748
FXUS64 KSHV 291823
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
123 PM CDT SUN MAR 29 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1229 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2026
- GRADUAL WARMING TREND TO BEGIN TODAY WITH WARM TEMPERATURES
CONTINUING INTO NEXT WEEK.
- HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE THE MID TO UPPER 80S POSSIBLE ON TUESDAY
- PATTERN CHANGE THIS WEEK WILL FAVOR THE RETURN OF WIDESPREAD
PRECIPITATION TO THE AREA.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1229 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2026
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE TO REMAIN ESTABLISHED ACROSS THE REGION
OVERNIGHT ALLOWING FOR LIGHT WINDS AND COOL TEMPERATURES. EXPECT
MORNING LOWS TO RANGE FROM THE MID 40S TO AROUND 50. SURFACE HIGH
TO SHIFT EAST ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON ALLOWING FOR RETURN SOUTHERLY
FLOW AND A RETURN OF WARMER TEMPERATURES. WITH SKIES MOSTLY SUNNY
ON SUNDAY, HIGHS WILL APPROACH 80 DEGREES. MUCH WARMER OVERNIGHT
LOWS ON SUNDAY NIGHT AROUND 60 DEGREES EXPECTED.
AFTER A LONG DURATION OF DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH LATE WINTER, A WET
PATTERN WILL RETURN TO THE REGION DURING THE UPCOMING WORKWEEK.
PREVAILING UPPER-RIDGE TO SHIFT EAST ALLOWING FOR UPPER-LEVEL
SOUTHWEST FLOW TO BECOME ESTABLISHED ACROSS THE REGION BY MONDAY
AFTERNOON. INCREASED INSTABILITY ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK UPPER-
TROUGH TO THE WEST COULD ALLOW FOR A FEW STRAY AFTERNOON SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ON BOTH MONDAY AND TUESDAY AFTERNOONS.
BY WEDNESDAY, SOUTHERN STREAM UPPER-LEVEL JET INCREASES ACROSS THE
ARKLATEX ALLOWING FOR DEEP-LAYER MOISTURE TO RETURN. WEAK IMPULSES
TRANSLATING NORTHEAST WITHIN THE MEAN SOUTHWEST FLOW REGIME ALOFT,
COMBINED WITH A SURFACE BOUNDARY ACROSS NORTHEAST TEXAS INTO
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS, WILL ALLOW FOR WIDESPREAD
RAIN CHANCES ACROSS THESE AREAS WEDNESDAY EVENING AND NIGHT. SURFACE
BOUNDARY TO DRIFT ACROSS THE ARKLATEX THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON
WITH UPPER-FLOW REMAINING CONDUCIVE FOR WIDESPREAD PROLONGED RAIN
CHANCES AREAWIDE.
SOUTHWESTERLY UPPER-FLOW TO PERSIST THROUGH LATE WEEK MAINTAINING
INCREASED INSTABILITY AND ALLOWING FOR A MOISTURE RECHARGE WHICH
WILL SET THE STAGE FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF WIDESPREAD CONVECTION ALONG
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY FROM SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.
OTHERWISE, LOW TEMPERATURES THROUGH MUCH OF THE WORKWEEK TO AVERAGE
IN THE UPPER 50S ACROSS THE I-30 CORRIDOR TO LOWER 60S ELSEWHERE.
HIGHS ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY COULD APPROACH THE MID 80S TO UPPER 80S
WITH POST-FRONTAL HIGH TEMPERATURES FROM MIDWEEK ONWARD IN THE UPPER
70S TO LOWER 80S. /05/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1253 PM CDT SUN MAR 29 2026
FOR THE 29/18Z TAF PERIOD, MID-LEVEL CIGS HAVE QUICKLY DISSIPATED
ACROSS OUR NORTHEAST AIRSPACE THIS AFTERNOON AS MOST SITES RETURN
TO SKC. THE LAST OF THESE CIGS WILL EVENTUALLY CLEAR KELD BY LATE
AFTERNOON WITH SOUTHERLY WINDS AVERAGING BETWEEN 6-12 KTS. SPEEDS
WILL DROP OFF SLIGHTLY BY 30/00Z WITH SKC PREVAILING THROUGH THE
EVENING HOURS. HOWEVER, LOW STRATUS IS EXPECTED TO MAKE A RETURN
BY EARLY TO MID MONDAY MORNING WITH IFR OR MVFR CIGS LIKELY TO
IMPACT MOST TERMINALS JUST PRIOR TO OR NEAR DAYBREAK. THESE CIGS
WILL SLOWLY LIFT THROUGH THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD WITH IMPROVING
CONDITIONS INTO MONDAY AFTERNOON. SOUTHERLY WINDS PREVAIL BETWEEN
5-10 KTS ON MONDAY.
/19/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 149 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 60 84 63 86 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 62 85 63 88 / 0 10 0 10
DEQ 54 83 56 83 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 60 86 62 87 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 58 83 59 86 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 60 85 64 86 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 58 85 62 86 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 58 84 63 86 / 0 0 0 10
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...05
AVIATION...19
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