940
FXUS64 KSHV 121102
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
602 AM CDT THU MAR 12 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1211 AM CDT THU MAR 12 2026
- NEAR-NORMAL CONDITIONS WILL RETURN THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK
ACROSS THE FOUR STATE REGION.
- A BRIEF WARMUP OVER THE WEEKEND WILL PRECEDE THE NEXT FRONTAL
BOUNDARY ON SUNDAY WITH SOME THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
- SOME NEAR TO BELOW FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE LIKELY ON MONDAY
NIGHT, ESPECIALLY IN OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1211 AM CDT THU MAR 12 2026
POST-FRONTAL WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO ADVECT COLDER AND DRIER
CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT WITH TEMPERATURE MINIMUMS IN THE UPPER
30S/LOWER 40S. ALOFT, A LESS ACTIVE ZONAL FLOW PATTERN WILL KEEP A
DORMANT ENVIRONMENT UNTIL SUNDAY, AS THE TROUGHING AND ATTENDANT
FRONTAL BOUNDARY RETURNS. WITHIN THIS PATTERN CHANGE, A CHANCE FOR
THUNDERSTORMS (40-60%) REMAINS THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. THIS
REPRIEVE FROM WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER CONTINUES INTO NEXT WEEK
AS A REINFORCING POST-FRONTAL SHOT OF COLDER AIR ARRIVES IN
EARNEST BY THEN (MONDAY NIGHT TEMPERATURES LIKELY NEAR FREEZING
NORTH OF I-30). LONG-RANGE GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT THE
ROLLERCOASTER RIDE WILL CONTINUE WITH ANOTHER WARMING TREND BACK ABOVE
80 DEGREES THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. /16/
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 600 AM CDT THU MAR 12 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. LOOK FOR
NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS TODAY WITH SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 10KTS
WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS WILL QUICKLY VEER AROUND
TO THE SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH OVERNIGHT TONIGHT ACROSS OUR NE TX
TERMINALS AS WELL AS THE TXK AND SHV TERMINALS. ELD AND MLU SHOULD
KEEP NEAR CALM WINDS OVERNIGHT.
13
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1211 AM CDT THU MAR 12 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. REPORTS OF
PREVIOUS DAMAGE FROM MARCH 10TH AND 11TH STORMS ARE STILL
WELCOME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 63 43 74 51 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 61 40 72 47 / 0 0 0 0
DEQ 63 36 72 43 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 64 43 75 50 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 61 39 72 46 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 64 45 75 51 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 63 42 74 49 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 64 42 74 49 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...16
AVIATION...13
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