDS PICKING UP IN SPEED, AND WITH OUR DRY
AIRMASS NOT IN A HURRY TO DEPART, ANOTHER ROUND OF FIRE WEATHER
PRODUCTS MAY BE NEEDED TUESDAY. THE COLDEST AIR WILL ALREADY BE ON
ITS WAY OUT TUESDAY MORNING, WITH LOWS RANGING FROM THE UPPER 20S
EAST TO MIDDLE 30S WEST, FOLLOWED BY HIGHS CLIMBING BACK INTO THE
60S AND LOWER 70S, INITIATING A WARMING TREND WHICH LOOKS TO
CONTINUE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. THE SOUTHERLY SURFACE FLOW
WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY AN EMERGING SHORTWAVE IN THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW
MAKING FOR A CHANCE OF SCATTERED SHOWERS ACROSS EASTERN ZONES OF THE
ARKLATEX THURSDAY. FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WILL REMAIN WARM AND DRY,
WITH A HINT OF MORE WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TO CLOSE OUT NEXT WEEKEND
AND THIS EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD.
/26/
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 542 AM CST MON FEB 23 2026
FOR THE 23/12Z TAF PERIOD, VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGHOUT
THE PERIOD WITH CLOUDS LIMITED TO HIGH CIRRUS INCREASING FROM THE
W/NW. OTHERWISE, LIGHT N/NW WINDS FROM 4-8 MPH WILL PREVAIL TODAY
BEFORE TRENDING LIGHT AND VARIABLE TO NEAR CALM THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS OUR REGIONAL AIRSPACE.
/19/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 542 AM CST MON FEB 23 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THIS UPCOMING WEEK.
HOWEVER, ELEVATED FIRE DANGER CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST FOR MUCH OF
THIS WEEK WITH OCCASIONALLY GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY VALUES.
THEREFORE, RELAYING INFORMATION RELATED TO WILDFIRE ACTIVITY IS
ENCOURAGED.
/19/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 57 32 68 54 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 53 27 64 50 / 0 0 0 0
DEQ 55 26 66 45 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 56 32 68 52 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 52 27 64 48 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 59 35 70 56 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 59 32 70 53 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 60 32 69 55 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...26
AVIATION...19
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