167
FXUS64 KSHV 240636
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1236 AM CST TUE FEB 24 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1231 AM CST TUE FEB 24 2026
- TODAY WILL SEE ELEVATED SOUTH WINDS AND CONTINUED DRY AIR,
CONTRIBUTING TO ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. A FIRE DANGER
STATEMENT AND WIND ADVISORY ARE IN EFFECT.
- A WARMING TREND WILL QUICKLY DEVELOP AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK, WITH HIGHS RETURNING TO THE 70S AND 80S
AND LOWS IN THE 50S AND 60S.
- SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY EAST OF
I-49, AND ACROSS OUR NORTHERN ZONES SUNDAY, WITH OTHERWISE
QUIET CONDITIONS PREVAILING.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1231 AM CST TUE FEB 24 2026
THIS RESURGENT GASP OF WINTER WHICH HAS USHERED IN THIS WEEK ACROSS
THE ARKLATEX IS NEARLY DONE WITH US AND SOON TO BE A MEMORY, AS
UPPER LEVEL FLOW USHERS IN A DRAMATIC WARMING TREND. THIS WILL BE
THE LAST NEAR-FREEZING NIGHT, AS TEMPERATURES RANGE FROM THE UPPER
20S EAST TO MIDDLE 30S WEST, INDICATIVE OF THE BUILDING INFLUENCE
OF THE SOUTHERLY FLOW UNDER THE RIDGE WHICH IS NUDGING IN FROM THE
WEST. AS THIS PATTERN SHIFT BEGINS TO UNFOLD, WINDS WILL BECOME
LIGHT TO NEARLY CALM OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. HOWEVER, UPPER LEVEL
CLOUDS ARE PUSHING IN FROM THE NORTH, WHICH IN TANDEM WITH THE
STILL VERY DRY AIRMASS, SHOULD INHIBIT THE DEVELOPMENT OF FOG, BUT
PATCHY FROST WILL BE POSSIBLE, PARTICULARLY ACROSS OUR EASTERN
ZONES TOWARDS DAYBREAK.
THE SOUTH WINDS WHICH DEVELOP OVERNIGHT WILL INCREASE IN SPEED
THROUGH THE DAY TODAY, PARTICULARLY ACROSS NORTHEAST TEXAS WHERE
SUSTAINED SPEEDS MAY REACH 20 MPH WITH GUSTS OF UP TO 30 MPH
POSSIBLE. A WIND ADVISORY WILL BE IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 6 PM.
THIS, IN TANDEM WITH AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 30%,
WILL MAKE FOR ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON. A
FIRE DANGER STATEMENT WILL BE IN EFFECT. HIGHS WILL CLIMB QUICKLY
INTO THE MIDDLE 60S EAST TO LOWER 70S WEST.
THE TROUGH AND RIDGE WHICH STEERED OUR NORTHWEST FLOW AS THIS WEEK
STARTED WILL BEGIN TO LOSE THEIR DEFINITION TODAY, FLATTENING OUT
MORE NOTICEABLY BY WEDNESDAY, INFLUENCING THE WARMING TREND WHICH
LOOKS TO CONTINUE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. THE SOUTHERLY
SURFACE FLOW WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY AN EMERGING SHORTWAVE IN THE
UPPER LEVEL FLOW MAKING FOR A CHANCE OF SCATTERED SHOWERS ACROSS
EASTERN ZONES OF THE ARKLATEX THURSDAY. FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WILL
REMAIN WARM AND DRY, WITH ANOTHER HINT OF SCATTERED SHOWERS ACROSS
OUR NORTHERNMOST ZONES SUNDAY, POTENTIALLY BECOMING MORE
WIDESPREAD TO USHER IN NEXT WEEK AND CLOSE OUT THIS EXTENDED
FORECAST PERIOD.
/26/
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1128 PM CST MON FEB 23 2026
FOR THE 24/06Z TAF UPDATE, VFR VIS/CIGS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE
PERIOD WITH WINDS CURRENTLY NEAR CALM GAINING SPEED AS RIDGING
SHIFTS FURTHER EAST. THIS WILL ALLOW SOUTHEASTERLY SURFACE WINDS
TO RETURN IN EARNEST (SOME G20-25KT) BY 24/15Z-25/00Z. SLACKENING
TO 10-15 KTS IS LIKELY BY 25/00Z THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD. /16/
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 153 PM CST MON FEB 23 2026
CONCERN REMAINS ELEVATED ACROSS OUR FOUR STATE AREA WITH LOW
HUMIDITY AND SOME GUSTINESS BRIEFLY TODAY. WILDFIRE GROWTH AND
SPREAD WILL BE EVEN MORE LIKELY TO OCCUR ON TUESDAY AS THE DRY
CONTINENTAL AIR MASS MOVES AWAY FROM OUR AREA. THE SAFER
CONDITIONS OF THE RICH GULF OF AMERICA HUMID AIR HAS BEEN
DISPLACED WELL OFFSHORE AND WILL TAKE MUCH OF TOMORROW TO MOVE
BACK INLAND. THUS, WE HAVE ISSUED ANOTHER FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
FOR TUESDAY AS OUR WINDS WILL BE GUSTING FROM THE SOUTH AND
SOUTHWEST ON TUESDAY, IN THE WAKE OF THE DEPARTING AIR MASS. IN
ADDITION, BURN BANS ARE COMING BACK ON LINE AS ISSUED BY THE
COUNTIES AND PARISHES IN OUR FOUR-STATE AREA.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 153 PM CST MON FEB 23 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THIS UPCOMING WEEK.
HOWEVER, OUR ELEVATED FIRE DANGER CONDITIONS WILL RAMP UP AGAIN
ON TUESDAY WITH STILL LOW RH AND GUSTY S/SW WINDS. THEREFORE,
RELAYING INFORMATION ON WILDFIRE ACTIVITY IS ENCOURAGED AREAWIDE.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 68 54 80 62 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 65 50 76 61 / 0 0 0 10
DEQ 67 46 75 52 / 0 0 0 10
TXK 69 52 78 59 / 0 0 0 10
ELD 64 48 74 57 / 0 0 0 10
TYR 71 56 81 62 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 70 53 81 60 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 69 55 80 63 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...WIND ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR
TXZ096-108>111-124-125-136-137.
DISCUSSION...26
AVIATION...16
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