415
FXUS64 KSHV 081742
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1242 PM CDT MON JUN 8 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1137 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2026
- MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK AHEAD
ACCOMPANIED BY RETURNING HEAT. HEAT INDICES MAY APPROACH OR
EXCEED 100 DEGREES. SENSITIVE GROUPS ARE ADVISED TO TAKE
PRECAUTIONS.
- SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE AGAIN BY THE END OF THE
WEEK, CONTINUING INTO NEXT WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1151 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2026
UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE ACROSS THE NORTHEAST GULF OF AMERICA TO BUILD
ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MONDAY ALLOWING FOR SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT
TO QUICKLY BECOME LIGHT AND NORTHERLY AREAWIDE. WITH THE BUILDING
RIDGE, EXPECT DRIER CONDITIONS ALONG WITH A WARMING TREND WITH
HIGHS ON MONDAY FORECAST TO CLIMB INTO LOWER 90S ACROSS MOST
LOCATIONS. WITH DEWPOINT VALUES IN THE MID 70S, COULD SEE HEAT
INDEX VALUES AROUND 100 DEGREES WITH SOME ISOLATED LOCATIONS
POSSIBLY APPROACHING 105 DEGREES. A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
MAY DEVELOP DURING THE TIME OF PEAK HEATING ALONG A WEAK SEA-
BREEZE BOUNDARY ACROSS MAINLY NORTH LOUISIANA AND DEEP EAST TEXAS.
OTHERWISE, BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS EXPECTED AREAWIDE.
UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE TO BUILD STRONGER ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE
END OF THE WORKWEEK WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES FORECAST TO CLIMB INTO
THE LOW TO MID 90S BY FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. ADDITIONALLY, RAIN
CHANCES WILL BE MOSTLY NON-EXISTENT THROUGH THE END OF THE
WORKWEEK.
PREVIOUS MODEL RUNS HAVE SUGGESTED THAT A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY
WILL BRING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO PORTIONS OF
SOUTH ARKANSAS, NORTHEAST TEXAS, AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA FOR THE
WEEKEND. HOWEVER RECENT MODEL RUNS HAVE TRENDED DRIER WITH THE
RIDGE HOLDING AND THE FRONT STALLING NORTH OF THE ARKLATEX
ALLOWING FOR ONLY SLIGHT RAIN CHANCES AND CONTINUED HOT CONDITIONS
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
AT THIS TIME, NO HEAT HEADLINES ARE NEEDED, BUT AS THE WEEK
PROGRESSES, HEAT ADVISORIES MAY BE REQUIRED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
ARKLATEX.
/05/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1238 PM CDT MON JUN 8 2026
ALL SITES HAVE RETURNED TO VFR CIGS AT THE TOP OF THIS PERIOD.
CLOUDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO LIFT AND SCATTER OUT A BIT THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL STAY SOUTHERLY BUT GUST OCCASIONALLY BEFORE
CALMING DOWN THIS EVENING. MVFR/IFR CIGS WILL RETURN EARLY
TOMORROW MORNING FOR MOST AREAS. THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY ON HOW
FAR NORTH AND EAST THESE CLOUDS WILL EXTEND, PARTICULARLY FOR
KTXK, KELD, AND KMLU. I'VE LEFT SOME LOWER CIGS AT THOSE SITES FOR
NOW BUT THEY MAY BE REMOVED IN THE NEXT PACKAGE. AS IS TYPICAL,
CIGS SHOULD LIFT AND SCATTER OUT IN THE LATE MORNING TO EARLY
AFTERNOON HOURS. /57/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1151 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 76 95 77 94 / 20 0 0 10
MLU 76 95 77 95 / 20 0 0 0
DEQ 75 93 75 92 / 20 0 0 0
TXK 76 96 77 95 / 20 0 0 0
ELD 75 94 77 93 / 20 0 0 0
TYR 75 94 76 94 / 20 0 0 0
GGG 75 94 77 94 / 20 0 0 10
LFK 74 94 75 94 / 20 20 0 20
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...05
AVIATION...57
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