128
FXUS64 KSHV 071159
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
659 AM CDT SUN JUN 7 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1100 PM CDT SAT JUN 6 2026
- SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AGAIN POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY. THOSE WITH
OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES SCHEDULED SHOULD PLAN ACCORDINGLY.
REMEMBER, WHEN THUNDER ROARS, GO INDOORS!
- PERIODS OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ON SUNDAY WILL BRING A
LOCALIZED FLOODING THREAT ACROSS SOME AREAS. REMEMBER, TURN
AROUND, DON'T DROWN!
- PEAK AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK MAY
APPROACH 105 DEGREES. SUMMERTIME HEAT SAFETY PLANS SHOULD BE
REVIEWED AND READIED.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1100 PM CDT SAT JUN 6 2026
AN UPPER-LOW CENTERED ACROSS THE TEXAS PANHANDLE HAS BEEN THE
MAIN DRIVER FOR CONVECTION ACROSS THE REGION THIS EVENING. WITH
THE LOSS OF DIURNAL HEATING, OVERALL CONVECTIVE INTENSITY IS
EXPECTED TO DIMINISH. HOWEVER, LINGERING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
MAY REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH MUCH OF THE OVERNIGHT HOURS DUE TO AN
OVERALL UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE RICH IN GULF MOISTURE REMAINING IN
PLACE.
THE UPPER-LOW WILL MOVE NORTHEAST ON SUNDAY WITH LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE ADVECTION CONTINUING. COULD SEE CONVECTION REDEVELOPING
ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-20 AS EARLY AS MID-MORNING, INCREASING IN
COVERAGE THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON. A FEW STRONG STORMS MAY BE
POSSIBLE NORTH OF I-30 DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
IN THE WAKE OF THE DEPARTING UPPER-LOW, AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE IN
THE GULF OF AMERICA IS FORECAST TO BUILD NORTH ACROSS THE ARKLATEX
AND REMAIN FIRMLY ESTABLISHED THROUGH MUCH OF THE THE WORKWEEK.
SUBSIDENCE ASSOCIATED WITH THE RIDGE WILL ALLOW FOR MAINLY DRY
CONDITIONS AND AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 90S FROM
WEDNESDAY ONWARD. AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES APPROACHING 105
DEGREES MAY ALSO BE A CONCERN NEARLY AREAWIDE EACH DAY.
A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO DRIFT SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION LATE IN
THE WORK-WEEK PROVIDING ENOUGH LOW-LEVEL INSTABILITY TO GENERATE
A FEW AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BENEATH THE PREVAILING
UPPER-RIDGE ON FRIDAY. /05/
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 642 AM CDT SUN JUN 7 2026
FOR THE ARKLATEX TERMINALS, IFR/MVFR CIGS AT 12Z WITH CIGS LIFTING
TO VFR 17-20Z. WINDS ARE S5-10KT THIS MORNING AND WILL INCREASE A
BIT FOR THE AFTERNOON WITH S10-15G20KT AND CERTAINLY MORE POSSIBLE
AROUND HEAVY DOWNPOURS. VCSH THIS MORNING FOR MOST & VCTS 16-18Z
AND ALL AFTERNOON WITH AMENDMENTS FOR ALL BUT KTYR FOR CONVECTION.
AN UPPER LOW IS LIFTING ACROSS THE TX/OK PANHANDLES MOVG TOWARD
KN/NB BY NIGHT FALL. CONVECTION SHOULD TAPER OFF BY SUNSET WITH
SOME MVFR CIGS ARRIVING/FORMING AROUND 09Z. ISOLD TS ON MON. /24/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1100 PM CDT SAT JUN 6 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION SHOULD NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT BUT MAY BE
NEEDED ON SUNDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 87 76 92 76 / 40 10 10 0
MLU 89 76 92 75 / 50 20 30 0
DEQ 85 72 90 75 / 80 40 10 0
TXK 89 75 94 76 / 70 30 10 0
ELD 86 74 91 75 / 70 20 20 0
TYR 88 75 93 75 / 40 10 10 0
GGG 88 75 93 75 / 50 10 10 0
LFK 88 75 92 74 / 40 10 10 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...05
AVIATION...24
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