465
FXUS64 KSHV 061731
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1231 PM CDT SAT JUN 6 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1145 PM CDT FRI JUN 5 2026
- INCREASED RAIN CHANCES WITH THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS
WEEKEND. THOSE WITH OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES SCHEDULED SHOULD PLAN
ACCORDINGLY. REMEMBER, WHEN THUNDER ROARS, GO INDOORS!
- PERIODS OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL THROUGH THE WEEKEND WILL
BRING A LOCALIZED FLOODING THREAT, PARTICULARLY ALONG AND
NORTHWEST OF THE INTERSTATE 49 CORRIDOR. REMEMBER, TURN AROUND,
DON'T DROWN!
- PEAK AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK
SHOULD BE NEAR OR ABOVE 100 DEGREES. SUMMERTIME HEAT SAFETY
PLANS SHOULD BE REVIEWED AND READIED.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1145 PM CDT FRI JUN 5 2026
A BROAD UPPER-LEVEL LOW ACROSS WEST TEXAS AND A BROAD UPPER-LEVEL
RIDGE ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF AMERICA TO MAINTAIN A SOUTHWEST
FLOW PATTERN ACROSS THE ARKLATEX THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A SURFACE
BOUNDARY ALONG WITH A SLUG OF INCREASED MOISTURE, DRIVING DEWPOINT
VALUES INTO THE MID 70S, TO SURGE NORTH ACROSS THE REGION ON
SATURDAY TRIGGERING WIDESPREAD CONVECTION DURING THE TIME OF PEAK
HEATING. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL MAY BE POSSIBLE WITH SOME STORMS.
ADDITIONALLY, A DISTURBANCE WITHIN THE UPPER-FLOW TRANSLATING
EAST ACROSS EAST AND NORTHEAST TEXAS COULD GENERATE CONVECTION
AHEAD OF THE GULF SOURCED BOUNDARY ALLOWING FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR
A FEW STRONG STORMS ALONG AND NORTH OF I-20 ACROSS MAINLY NORTH
LOUISIANA INTO SOUTH ARKANSAS DURING THE EVENING HOURS.
SOUTHWEST FLOW TO PERSIST INTO SUNDAY MAINTAINING AN UNSETTLED
WEATHER PATTERN ACROSS THE ARKLATEX WITH DIURNALLY DRIVEN
CONVECTION AGAIN EXPECTED.
BY SUNDAY NIGHT, HOWEVER, UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING IN THE EASTERN GULF
TO BUILD WEST, EVENTUALLY BECOMING FIRMLY ESTABLISHED ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN CONUS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD ENDING
FRIDAY. SUBSIDENCE ASSOCIATED WITH THE RIDGE WILL LEAD TO DRIER
CONDITIONS WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES SOARING INTO THE MID 90S FROM
MID TO LATE WEEK. /05/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1224 PM CDT SAT JUN 6 2026
FOR THE 06/18Z TAFS, THE MORNING'S LOW CLOUD DECKS HAVE RECOVERED
AND WILL BE FILLED IN BY CONVECTIVE CU FIELDS IN THE UPPER MVFR TO
LOWER VFR HEIGHT RANGE. IN ADDITION TO AN ORGANIZED CLUSTER OF A
LINE OF SHOWERS ADVANCING EAST ACROSS TEXAS, SCATTERED CONVECTION IS
BEGINNING TO FILL IN EASTWARD OF THE LINE. THESE SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND STORMS MAT RESULT IN BRIEF VIS IMPACTS TO TERMINALS AS WELL AS
OCCASIONAL WIND GUSTS. AFTER CONVECTION DIMINISHES INTO THE
EVENING, CIGS ARE EXPECTED TO CRATER OVERNIGHT, DROPPING TO IFR
LEVELS BY DAYBREAK TOMORROW, WITH PATCHY VSBY REDUCTIONS POSSIBLE.
SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT, BECOMING LIGHT
OVERNIGHT AND PICKING UP IN SPEED INTO THE DAY TOMORROW.
/26/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1127 PM CDT FRI JUN 5 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION SHOULD NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 74 88 76 92 / 50 60 10 10
MLU 74 89 76 92 / 20 60 10 20
DEQ 70 84 72 90 / 70 70 40 10
TXK 73 88 74 93 / 50 70 20 10
ELD 72 86 73 91 / 60 60 10 20
TYR 73 88 75 92 / 30 40 10 10
GGG 73 88 75 92 / 40 50 10 10
LFK 73 88 75 92 / 40 50 10 10
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...05
AVIATION...26
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