640
FXUS64 KSHV 120513
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1213 AM CDT THU MAR 12 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1211 AM CDT THU MAR 12 2026
- NEAR-NORMAL CONDITIONS WILL RETURN THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK
ACROSS THE FOUR STATE REGION.
- A BRIEF WARMUP OVER THE WEEKEND WILL PRECEDE THE NEXT FRONTAL
BOUNDARY ON SUNDAY WITH SOME THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
- SOME NEAR TO BELOW FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE LIKELY ON MONDAY
NIGHT, ESPECIALLY IN OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1211 AM CDT THU MAR 12 2026
POST-FRONTAL WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO ADVECT COLDER AND DRIER
CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT WITH TEMPERATURE MINIMUMS IN THE UPPER
30S/LOWER 40S. ALOFT, A LESS ACTIVE ZONAL FLOW PATTERN WILL KEEP A
DORMANT ENVIRONMENT UNTIL SUNDAY, AS THE TROUGHING AND ATTENDANT
FRONTAL BOUNDARY RETURNS. WITHIN THIS PATTERN CHANGE, A CHANCE FOR
THUNDERSTORMS (40-60%) REMAINS THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. THIS
REPRIEVE FROM WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER CONTINUES INTO NEXT WEEK
AS A REINFORCING POST-FRONTAL SHOT OF COLDER AIR ARRIVES IN
EARNEST BY THEN (MONDAY NIGHT TEMPERATURES LIKELY NEAR FREEZING
NORTH OF I-30). LONG-RANGE GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT THE
ROLLERCOASTER RIDE WILL CONTINUE WITH ANOTHER WARMING TREND BACK ABOVE
80 DEGREES THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. /16/
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1048 PM CDT WED MAR 11 2026
COLD FRONT HAS JUST NOW PASSED THROUGH OUR FARTHEST MOST MLU
TERMINAL WITH A VERY STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT IN THE IMMEDIATE
WAKE OF THIS COLD FRONT ACROSS OUR REMAINING TERMINALS. SUSTAINED
N TO NW WINDS NEAR 15-20KTS WITH GUSTS UPWARDS OF 35KTS WILL
GRADUALLY DIMINISH AS WE GO THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. LIKEWISE,
MVFR CEILINGS ACRSOS THE EASTERN HALF OF OUR AIRSPACE WILL
QUICKLY SHIFT EAST OF OUR AIRSPACE WITH VFR CONDITIONS RETURNING
OVERNIGHT INTO THE PREDAWN HOURS AS WELL. THUS NEAR AND AFTER
SUNRISE, LOOK FOR VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS OUR ENTIRE AIRSPACE. N
WINDS WILL QUICKLY VEER AROUND TO THE NE AND TODAY BEFORE PIVOTING
AROUND TO THE SE AND S LATE THIS EVENING. LOOK FOR SUSTAINED
WINDS DURING THE DAY NEAR 10KTS WITH AN OCCASIONAL HIGHER GUST
WITH WINDS BECOMING LIGHT AFTER SUNSET THIS EVENING.
13
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1211 AM CDT THU MAR 12 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. REPORTS OF
PREVIOUS DAMAGE FROM MARCH 10TH AND 11TH STORMS ARE STILL
WELCOME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 63 43 74 51 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 61 40 72 47 / 0 0 0 0
DEQ 63 36 72 43 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 64 43 75 50 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 61 39 72 46 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 64 45 75 51 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 63 42 74 49 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 64 42 74 49 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...16
AVIATION...13
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