147
FXUS64 KSHV 081653
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1153 AM CDT WED APR 8 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1224 AM CDT WED APR 8 2026
- A NICE AND DRY WARMING TREND WILL UNFOLD THIS WORK WEEK WITH
SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS AND CONTINUED PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES.
- THE WEEK'S END WILL SEE A TRANSITION TO AT LEAST A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER OUR FAR WESTERN TX COUNTIES.
- A MUCH BETTER CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL ARRIVE
ON SUNDAY AND LINGER OVERNIGHT INTO THE NEW WORK WEEK FOR ALL.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1148 AM CDT WED APR 8 2026
WEAK UPPER-TROUGH ACROSS THE REGION THAT HAS ALLOWED FOR INCREASED
HIGH CLOUDS AREAWIDE THIS MORNING WILL SHIFT EAST WITH RIDGING
FORECAST TO BUILD FROM THE WEST. UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE TO MAINTAIN
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AREAWIDE THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY NIGHT.
UPPER-RIDGE TO NUDGE EAST ALLOWING FOR WEAK SOUTHWEST FLOW TO
GENERATE ENOUGH INSTABILITY TO ALLOW FOR A FEW DIURNALLY-DRIVEN
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MAINLY NORTH LOUISIANA AND DEEP
EAST TEXAS ON FRIDAY.
SURFACE HIGH ANCHORED ACROSS THE ATLANTIC SEABOARD TO ALLOW FOR
SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW ACROSS THE ARKLATEX THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD
RESULTING IN HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW TO MID 80S. OVERNIGHT
LOWS TO GRADUALLY INCREASE FROM THE MID 50S TONIGHT TO THE UPPER
60S BY NEXT WEEK.
UPPER-FLOW TO REMAIN OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST THROUGH THE WEEKEND
ALLOWING FOR INCREASED INSTABILITY AREAWIDE. A WEAK FRONTAL
BOUNDARY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL SHIFT SOUTHEAST SERVING
AS THE TRIGGER FOR AFTERNOON AND EVENING CONVECTION BEGINNING ON
SUNDAY ACROSS MAINLY NORTHEAST TEXAS INTO SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ALTHOUGH SPC HAS A 15% SEVERE RISK AREA HIGHLIGHTED JUST WEST OF
THE CWA, THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT SOME STRONG STORMS, A FEW
POSSIBLY SEVERE, COULD MIGRATE INTO OUR NORTHEAST TEXAS AND
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA ON SUNDAY EVENING.
SEVERE THREAT INCREASES ACROSS NORTHEAST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA ON MONDAY, BECOMING NEARLY AREAWIDE ON TUESDAY AS AN
UPPER-TROUGH BEGINS TO TRANSLATE EAST FROM CALIFORNIA INTO THE
CENTRAL PLAINS. THE COMBINATION OF INCREASED MOISTURE AND DEEP-
LAYER SHEAR ALONG WITH SOME INDICATIONS OF A STRONG MID-LEVEL JET
WILL ALLOW FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
ALL MODES OF SEVERE WEATHER ON BOTH MONDAY AND TUESDAY AFTERNOONS.
/05/
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 519 AM CDT WED APR 8 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THIS 24HR TAF PERIOD. HIGH
CLOUDS ARE TRYING TO BREAK UP ACROSS OUR AIRSPACE ATTM AND LOOK
FOR THAT TREND TO CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE DAY. WE MAY SEE SOME
MVFR CEILINGS TRY TO SNEAK INTO OUR FAR EASTERN AIRSPACE CLOSER TO
SUNRISE THURSDAY MORNING IN THE VICINITY OF THE MLU TERMINAL BUT
HAVE LEFT OUT THAT PROBABILITY IN THE MLU TAF FOR NOW. LOOK FOR
SSE TO ESE WINDS TODAY WITH SPEEDS GENERALLY AT OR NEAR 10KTS
BEYOND 14Z THIS MORNING WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE.
13
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1224 AM CDT WED APR 8 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THIS WORK WEEK. /24/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 81 56 83 60 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 82 54 83 58 / 0 0 0 0
DEQ 78 49 80 55 / 0 0 10 0
TXK 81 57 82 61 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 80 53 82 57 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 79 57 82 61 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 81 56 82 60 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 81 57 83 61 / 0 0 10 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...05
AVIATION...13
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