783
FXUS64 KSHV 020503
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1203 AM CDT SAT MAY 2 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CDT SAT MAY 2 2026
- A QUIET AND DRY WEEKEND IS IN STORE, WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S
AND LOWER 50S, AND HIGHS IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 70S.
- THE WORK WEEK WILL BEGIN WITH HIGHS RETURNING TO THE 80S,
FOLLOWED BY SCATTERED STORMS THROUGHOUT THE MIDDLE OF THE
WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CDT SAT MAY 2 2026
AT THE TIME OF THIS WRITING, THE LAST OF THE SHOWERS ARE AT LAST
DEPARTING THE ARKLATEX TO THE SOUTH AND EAST. CLOUDS WILL SCATTER
OUT OVERNIGHT, LEAVING MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES BY SUNRISE, WITH ABUNDANT
SUNSHINE TO FOLLOW THROUGH THE WEEKEND AHEAD. AS A LARGE AREA OF
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE AND ITS ASSOCIATED UPPER LEVEL RIDGE ADVANCE
EASTWARD, NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL SUPPRESS RUNAWAY WARMING, AND
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND ONLY INTO THE MIDDLE 70S THIS
AFTERNOON, DROPPING BACK INTO THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S OVERNIGHT
AND RETURNING TO THE UPPER 70S SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
A CONTINUED WARM UP TO MORE SEASONABLE HIGHS IN THE 80S IS
EXPECTED TO START THE WORK WEEK, WHILE OUR QUIET WEATHER
CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY AND EARLY TUESDAY. THE UPPER
LEVEL PATTERN WILL FIND THIS WEEKEND'S RIDGE FLATTENED OUT INTO
PSEUDO- ZONAL FLOW ALOFT, AND BY TUESDAY, AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST WILL TILT THE FLOW TO
SOUTHWESTERLY, USHERING IN OUR NEXT CHANCE OF THUNDER ACROSS
NORTHERN ZONES OF THE ARKLATEX. BY WEDNESDAY, AS THE TROUGH PUSHES
EAST, RAINFALL CHANCES LOOK TO SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION,
ULTIMATELY DEPARTING BY LATE THURSDAY, WITH QUIET CONDITIONS
CLOSING OUT THE TAIL END OF THIS EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD. A
SURFACE COLD FRONT LOOKS TO MAKE A DENT IN THE RETURNING HEAT BY
THURSDAY, WITH TEMPERATE CONDITIONS TO FOLLOW.
/26/
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 626 PM CDT FRI MAY 1 2026
FLIGHT CATEGORIES ARE GRADUALLY IMPROVING ACROSS THE FOUR STATE
REGION AS NORTHEAST TO NORTH WINDS GRADUALLY PUSH IN DRIER LOWER
TROPOSPHERIC AIR. MVFR TO LOCALLY IFR CONDITIONS DUE TO MODERATE
RAINS AND LOW CEILINGS ARE NOW CONCENTRATED SOUTH OF I-20 AND THIS
TREND SOUTHWARD OF RAIN AND BAD FLYING CONDITIONS SHOULD
GENERALLY CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT. THAT SAID, SOME POCKETS OF
LOWER CLOUDS AND FOG COULD DEVELOP LATER TONIGHT AND THROUGH
DAYBREAK TOMORROW ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-20, BUT POTENTIAL OF
NEGATIVE IMPACT AT ANY I-20 TAF SITE IS NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO INCLUDE
IN EITHER THE SHV, TYR, GGG, OR MLU TAF AT THIS TIME. CLOUDS WILL
BE CLEARING OUT TOMORROW MORNING WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND
NORTH SURFACE WINDS AT 7 TO 12 MPH ANTICIPATED DURING THE DAY
TOMORROW. /50/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CDT SAT MAY 2 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 75 51 80 57 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 75 50 80 55 / 0 0 0 0
DEQ 74 45 78 53 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 75 50 81 58 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 74 46 79 54 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 74 53 79 58 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 74 51 79 57 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 74 51 80 56 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...26
AVIATION...50
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